Trading Signals: ERY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ ERY: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. May. 7, 2014

Trading Signals: ERY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Feb. 7, 2014 - Fri. May. 13, 2022)

(Direxion Daily Energy Bear 3X ETF)
ERY latest price $75.2121 (-2.49%) ($74.8668 - $77.4314) on Wed. May. 7, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.14% (three month average)
RSI   19
Latest Price   $75.2121(-2.49%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ERY declines -0.9% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ERY declines -1.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ERY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
TLT(31%)    UUP(15%)    SHY(8%)    IGOV(6%)    BNDX(3%)
Factors Impacting ERY price   ERY will decline at least -1.07% in a week (0% probabilities).
XLE(-98%)    XOP(-90%)    OIH(-89%)    XLB(-73%)    VT(-72%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.07% (StdDev 2.14%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $67.25(-10.59%)
Resistance Level   $81.62
5 Day Moving Average   $77.51(-2.96%)
10 Day Moving Average   $78.19(-3.81%)
20 Day Moving Average   $81.62(-7.85%)
To recent high   -34.6%
To recent low   0%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0%

$. ERY is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0% a day on average for holding it.$. ERY price fluctuates within 6.71% (three month std-dev: 2.14%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 7 Average positive next day return: 2.85%(43%) Average negative next day return: -0.84%(57%) Sample size 7 Average positive next three day return: 6.95%(57%) Average negative next three day return: -1.58%(43%) Sample size 7 Average positive next weekly return: 6.7%(57%) Average negative next weekly return: -6.04%(43%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20140607

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_7_2014	94.22	81.62	78.19	77.51	77.57	76.58	75.21(-2.49%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-55	-90	-49	-71	0.09	34%	-0.34	-56.2	2.14%	0	-1.2	19	NAN
2	May_6_2014	94.54	82.4	78.55	78.18	78.36	77.88	77.14(-0.57%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-38	-40	-25	-75	0.06	35%	-0.31	-52.7	2.14%	0	-0.9	17	NAN
3	May_5_2014	94.83	83.19	78.83	78.44	78.77	78.57	77.58(-1.13%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.1	-31	-10	-9	-95	0.04	35%	-0.3	-48.5	2.16%	0	-1	13	NAN
4	May_2_2014	95.12	83.78	79.03	78.82	78.62	78.84	78.47(-0.87%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.1	-41	10	-10	-132	0.07	35%	-0.3	-50.4	2.18%	0	-0.9	11	NAN
5	May_1_2014	95.41	84.27	79.28	79.11	78.88	78.97	79.16(0.75%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-29	-0	13	-153	0.05	35%	-0.29	-56.1	2.2%	0	-0.9	15	NAN

6	Apr_30_2014	95.69	84.82	79.66	79.11	79.01	78.39	78.57(0.19%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-51	-50	-7	-182	0.1	35%	-0.32	-63.5	2.21%	0	-1.1	28	NAN
7	Apr_29_2014	96	85.45	80.41	78.99	78.83	78.8	78.42(-1.36%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-70	-10	-26	-201	0.14	35%	-0.33	-69.6	2.23%	0	-1.2	26	NAN
8	Apr_28_2014	96.32	86.16	81.52	78.99	79.15	79.63	79.5(-0.49%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-35	40	16	-189	0.11	35%	-0.32	-75.5	2.24%	0	-1.2	24	NAN
9	Apr_25_2014	96.63	86.83	82.88	79.28	79.24	78.86	79.9(1.69%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-46	-40	-1	-182	0.16	35%	-0.32	-82.2	2.27%	0	-1.3	36	NAN
10	Apr_24_2014	96.94	87.63	84.16	79.5	79.43	78.68	78.57(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-79	-70	-44	-184	0.11	35%	-0.37	-84	2.26%	0	-1.6	36	NAN

11	Apr_23_2014	97.3	88.63	85.27	80.46	80.39	79.62	78.57(-1.61%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-78	-70	-47	-172	0.1	35%	-0.37	-82.6	2.28%	0	-1.8	34	NAN
12	Apr_22_2014	97.66	89.59	86.53	82.08	81.67	80.19	79.85(0.43%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-92	-140	-70	-157	0.12	35%	-0.37	-80.9	2.3%	0	-1.8	34	NAN
13	Apr_21_2014	98.02	90.6	87.92	84.15	83.8	81.16	79.5(-1.89%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-115	-230	-107	-137	0.11	35%	-0.39	-74.4	2.32%	0	-2.1	31	NAN
14	Apr_17_2014	98.4	91.61	88.98	87.05	86.54	83.15	81.03(-2.78%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-127	-290	-132	-112	0.14	35%	-0.36	-66.4	2.34%	0	-2.1	33	NAN
15	Apr_16_2014	98.76	92.59	89.8	89.51	89.52	86.44	83.35(-3.81%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-104	-240	-110	-85	0.14	37%	-0.33	-61	2.34%	0	-1.9	31	NAN

16	Apr_15_2014	99.09	93.51	90.55	90.74	91.35	89.93	86.65(-3.94%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-72	-90	-71	-73	0.21	39%	-0.27	-58.9	2.32%	0	-1.6	31	NAN
17	Apr_14_2014	99.36	94.15	91.02	91.58	91.76	92.59	90.21(-4.04%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-23	70	-12	-54	0.08	41%	-0.2	-56.7	2.29%	0	-0.9	38	NAN
18	Apr_11_2014	99.56	94.7	91.25	92.25	91.89	92.78	94(0.69%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	35	60	58	-36	0.12	44%	-0.13	-46.6	2.25%	0	-0.2	38	NAN
19	Apr_10_2014	99.69	95.12	91.07	91.27	91.34	90.94	93.36(4.35%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-5	-30	21	-83	0.21	44%	-0.15	-44.8	2.27%	0	-0.4	38	NAN
20	Apr_9_2014	99.84	95.61	91.27	90.23	90.39	91	89.47(-1.52%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-42	50	-13	-129	0.11	40%	-0.24	-45.6	2.17%	0	-1.2	28	NAN

21	Apr_8_2014	100.08	96.19	92.13	90.34	90.02	91.73	90.85(-2.9%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	8	120	48	-111	0.1	40%	-0.23	-46.8	2.19%	0	-1.1	28	NAN
22	Apr_7_2014	100.31	96.69	92.75	90.37	90.02	89.78	93.56(4.98%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-3	-20	36	-121	0.21	42%	-0.17	-46.4	2.19%	0	-0.7	39	NAN
23	Apr_4_2014	100.48	96.9	93.32	90.18	89.75	88.3	89.12(1.06%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-89	-130	-59	-179	0.14	35%	-0.29	-52.1	2.03%	0	-1.7	24	NAN
24	Apr_3_2014	100.77	97.38	94.33	90.89	90.82	89.73	88.18(-2.03%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.6	-99	-90	-71	-184	0.11	35%	-0.33	-54.1	2.04%	0	-2.2	19	NAN
25	Apr_2_2014	101.1	97.95	95.55	92.47	92.09	91.2	90.01(-1.08%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.7	-85	-80	-59	-163	0.1	35%		-54	2.06%	0	-2.1	20	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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