Trading Signals: ERY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ ERY: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Fri. Apr. 4, 2014

Trading Signals: ERY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Feb. 7, 2014 - Fri. May. 13, 2022)

(Direxion Daily Energy Bear 3X ETF)
ERY latest price $89.1201 (1.06%) ($85.9144 - $89.6133) on Fri. Apr. 4, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.03% (three month average)
RSI   24
Latest Price   $89.1201(1.06%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ERY declines -0.8% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ERY declines -5.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ERY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
TLT(31%)    UUP(15%)    SHY(8%)    IGOV(6%)    BNDX(3%)
Factors Impacting ERY price   ERY will decline at least -1.015% in a week (0% probabilities).
XLE(-98%)    XOP(-90%)    OIH(-89%)    XLB(-73%)    VT(-72%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.015% (StdDev 2.03%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 2.8%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $83.15(-6.7%)
Resistance Level   $96.9
5 Day Moving Average   $90.18(-1.18%)
10 Day Moving Average   $93.32(-4.5%)
20 Day Moving Average   $96.9(-8.03%)
To recent high   -22.5%
To recent low   1.1%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0%

$. ERY is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0% a day on average for holding it.$. ERY price fluctuates within 4.78% (three month std-dev: 2.03%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 21 Average positive next day return: 2.38%(62%) Average negative next day return: -2.53%(38%) Sample size 21 Average positive next three day return: 3.36%(57%) Average negative next three day return: -4.76%(43%) Sample size 21 Average positive next weekly return: 4.95%(33%) Average negative next weekly return: -5.45%(67%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20140504

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_4_2014	100.48	96.9	93.32	90.18	89.75	88.3	89.12(1.06%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-89	-130	-59	-179	0.14	35%	-0.29	-52.1	2.03%	0	-1.7	24	0
2	Apr_3_2014	100.77	97.38	94.33	90.89	90.82	89.73	88.18(-2.03%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.6	-99	-90	-71	-184	0.11	35%	-0.33	-54.1	2.04%	0	-2.2	19	0
3	Apr_2_2014	101.1	97.95	95.55	92.47	92.09	91.2	90.01(-1.08%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.7	-85	-80	-59	-163	0.1	35%	-0.3	-54	2.06%	0	-2.1	20	0
4	Apr_1_2014	101.4	98.52	96.73	94.18	93.75	91.91	90.99(-1.7%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-78	-150	-59	-135	0.1	35%	-0.29	-49.1	2.08%	0	-2.3	32	0
5	Mar_31_2014	101.69	98.92	97.59	95.46	95.15	92.98	92.57(-0.11%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-107	-170	-97	-135	0.1	35%	-0.26	-47	2.1%	0	-2.3	34	0

6	Mar_28_2014	101.95	99.37	98.51	96.94	96.6	95.59	92.67(-3.59%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.8	-77	-80	-72	-92	0.18	35%	-0.26	-35.4	2.13%	0	-2.8	44	0
7	Mar_27_2014	102.22	99.75	99.59	98.26	97.9	97.33	96.12(-2.45%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-24	-50	-19	-38	0.17	39%	-0.18	-36.8	2.1%	0	-1.9	49	0
8	Mar_26_2014	102.4	100.02	100.36	99.08	98.23	97.6	98.54(1.16%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-37	-70	-42	-22	0.16	41%	-0.13	-28.3	2.1%	0	-0.9	52	0
9	Mar_25_2014	102.53	100.15	100.6	99.7	99.33	98.47	97.41(-2.57%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-18	-70	-23	-4	0.11	41%	-0.16	-25.9	2.12%	0	-1.6	44	0
10	Mar_24_2014	102.69	100.27	100.97	100.04	100.04	98.87	99.97(0.7%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0	-27	-80	-37	3	0.1	44%	-0.09	-35.4	2.11%	0	-0.2	56	0

11	Mar_21_2014	102.78	100.24	100.77	100.36	100.25	100.19	99.28(-0.94%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-32	-10	-42	-3	0.13	44%	-0.12	-42.5	2.14%	0	-0.5	47	0
12	Mar_20_2014	102.9	100.46	100.67	101.14	101.05	101.21	100.22(-1.41%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.5	12	10	8	25	0.08	44%	-0.1	-46.1	2.18%	0	-0.1	52	0
13	Mar_19_2014	103	100.52	100.53	101.85	101.51	100.32	101.65(2.59%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-7	-90	-16	20	0.14	44%	-0.05	-56.3	2.21%	0	0.6	51	0
14	Mar_18_2014	103.05	100.59	100.42	101.67	101.91	100.88	99.08(-2.43%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.3	-38	-60	-51	3	0.09	40%	-0.15	-70.9	2.17%	0	-0.7	46	0
15	Mar_17_2014	103.2	100.84	100.36	102	102.35	102.71	101.55(-1.62%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	17	30	12	31	0.06	43%	-0.07	-90.1	2.18%	0	0.3	55	0

16	Mar_14_2014	103.27	101.01	100.29	101.17	101.66	102.94	103.23(-0.52%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.9	46	100	49	38	0.09	43%	0	-105.7	2.21%	0	1	59	0
17	Mar_13_2014	103.27	101.29	99.88	100.11	100.34	101.99	103.77(3.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	49	120	60	15	0.11	43%	0.02	0	2.26%	0	0.8	48	0
18	Mar_12_2014	103.25	101.6	99.56	100.11	99.22	100.38	100.71(-0.05%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	33	90	46	-8	0.12	37%	-0.11	0	2.18%	0	-0.2	48	0
19	Mar_11_2014	103.36	102.06	99.58	99.05	98.67	98.69	100.76(3.44%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	6	-10	16	-26	0.12	37%	-0.13	0	2.23%	0	-0.3	44	0
20	Mar_10_2014	103.49	102.71	99.42	98.52	98.87	98.06	97.41(-0.5%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-32	-50	-21	-64	0.09	27%	-0.29	0	2.1%	0	-1.1	36	0

21	Mar_7_2014	103.79	103.49	99.63	99.26	98.89	98.64	97.9(-0.6%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-46	-30	-37	-74	0.11	27%	-0.3	0	2.15%	0	-1.1	35	0
22	Mar_6_2014	104.1	103.49	100.22	99.58	99.58	99.68	98.49(-2.2%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	5	10	6	2	0.12	27%	-0.3	0	2.21%	0	18.8	30	0
23	Mar_5_2014	104.41	103.49	100.53	100.11	99.71	99.14	100.71(2.66%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-12	-50	-14	-6	0.09	27%	-0.21	0	2.25%	0	19.4	30	0
24	Mar_4_2014	104.63	103.49	100.78	100.2	100.14	99.49	98.1(-2.98%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-23	-50	-27	-11	0.13	18%	-0.39	0	2.15%	0	18.7	26	0
25	Mar_3_2014	105.04	103.49	101.39	100.43	100.64	100.28	101.1(1.64%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-5	-20	-6	-2	0.15	21%		0	2.15%	0	19.6	24	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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