Trading Signals: ERX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ ERX: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Tue. Jun. 14, 2016

Trading Signals: ERX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Nov. 6, 2008 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily Energy Bull 3X ETF)
ERX latest price $290.9000 (-0.48%) ($281.2000 - $295.5000) on Tue. Jun. 14, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.55% (three month average)
RSI   57
Latest Price   $290.9000(-0.48%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ERX declines -2.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ERX advances 2.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Value stock sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ERX advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLE(92%)    OIH(90%)    XOP(86%)    IWD(74%)    IVE(72%)
Factors Impacting ERX price   ERX will decline at least -1.775% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-23%)    TLT(-23%)    UUP(-17%)    IGOV(-4%)    SHY(-3%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.775% (StdDev 3.55%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.2%

Resistance Level   $293.35
5 Day Moving Average   $303.58(-4.18%)
10 Day Moving Average   $301.24(-3.43%)
20 Day Moving Average   $293.35(-0.84%)
To recent high   -10.3%
To recent low   34.9%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.01%

$. ERX is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.01% a day on average for holding it.$. ERX price fluctuates within 4.71% (three month std-dev: 3.55%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -4.6%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: -6.64%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: -4.2%(100%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160714

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_14_2016	242.56	293.35	301.24	303.58	299.62	291.25	290.9(-0.48%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-145	-230	-181	-36	0.33	70%	0.58	54.6	3.55%	0	-0.2	57	0
2	Jun_13_2016	241.17	292.87	301.28	310.24	309.1	297.55	292.3(-1.25%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-152	-270	-198	-14	0.23	70%	0.48	74.9	3.56%	0	-0	60	0
3	Jun_10_2016	240.01	291.7	301.52	312.6	314.74	307.99	296(-6.45%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-1.1	-119	-130	-163	13	0.29	73%	0.59	73.5	3.67%	0	0.3	61	0
4	Jun_9_2016	238.61	290.8	301.25	310.52	314.01	320.65	316.4(-1.83%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	70	180	57	107	0.2	80%	0.74	70.6	3.56%	0	1.7	74	0
5	Jun_8_2016	236.86	288.64	299.02	305	307.01	321.5	322.3(-0.59%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.2	271	350	296	197	0.32	68%	0.72	67.4	3.59%	0	2.3	79	0

6	Jun_7_2016	235.17	286.02	294.92	298.64	296.54	307.36	324.2(6.61%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2	234	230	259	158	0.3	68%	0.39	62	3.94%	0	3	71	0
7	Jun_6_2016	234.26	282.67	290.12	291.58	288.85	292.51	304.1(6.48%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	94	60	101	74	0.32	65%	0.6	38.1	3.95%	0	2.1	66	0
8	Jun_3_2016	232.86	280.93	287.68	289.34	287.41	285.73	285.6(-1.11%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	7	-60	-2	35	0.27	62%	0.45	21.5	3.89%	0	0.5	67	0
9	Jun_2_2016	231.81	280.31	286.85	290.56	288.24	285.19	288.8(-0.59%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.2	-52	-100	-73	10	0.29	66%	0.56	11.1	3.91%	0	0.9	58	0
10	Jun_1_2016	230.52	279.17	285.53	291.92	290.98	289.09	290.5(0.55%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-22	-60	-38	28	0.41	66%	0.51	-8.5	4.01%	0	1.2	61	0

11	May_31_2016	229.34	278.45	284.78	290.34	292.73	291.29	288.9(-1.37%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	13	-10	2	47	0.35	66%	0.71	-23.9	3.97%	0	1.1	62	0
12	May_27_2016	227.73	278.79	283.84	288.2	290.26	292.88	292.9(0.41%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	23	80	12	54	0.29	66%	0.44	-20.4	4.1%	0	1.3	71	0
13	May_26_2016	226.73	278.94	281.24	285.7	287.06	294.18	291.7(-1.32%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	109	190	116	87	0.25	66%	0.37	-23.5	4.13%	0	1.1	61	0
14	May_25_2016	225.89	279.28	279.69	282.56	282.71	287.65	295.6(4.6%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	129	120	141	91	0.32	66%	0.26	-20.6	4.12%	0	1.2	61	0
15	May_24_2016	225.3	279.97	277.43	278.38	277.18	279.94	282.6(1.58%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	36	60	34	41	0.31	64%	0.22	-20.2	4.09%	0	0.2	60	0

16	May_23_2016	224.81	280.67	276.38	278.54	276.14	277.77	278.2(-0.78%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	32	20	30	38	0.3	56%	0.25	-14.1	4.1%	0	-0.2	51	0
17	May_20_2016	224.26	281.02	274.61	278.82	277.56	274.42	280.4(1.59%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	5	-90	4	9	0.25	60%	0.21	-6.8	4.37%	0	-0	41	0
18	May_19_2016	223.79	281.68	273.6	276	277.55	274.51	276(0.47%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-65	-60	-72	-43	0.43	60%	0.21	1.2	4.4%	0	-0.4	39	0
19	May_18_2016	223.33	282.09	273.26	276.24	277.68	280.7	274.7(-3.07%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-7	90	-0	-26	0.44	60%	0.16	8.3	4.41%	0	-0.5	38	0
20	May_17_2016	222.98	282.77	272.41	276.2	277.92	280.58	283.4(1.36%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	64	90	89	-13	0.34	63%	0.22	17.3	4.41%	0	0	36	0

21	May_16_2016	222.49	282.63	271.63	273.96	275.29	274.66	279.6(4.99%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	-0	-0	18	-55	0.32	63%	0.27	19.5	4.55%	0	-0.2	43	0
22	May_13_2016	221.9	281.97	273.21	269.84	272.56	275.25	266.3(-3.93%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-10	100	8	-65	0.3	61%	0.08	18.7	4.53%	0	-1	45	0
23	May_12_2016	221.73	281.51	276.39	270.72	270.05	275.92	277.2(0.98%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	54	140	83	-32	0.37	64%	0.09	23.9	4.52%	0	-0.3	44	0
24	May_11_2016	221.52	280.93	278.65	269.86	267.84	269.88	274.5(0.84%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.3	35	30	59	-36	0.35	64%	0.22	32.7	4.61%	0	-0.4	48	0
25	May_10_2016	221.03	280.38	282.41	268.08	268.69	264.19	272.2(5.1%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-36	-110	-27	-64	0.29	64%		37.4	4.62%	0	-0.5	46	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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