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     Wed. Apr. 27, 2016

Trading Signals: ERX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Nov. 6, 2008 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily Energy Bull 3X ETF)

ERX latest price $315.1000 (5.46%) ($303.0000 - $317.8000) on Wed. Apr. 27, 2016.


Trend Analysis and Forecast
 
Average Daily Percentage Swing  5.15% (three month average)
RSI   82
Latest Price   $315.1000(5.46%)
Stocks Behave Similarly  Similar Stock List
Daily Trend  ERX advances 1.9% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend  ERX advances 10% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior  Value stock rally for large cap. Value stock rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs  Broad market will support ERX advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
  XLE(92%)    OIH(90%)    XOP(86%)    IWD(74%)    IVE(72%)  
Factors Impacting ERX price  ERX will decline at least -2.575% in a week (0% probabilities).
  VIXM(-23%)    TLT(-23%)    UUP(-17%)    IBUY(-9%)    IGOV(-4%)  
Explanation   The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.
 
 
Relative Volatility   (options are extremely cheap)
 
Market Trend Strength  -2.575% (StdDev 5.15%)
Hourly BBV   0 ()
Intraday Trend   3.8%
  
 

  


5 Day Moving Average  $295.54(6.62%)
10 Day Moving Average  $283.53(11.13%)
20 Day Moving Average  $260.23(21.09%)
To recent high  0%
To recent low  101%
Market Cap  $N/A
 
 
 

Average daily price decay: -0.03%

$. ERX is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.03% a day on average for holding it.$. ERX price fluctuates within 11.02% (three month std-dev: 5.15%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 14   Average positive next day return: 2.76%(43%)   Average negative next day return: -4.96%(57%)
Sample size 14   Average positive next three day return: 5.44%(50%)   Average negative next three day return: -6.29%(50%)
Sample size 14   Average positive next weekly return: 7.59%(57%)   Average negative next weekly return: -9.33%(43%)

Analysis   News   Options   Weekly Chart   Daily Chart   2 Month Daily Chart   

  >  20160527

iDateema100ema20ema10 ema5 Slow Hourly
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ClosePatternTradePSMA5
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ema5
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ema10
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Volume
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Strength
100
Daily
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Daily
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1Apr_27_2016217.36260.23283.53295.54 295.43 301.98315.1(5.46%)UTHoldLong650.7   158   150   152   177   0.56    63%0.3261.35.15%01.982INF
2Apr_26_2016216.66256277.92290.08 289.59 290.6298.8(4.73%)UTHoldLong650.3   64   20   39   137   0.36    64%0.259.45.13%01.677INF
3Apr_25_2016216.22252.59273.75286.38 286.71 288.89285.3(-3.26%)UDOpenLong75-0   57   60   28   143   0.57    59%-0.0255.95.26%01.379INF
4Apr_22_2016216.27249.77269.07282.12 283.4 288.58294.9(3.98%)UTHoldLong650.5   118   140   102   167   0.46    62%0485.56%01.979INF
5Apr_21_2016216.27246.52263.48273.58 273.26 284.53283.6(-1.46%)UDOpenLong750.5   114   290   101   151   0.5    64%-0.1537.65.75%01.774INF
 
6Apr_20_2016216.59243.75257.78269.46 265.35 278.23287.8(2.68%)UTOpenLong750.9   172   290   173   168   0.5    61%-0.2832.35.83%02.369INF
7Apr_19_2016217.2241.45251.79264.04 260.24 262280.3(6.17%)UTOpenLong751   112   0   106   128   0.42    59%-0.2833.85.95%02.367INF
8Apr_18_2016217.82239.67245.32259.56 256.3 252.48264(4.68%)N/AN/A00.3   -18   -140   -42   53   0.5    58%-0.3437.25.98%01.764INF
9Apr_15_2016218.56238.93240.92254.02 256.01 258.49252.2(-4.11%)UDOpenLong75-0.1   19   90   7   56   0.33    55%0.1633.66.01%0161INF
10Apr_14_2016218.2238.78238.18251.46 252.56 260.13263(0.88%)UTOpenLong750.9   89   220   92   80   0.31    58%-0.3839.86.11%01.865INF
 
11Apr_13_2016219.04237.58235.11243.96 246.83 253.53260.7(1.09%)UTOpenLong751.4   105   230   115   73   0.43    56%-0.43356.3%01.965INF
12Apr_12_2016219.99235.95232.18237.62 238.63 244.99257.9(9.14%)UTOpenLong751.8   69   200   79   39   0.6    56%-0.3531.46.38%0253INF
13Apr_11_2016220.76234.52229.41229.16 232.41 240.13236.3(-1.29%)UDOpenLong750.7   78   280   97   21   0.45    53%-0.418.46.29%00.241INF
14Apr_8_2016221.67234.5228.77225.9 226.19 232.26239.4(6.16%)N/AN/A01.3   62   190   83   0   0.51    53%-0.445.16.34%00.540INF
15Apr_7_2016222.66233.55228.03222.98 222.22 224.69225.5(-1.53%)N/AN/A00.2   18   70   35   -33   0.44    51%-0.58-1.86.33%0-0.831INF
 
16Apr_6_2016223.95233.35228.58224.92 221.83 220.11229(6.22%)DPOpenShort-750.4   -21   -100   -11   -51   0.54    49%-0.487.96.4%0-0.442INF
17Apr_5_2016225.02232.48230.25226.04 224.5 219.75215.6(-2%)DTOpenShort-75-0.9   -59   -170   -58   -61   0.38    49%-0.5915.96.53%0-1.444INF
18Apr_4_2016226.36233.69233.71229.62 229.71 223.54220(-2.14%)DTOpenShort-75-0.8   -50   -190   -51   -45   0.41    49%-0.4248.96.53%0-1.246INF
19Apr_1_2016227.32233.98237.05231.8 230.68 229.25224.8(-4.42%)DTOpenShort-75-0.6   -57   -60   -63   -40   0.4    49%-0.4271.76.52%0-0.845INF
20Mar_31_2016228.28233.74239.8233.58 232.73 235.89235.2(0.26%)UTOpenLong750.1   33   80   39   16   0.41    49%-0.4788.96.55%00.163INF
 
21Mar_30_2016229.36232.48240.54232.74 230.74 232.1234.6(0.47%)UTOpenLong750.1   15   20   16   13   0.51    49%-0.5989.16.55%00.263INF
22Mar_29_2016230.71230.58240.25235.32 230.69 229.58233.5(1.13%)N/AN/A0-0.1   -16   -90   -25   10   0.51    49%-0.5785.96.57%00.268INF
23Mar_28_2016232.03228.16240.21238.7 235.5 229.38230.9(-1.2%)N/AN/A0-0.4   -32   -220   -45   7   0.31    47%-1.2672.96.57%00.149INF
24Mar_24_2016234.98226.08240.9243.24 240.14 231.81233.7(1.17%)DPOpenShort-75-0.4   -83   -280   -110   -3   0.53    47%-0.6769.56.61%00.357INF
25Mar_23_2016236.57223.69239.77246.94 246.94 241.63231(-6.67%)N/AN/A0-0.7   -46   -150   -69   24   0.48    50%70.66.62%00.358INF
iDateema100ema20ema10 ema5 Slow Hourly
Trend
Fast Hourly
Trend
ClosePatternTradePSMA5
BBV
 WTF lsma10
Trend
ema5
Trend
ema10
Trend
Volume
millions
Quarterly
Strength
100
Daily
Trend
Daily
Trend
Force
Daily
StdDev
Hourly
BBV
BBVRSIVIXCD
Click to see actual return for next trading day.
 
 
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