Trading Signals: ERX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ ERX: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Sun. Jan. 17, 2016

Trading Signals: ERX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Nov. 6, 2008 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily Energy Bull 3X ETF)
ERX latest price $168.2000 (-8.93%) ($158.2000 - $173.0000) on Sun. Jan. 17, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   5.52% (three month average)
RSI   24
Latest Price   $168.2000(-8.93%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ERX declines -2.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ERX declines -14.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ERX advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
(0%)    (0%)    (0%)    (0%)    (0%)
Factors Impacting ERX price   ERX will decline at least -2.76% in a week (0% probabilities).
(0%)    (0%)    (0%)    (0%)    (0%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.76% (StdDev 5.52%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 3.6%

Resistance Level   $212.47
5 Day Moving Average   $173.32(-2.95%)
10 Day Moving Average   $191.55(-12.19%)
20 Day Moving Average   $212.47(-20.84%)
To recent high   -57.7%
To recent low   2.9%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.03%

$. ERX is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.03% a day on average for holding it.$. ERX price fluctuates within 13.65% (three month std-dev: 5.52%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 8 Average positive next day return: 4.7%(25%) Average negative next day return: -3.78%(75%) Sample size 8 Average positive next three day return: 3.69%(63%) Average negative next three day return: -8.7%(38%) Sample size 8 Average positive next weekly return: 1.69%(13%) Average negative next weekly return: -5.44%(88%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160217

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_15_2016	293.54	212.47	191.55	173.32	172.35	170.59	168.2(-8.93%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-90	-90	-59	-183	0.73	38%	-0.45	-60.9	5.52%	0	-1.5	24	0
2	Jan_14_2016	294.88	216.63	198.05	176.96	176.08	174.01	184.7(13.04%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-64	-100	-28	-170	0.66	39%	-0.26	-63.5	5.49%	0	-1.2	25	0
3	Jan_13_2016	295.64	220.11	202.58	179	180.32	174.11	163.4(-6.95%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-122	-220	-96	-199	0.76	35%	-0.25	-61.7	5.22%	0	-2.1	30	0
4	Jan_12_2016	296.38	224.02	210.46	188.18	187	178.15	175.6(0.52%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-169	-350	-160	-194	0.84	36%	-0.25	-62.8	5.17%	0	-2	37	0
5	Jan_11_2016	297.11	227.17	216.74	200.52	196.49	186.54	174.7(-6.28%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-184	-410	-189	-167	0.69	36%	-0.41	-67.7	5.18%	0	-2.4	37	0

6	Jan_8_2016	298.34	231.72	224.53	212.56	209.84	195.86	186.4(-4.36%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-165	-500	-178	-124	0.54	38%	-0.49	-74	5.14%	0	-2.5	36	0
7	Jan_7_2016	299.8	235.43	231.72	222.14	219.78	206.45	194.9(-6.88%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-200	-460	-228	-115	0.54	38%	-0.54	-82.8	5.19%	0	-2.5	34	0
8	Jan_6_2016	301.42	238.27	235.47	229.44	228.09	223.83	209.3(-11.8%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-114	-150	-129	-67	0.72	42%	-0.59	-112	5.16%	0	-2.1	36	0
9	Jan_5_2016	303.22	240.7	237	235.76	233.07	233.11	237.3(1.02%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-9	-30	-8	-10	0.36	49%	-0.51	-142.1	5.04%	0	-0.3	52	0
10	Jan_4_2016	304.77	243.09	235.37	235.58	235.7	232.35	234.9(0.26%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-19	-100	-18	-20	0.53	49%	-0.78	-152.1	5.17%	0	-0.6	52	0

11	Dec_31_2015	307.17	245.9	235.14	238.72	236.8	233.03	234.3(1.25%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-83	-140	-92	-54	0.22	53%	-0.57	-105	5.4%	0	-0.6	42	0
12	Dec_30_2015	308.93	249.63	236.56	243.18	242.13	239.04	231.4(-3.94%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-31	-100	-34	-23	0.15	55%	-0.51	-87.4	5.4%	0	-0.7	43	0
13	Dec_29_2015	310.5	254.99	238.73	242.36	245.83	240.58	240.9(1.9%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-11	-110	-10	-14	0.22	55%	-0.46	-66.9	5.44%	0	-0.4	49	0
14	Dec_28_2015	311.95	259.55	238.28	238.14	241.04	245.23	236.4(-5.67%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0	-28	160	-25	-38	0.19	51%	-0.55	-60.3	5.44%	0	-0.6	45	0
15	Dec_24_2015	313.68	264.24	238.09	234.72	236.75	251.08	250.6(-2.34%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	131	450	171	11	0.18	53%	-0.33	-58.5	5.55%	0	-0.3	40	0

16	Dec_23_2015	314.71	268.52	238.95	231.06	229.8	236.85	256.6(12.89%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.6	101	200	142	-22	0.44	53%	-0.34	-57.3	5.55%	0	-0.3	40	0
17	Dec_22_2015	315.77	272.93	238.69	229.72	228	222.42	227.3(3.41%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-68	-190	-49	-126	0.3	49%	-0.44	-52.7	5.32%	0	-1	26	0
18	Dec_21_2015	317.17	278.07	240.83	235.1	234.55	222.75	219.8(0.23%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-162	-360	-152	-191	0.4	49%	-0.54	-51.5	5.32%	0	-1.3	20	0
19	Dec_18_2015	318.88	283.35	244.6	238.44	242.46	233.58	219.3(-5.6%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-152	-210	-134	-204	0.41	47%	-0.62	-51	5.33%	0	-1.5	22	0
20	Dec_17_2015	320.88	289.21	251.52	241.34	244.22	246.36	232.3(-7.04%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-89	100	-58	-180	0.31	48%	-0.61	-50.2	5.37%	0	-1.3	25	0

21	Dec_16_2015	322.84	295.04	257.66	247.52	244.56	251.34	249.9(-1.69%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	19	160	70	-133	0.38	53%	-0.5	-47.1	5.3%	0	-1.1	26	0
22	Dec_15_2015	324.45	299.2	263.67	249.12	247.23	242.08	254.2(7.48%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-14	-170	32	-153	0.36	53%	-0.38	-50.7	5.4%	0	-1.1	26	0
23	Dec_14_2015	325.7	303.67	272.21	247.92	248.92	237.78	236.5(1.15%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-176	-300	-159	-227	0.42	51%	-0.49	-54.2	5.34%	0	-1.7	27	0
24	Dec_11_2015	327.29	307.79	282.28	251.88	251.91	252.39	233.8(-11.17%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-133	10	-112	-195	0.54	51%	-0.57	-63.1	5.34%	0	-2	29	0
25	Dec_10_2015	329.15	312.29	292.51	263.08	256.14	260.06	263.2(2.06%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	1	30	40	-118	0.39	55%		-71.1	5.17%	0	-1.5	32	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.