Trading Signals: ERX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ ERX: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Mon. Nov. 23, 2015

Trading Signals: ERX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Nov. 6, 2008 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily Energy Bull 3X ETF)
ERX latest price $330.2000 (2.29%) ($316.0000 - $335.2000) on Mon. Nov. 23, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   5.86% (three month average)
RSI   32
Latest Price   $330.2000(2.29%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ERX declines -0.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ERX declines -5.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ERX advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLE(93%)    OIH(89%)    XOP(87%)    IWD(74%)    IVE(73%)
Factors Impacting ERX price   ERX will decline at least -2.93% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-26%)    TLT(-25%)    UUP(-16%)    IGOV(-5%)    SHY(-4%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.93% (StdDev 5.86%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 2.5%

Resistance Level   $345.68
5 Day Moving Average   $333.16(-0.89%)
10 Day Moving Average   $333.4(-0.96%)
20 Day Moving Average   $345.68(-4.48%)
To recent high   -16.9%
To recent low   40.5%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.03%

$. ERX is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.03% a day on average for holding it.$. ERX price fluctuates within 6.92% (three month std-dev: 5.86%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 2.21%(100%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 1.58%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 6.12%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20151223

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_23_2015	349.02	345.68	333.4	333.16	333.23	327.56	330.2(2.29%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-67	-120	-61	-85	0.23	56%	-0.05	-10.7	5.86%	0	-0.6	32	0
2	Nov_20_2015	349.21	345.55	336.06	335.62	335.58	333.01	322.8(-3.27%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-51	-50	-43	-76	0.2	52%	-0.48	-11.8	5.99%	0	-1	40	0
3	Nov_19_2015	350.89	347.02	340.63	333.34	334.89	338.9	333.7(-4.11%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	22	100	42	-40	0.34	50%	-0.43	-17.8	6.04%	0	-0.6	50	0
4	Nov_18_2015	352.4	347.99	344.64	329.7	328.48	338.14	348(5.1%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	60	190	86	-19	0.33	50%	-0.44	-24.8	6.11%	0	0	55	0
5	Nov_17_2015	353.95	347.38	348.04	327.84	323.48	330.89	331.1(-3.33%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	53	120	75	-14	0.23	50%	-0.46	-29.3	6.08%	0	-0.7	53	0

6	Nov_16_2015	355.58	348.25	354.43	334.1	327.21	318.81	342.5(9.99%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-23	-240	-22	-24	0.35	50%	-0.5	-20.7	6.06%	0	-0.3	61	0
7	Nov_13_2015	357.38	348.38	357.15	337.38	335.67	316.06	311.4(-1.3%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-208	-420	-245	-96	0.35	46%	-0.58	-17.6	5.94%	0	-1.6	51	0
8	Nov_12_2015	359.47	351.21	361.23	349.14	349.31	335.61	315.5(-6.85%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-193	-270	-233	-74	0.29	48%	-0.61	-3.2	5.96%	0	-1.6	45	0
9	Nov_11_2015	361.66	353.82	364.26	361.3	360.66	355.27	338.7(-6.54%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-86	-110	-112	-9	0.16	49%	-0.57	12	5.94%	0	-0.7	49	0
10	Nov_10_2015	363.73	354.27	364.31	370.84	368.18	363	362.4(0.98%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-47	-120	-71	25	0.24	53%	-0.48	24.6	5.88%	0	0.4	59	0

11	Nov_9_2015	365.5	353.05	359.79	377.86	375.8	366.04	358.9(-3.05%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.9	-64	-200	-92	20	0.19	53%	-0.44	35.3	6%	0	0.3	54	0
12	Nov_6_2015	367.12	352.52	356.59	379.96	381.67	373.36	370.2(-1.62%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-56	-140	-82	23	0.21	53%	-0.45	46	6.03%	0	0.9	58	0
13	Nov_5_2015	368.78	351.93	354.43	374.96	378.74	385.56	376.3(-2.61%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	25	160	16	51	0.25	53%	-0.43	56	6.05%	0	1.2	52	0
14	Nov_4_2015	370.38	351.38	351.74	367.26	369.58	389.98	386.4(-2.79%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1	201	410	228	120	0.27	53%	-0.41	74.5	6.05%	0	1.8	54	0
15	Nov_3_2015	371.92	349.33	346.25	356.58	355.8	371.91	397.5(7.61%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.3	244	310	284	123	0.3	51%	-0.35	88.6	6.04%	0	2.7	62	0

16	Nov_2_2015	373.23	346.07	340.51	339.46	339.85	349.18	369.4(7.01%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.9	119	200	144	42	0.23	50%	-0.43	99.6	6.02%	0	1.5	59	0
17	Oct_30_2015	374.86	343.43	337.59	330.26	328.69	339.68	345.2(2.19%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	64	220	85	2	0.24	47%	-0.55	89.6	6.02%	0	0.1	50	0
18	Oct_29_2015	376.93	340.92	339.27	331.22	326.63	330.51	337.8(1.44%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	67	40	87	5	0.17	47%	-0.58	70.5	6.01%	0	-0.1	44	0
19	Oct_28_2015	379.13	337.38	341.76	334.08	330.04	317.7	333(6.76%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-65	-300	-68	-55	0.25	49%	-0.54	60.2	6.03%	0	-0.1	40	0
20	Oct_27_2015	381.19	333.97	343.08	334.32	335.33	322.74	311.9(-3.56%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-181	-250	-205	-110	0.19	47%	-0.59	49.9	6.07%	0	-0.6	42	0

21	Oct_26_2015	383.47	330.97	346.06	341.24	342.62	342.39	323.4(-7.6%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-56	10	-60	-42	0.19	47%	-0.58	45.7	6.07%	0	-0.2	49	0
22	Oct_23_2015	385.72	327.34	348.82	345.36	344.76	347.93	350(-0.6%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	33	60	40	12	0.17	47%	-0.48	42.1	6.04%	0	0.5	63	0
23	Oct_22_2015	387.59	323.63	349.85	348.5	344.48	342.85	352.1(5.36%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	-7	-70	-14	15	0.19	47%	-0.53	42.9	6.04%	0	0.7	70	0
24	Oct_21_2015	389.66	319.67	351.42	351.06	348.88	341.59	334.2(-3.55%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.4	-34	-160	-56	34	0.18	47%	-0.6	40.5	6.01%	0	0.3	74	0
25	Oct_20_2015	392.03	316.52	353.18	353.28	352.13	346.12	346.5(0.73%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-44	-130	-78	58	0.13	46%		37.7	5.99%	0	0.7	78	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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