Trading Signals: ERX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ ERX: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Fri. Oct. 9, 2015

Trading Signals: ERX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Nov. 6, 2008 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily Energy Bull 3X ETF)
ERX latest price $361.7000 (-2.24%) ($355.5000 - $372.9000) on Fri. Oct. 9, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   5.96% (three month average)
RSI   66
Latest Price   $361.7000(-2.24%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ERX advances 4.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ERX advances 14.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Value stock rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ERX advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLE(93%)    OIH(89%)    XOP(87%)    IWD(74%)    IVE(73%)
Factors Impacting ERX price   ERX will decline at least -2.98% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-27%)    TLT(-25%)    UUP(-15%)    IGOV(-5%)    XLRE(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.98% (StdDev 5.96%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -2.7%

5 Day Moving Average   $346.72(4.32%)
10 Day Moving Average   $304.74(18.69%)
20 Day Moving Average   $293.83(23.1%)
To recent high   -25.9%
To recent low   53.9%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.04%

$. ERX is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.04% a day on average for holding it.$. ERX price fluctuates within 12.26% (three month std-dev: 5.96%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 5 Average positive next day return: 9.98%(60%) Average negative next day return: -3.68%(40%) Sample size 5 Average positive next three day return: 13.79%(60%) Average negative next three day return: -5.77%(40%) Sample size 5 Average positive next weekly return: 13.34%(60%) Average negative next weekly return: -8.07%(40%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20151109

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_9_2015	406.08	293.83	304.74	346.72	349.78	361.62	361.7(-2.24%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	175	260	162	212	0.48	44%	-0.62	47.6	5.96%	0	1.9	66	0
2	Oct_8_2015	408.61	289.5	295.44	332.3	335.55	352.53	370(5.9%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	249	380	259	220	0.51	43%	-0.55	36.4	5.95%	0	2.5	69	0
3	Oct_7_2015	410.89	285.01	284.84	309.88	313.32	337.95	349.4(3.83%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	263	580	292	174	0.55	44%	-0.6	17.9	5.95%	0	2.4	57	0
4	Oct_6_2015	413.35	281.42	276.06	291.18	292.04	318.58	336.5(6.49%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2	319	650	373	155	0.43	43%	-0.68	-3.5	5.94%	0	2.4	55	0
5	Oct_5_2015	416.2	279.25	269.46	271.78	272.73	288.69	316(9.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.2	247	420	301	84	0.44	42%	-0.73	-36.1	5.89%	0	1.8	58	0

6	Oct_2_2015	419.26	277.61	265.95	256.76	256.09	265.51	289.6(12.29%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.8	70	250	101	-23	0.36	40%	-0.77	-67.6	5.81%	0	0.6	55	0
7	Oct_1_2015	422.52	278.15	264.89	253.46	251.97	256.78	257.9(0.78%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.2	41	120	70	-45	0.4	36%	-0.84	-68.7	5.58%	0	-1.1	44	0
8	Sep_30_2015	426.1	280.29	269.53	256.12	255.16	246.66	255.9(6.85%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-40	-240	-29	-74	0.31	36%	-0.85	-57.4	5.59%	0	-1.3	41	0
9	Sep_29_2015	429.75	282.25	274.53	258.56	259.05	247.16	239.5(-0.58%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-188	-320	-206	-134	0.24	33%	-0.86	-43.6	5.52%	0	-2.3	36	0
10	Sep_28_2015	433.47	286.72	279.31	266.32	267.54	263.66	240.9(-11.79%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-107	-90	-114	-87	0.48	33%	-0.93	-13.7	5.54%	0	-2.5	32	0

11	Sep_25_2015	437.56	290.72	283.21	275.84	274.11	270.94	273.1(0.7%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-30	-100	-27	-39	0.36	34%	-0.78	7.9	5.38%	0	-1.1	46	0
12	Sep_24_2015	441.02	292.02	284.23	277.94	277.67	271.43	271.2(1.16%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-86	-160	-92	-68	0.27	34%	-0.83	3.2	5.38%	0	-1.4	40	0
13	Sep_23_2015	444.72	291.71	286.2	285.18	282.67	277.29	268.1(-3.67%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-107	-160	-120	-68	0.31	34%	-0.85	-9.8	5.38%	0	-1.4	41	0
14	Sep_22_2015	448.51	290.49	288.14	293.12	291.31	283.91	278.3(-3.54%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-60	-200	-69	-34	0.33	35%	-0.87	-29.8	5.37%	0	-0.6	47	0
15	Sep_21_2015	452.45	289.22	290.45	294.2	296.45	288.06	288.5(1.73%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-75	-180	-84	-47	0.35	35%	-0.85	-53	5.39%	0	-0	39	0

16	Sep_18_2015	456.33	289.48	290.48	291.42	294.4	298.71	283.6(-7.74%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-42	130	-41	-46	0.53	35%	-0.85	-73.6	5.38%	0	-0.3	41	0
17	Sep_17_2015	460.22	291.52	292.5	291.06	291.6	304.84	307.4(-0.13%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	153	320	188	46	0.4	36%	-0.8	-80.2	5.31%	0	0.7	54	0
18	Sep_16_2015	463.93	293.33	291.55	287.56	283.71	290.09	307.8(8.49%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	107	120	133	29	0.3	36%	-0.76	-82.4	5.31%	0	0.5	64	0
19	Sep_15_2015	467.49	296.59	289.91	283.02	280.77	278.35	283.7(3.31%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-22	-80	-21	-23	0.13	34%	-0.78	-70.7	5.2%	0	-0.4	67	0
20	Sep_14_2015	471.18	301.4	294.1	286.6	285.24	277.33	274.6(-2.56%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-73	-210	-92	-14	0.19	34%	-0.8	-59.2	5.17%	0	-0.7	61	0

21	Sep_11_2015	474.99	306.67	298.53	289.36	290.67	283.19	281.8(-2.79%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-91	-170	-118	-9	0.22	33%	-0.8	-50.1	5.18%	0	-0.6	50	0
22	Sep_10_2015	478.84	311.75	300.34	293.86	293.37	293.15	289.9(1.68%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-59	-10	-81	6	0.3	34%	-0.75	-43.2	5.17%	0	-0.5	46	0
23	Sep_9_2015	482.48	317.23	297.79	295.98	298.5	298.15	285.1(-5.47%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	38	20	42	27	0.54	34%	-0.73	-34.7	5.19%	0	-0.7	41	0
24	Sep_8_2015	486.04	322.11	293.55	297.66	298.38	293.6	301.6(4.58%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-59	-100	-58	-61	0.31	35%	-1.05	-31.4	5.16%	0	-0.4	39	0
25	Sep_4_2015	491.22	326.01	288.42	303.06	298.45	298.86	288.4(-5.23%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-95	-40	-90	-111	0.21	34%		-27.4	5.09%	0	-0.7	37	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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