Trading Signals: ERX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ ERX: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Tue. Aug. 25, 2015

Trading Signals: ERX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Nov. 6, 2008 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily Energy Bull 3X ETF)
ERX latest price $235.0000 (-4.78%) ($235.0000 - $278.0000) on Tue. Aug. 25, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   4.15% (three month average)
RSI   30
Latest Price   $235.0000(-4.78%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ERX declines -9.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ERX declines -11.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ERX advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLE(93%)    OIH(89%)    XOP(87%)    IVE(73%)    IWN(71%)
Factors Impacting ERX price   ERX will decline at least -2.075% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-28%)    TLT(-25%)    UUP(-13%)    IGOV(-7%)    VCIT(-5%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.075% (StdDev 4.15%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -15.2%

Resistance Level   $358.28
5 Day Moving Average   $291.12(-19.28%)
10 Day Moving Average   $337.33(-30.34%)
20 Day Moving Average   $358.28(-34.41%)
To recent high   -59.1%
To recent low   0%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.02%

$. ERX is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.02% a day on average for holding it.$. ERX price fluctuates within 13.77% (three month std-dev: 4.15%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 3 Average positive next day return: 1.06%(33%) Average negative next day return: -0.69%(67%) Sample size 3 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: -8.74%(100%) Sample size 3 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: -6.89%(100%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150925

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_25_2015	516.67	358.28	337.33	291.12	288.8	253.43	235(-4.78%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-511	-880	-553	-384	0.3	24%	-0.68	-55.8	4.15%	0	-2.5	30	INF
2	Aug_24_2015	520.21	367.47	353.22	320.96	315.71	279.5	246.8(-16.11%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.8	-718	-850	-817	-421	0.49	25%	-0.53	-53.2	4.16%	0	-3	31	INF
3	Aug_21_2015	523	374.67	367.91	349.16	349.14	324.16	294.2(-10.28%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.8	-479	-500	-554	-255	0.49	28%	-0.51	-56	3.72%	0	-2.7	37	INF
4	Aug_20_2015	525.67	380.05	374.56	367.44	368.18	351.93	327.9(-6.77%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-370	-300	-434	-179	0.49	30%	-0.44	-58.2	3.56%	0	-2.1	38	INF
5	Aug_19_2015	527.97	384.69	379.41	379.6	380.54	374.13	351.7(-8.46%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-192	-110	-228	-85	0.37	30%	-0.38	-58.6	3.49%	0	-1.5	37	INF

6	Aug_18_2015	529.97	388.09	380.09	390.58	388.01	384.43	384.2(-0.93%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-48	-80	-57	-19	0.14	32%	-0.34	-54	3.38%	0	-0.2	40	INF
7	Aug_17_2015	531.79	390.2	377.93	390.86	390.12	386.96	387.8(0.57%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-40	-60	-42	-32	0.11	32%	-0.27	-61.1	3.38%	0	-0.1	45	INF
8	Aug_14_2015	533.24	392.09	375.67	389.94	387.26	391.59	385.6(-0.8%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	22	60	33	-10	0.12	32%	-0.3	-63.8	3.38%	0	-0.2	53	INF
9	Aug_13_2015	534.84	394.97	375.83	382.74	381.98	393.28	388.7(-4.4%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	190	200	237	50	0.2	32%	-0.3	-65.4	3.38%	0	-0.2	50	INF
10	Aug_12_2015	536.43	398.44	378.1	379.04	373.21	382.94	406.6(5.45%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	223	140	279	56	0.29	33%	-0.22	-63.2	3.35%	0	0.2	48	INF

11	Aug_11_2015	537.62	400.9	379.21	368.22	364.44	370.68	385.6(0.63%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.5	98	90	139	-27	0.23	29%	-0.28	-62.3	3.27%	0	-0.4	44	INF
12	Aug_10_2015	539.15	405.67	381.23	363.38	362.15	363.48	383.2(9.61%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.5	50	20	89	-66	0.25	29%	-0.3	-61.6	3.33%	0	-0.6	41	INF
13	Aug_7_2015	540.76	410.13	380.71	359.8	361.74	358.21	349.6(-5.56%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-110	-50	-88	-174	0.25	26%	-0.32	-62	3.14%	0	-1.5	33	INF
14	Aug_6_2015	542.48	416.08	385.45	367.88	365.17	360.81	370.2(5.02%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-196	-110	-188	-219	0.28	27%	-0.33	-62.5	3.1%	0	-1.1	32	INF
15	Aug_5_2015	544.26	420.68	390.14	377.28	375.48	365.28	352.5(-2.46%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.6	-236	-200	-235	-239	0.23	23%	-0.27	-61.2	3.01%	0	-1.8	24	INF

16	Aug_4_2015	545.76	426.01	397.02	391.94	389.47	369.53	361.4(-1.07%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-374	-380	-403	-287	0.19	23%	-0.27	-59.6	3.03%	0	-1.7	26	INF
17	Aug_3_2015	547.23	432.2	404.03	401.54	401.67	385.68	365.3(-6.33%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1	-417	-280	-453	-307	0.25	23%	-0.23	-58.8	3.03%	0	-1.9	23	INF
18	Jul_31_2015	548.47	437.66	410.66	404	407.46	409.4	390(-6.52%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-114	60	-92	-178	0.19	24%	-0.19	-69.6	2.97%	0	-1.5	30	INF
19	Jul_30_2015	549.51	442.63	416.38	404.86	402.68	417.65	417.2(-2.02%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	172	240	247	-53	0.18	26%	-0.16	-74.2	2.89%	0	-0.8	38	INF
20	Jul_29_2015	550.38	445.9	420.63	405.1	399.07	405.53	425.8(4.01%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.6	218	70	301	-31	0.35	26%	-0.13	-80	2.88%	0	-0.6	41	INF

21	Jul_28_2015	551.11	449.53	423.9	403.82	400.05	387.72	409.4(8.42%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-180	-240	-166	-222	0.28	23%	-0.2	-82.7	2.84%	0	-1.2	39	INF
22	Jul_27_2015	552.23	453.71	431.33	408	406.94	392.62	377.6(-4.24%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.9	-505	-250	-548	-376	0.22	16%	-0.28	-86.7	2.62%	0	-2.3	21	INF
23	Jul_24_2015	553.8	460.98	441.49	418.32	420.21	412.39	394.3(-5.76%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-275	-120	-286	-243	0.2	16%	-0.31	-85.7	2.58%	0	-2.2	30	INF
24	Jul_23_2015	555.5	467.26	449.12	429.12	428.34	421.26	418.4(-0.24%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-246	-120	-256	-216	0.15	18%	-0.28	-85.6	2.5%	0	-1.7	30	INF
25	Jul_22_2015	557.06	472.95	453.67	438.32	437.03	428.03	419.4(-2.53%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-274	-150	-293	-216	0.15	18%		-76.9	2.53%	0	-1.8	33	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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