Trading Signals: ERX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ ERX: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Fri. Aug. 14, 2015

Trading Signals: ERX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Nov. 6, 2008 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily Energy Bull 3X ETF)
ERX latest price $385.6000 (-0.8%) ($382.6000 - $398.4000) on Fri. Aug. 14, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.38% (three month average)
RSI   53
Latest Price   $385.6000(-0.8%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ERX advances 1.9% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ERX declines -1.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ERX advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLE(93%)    OIH(89%)    XOP(87%)    IVE(73%)    VYM(70%)
Factors Impacting ERX price   ERX will decline at least -1.69% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-28%)    TLT(-25%)    UUP(-13%)    IGOV(-6%)    SHY(-5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.69% (StdDev 3.38%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1.3%

Resistance Level   $392.09
5 Day Moving Average   $389.94(-1.11%)
10 Day Moving Average   $375.67(2.64%)
20 Day Moving Average   $392.09(-1.66%)
To recent high   -37.4%
To recent low   10.3%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.01%

$. ERX is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.01% a day on average for holding it.$. ERX price fluctuates within 6.9% (three month std-dev: 3.38%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150914

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_14_2015	533.24	392.09	375.67	389.94	387.26	391.59	385.6(-0.8%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	22	60	33	-10	0.12	32%	-0.3	-63.8	3.38%	0	-0.2	53	0
2	Aug_13_2015	534.84	394.97	375.83	382.74	381.98	393.28	388.7(-4.4%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	190	200	237	50	0.2	32%	-0.3	-65.4	3.38%	0	-0.2	50	0
3	Aug_12_2015	536.43	398.44	378.1	379.04	373.21	382.94	406.6(5.45%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	223	140	279	56	0.29	33%	-0.22	-63.2	3.35%	0	0.2	48	0
4	Aug_11_2015	537.62	400.9	379.21	368.22	364.44	370.68	385.6(0.63%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.5	98	90	139	-27	0.23	29%	-0.28	-62.3	3.27%	0	-0.4	44	0
5	Aug_10_2015	539.15	405.67	381.23	363.38	362.15	363.48	383.2(9.61%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.5	50	20	89	-66	0.25	29%	-0.3	-61.6	3.33%	0	-0.6	41	0

6	Aug_7_2015	540.76	410.13	380.71	359.8	361.74	358.21	349.6(-5.56%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-110	-50	-88	-174	0.25	26%	-0.32	-62	3.14%	0	-1.5	33	0
7	Aug_6_2015	542.48	416.08	385.45	367.88	365.17	360.81	370.2(5.02%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-196	-110	-188	-219	0.28	27%	-0.33	-62.5	3.1%	0	-1.1	32	0
8	Aug_5_2015	544.26	420.68	390.14	377.28	375.48	365.28	352.5(-2.46%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.6	-236	-200	-235	-239	0.23	23%	-0.27	-61.2	3.01%	0	-1.8	24	0
9	Aug_4_2015	545.76	426.01	397.02	391.94	389.47	369.53	361.4(-1.07%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-374	-380	-403	-287	0.19	23%	-0.27	-59.6	3.03%	0	-1.7	26	0
10	Aug_3_2015	547.23	432.2	404.03	401.54	401.67	385.68	365.3(-6.33%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1	-417	-280	-453	-307	0.25	23%	-0.23	-58.8	3.03%	0	-1.9	23	0

11	Jul_31_2015	548.47	437.66	410.66	404	407.46	409.4	390(-6.52%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-114	60	-92	-178	0.19	24%	-0.19	-69.6	2.97%	0	-1.5	30	0
12	Jul_30_2015	549.51	442.63	416.38	404.86	402.68	417.65	417.2(-2.02%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	172	240	247	-53	0.18	26%	-0.16	-74.2	2.89%	0	-0.8	38	0
13	Jul_29_2015	550.38	445.9	420.63	405.1	399.07	405.53	425.8(4.01%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.6	218	70	301	-31	0.35	26%	-0.13	-80	2.88%	0	-0.6	41	0
14	Jul_28_2015	551.11	449.53	423.9	403.82	400.05	387.72	409.4(8.42%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-180	-240	-166	-222	0.28	23%	-0.2	-82.7	2.84%	0	-1.2	39	0
15	Jul_27_2015	552.23	453.71	431.33	408	406.94	392.62	377.6(-4.24%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.9	-505	-250	-548	-376	0.22	16%	-0.28	-86.7	2.62%	0	-2.3	21	0

16	Jul_24_2015	553.8	460.98	441.49	418.32	420.21	412.39	394.3(-5.76%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-275	-120	-286	-243	0.2	16%	-0.31	-85.7	2.58%	0	-2.2	30	0
17	Jul_23_2015	555.5	467.26	449.12	429.12	428.34	421.26	418.4(-0.24%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-246	-120	-256	-216	0.15	18%	-0.28	-85.6	2.5%	0	-1.7	30	0
18	Jul_22_2015	557.06	472.95	453.67	438.32	437.03	428.03	419.4(-2.53%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-274	-150	-293	-216	0.15	18%	-0.28	-76.9	2.53%	0	-1.8	33	0
19	Jul_21_2015	558.63	479.1	457.59	447.06	448.14	435.43	430.3(0.26%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-318	-190	-346	-235	0.12	18%	-0.25	-67.9	2.54%	0	-1.6	31	0
20	Jul_20_2015	560.03	484.48	462.97	458.6	458.06	446.03	429.2(-4.26%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-388	-190	-436	-245	0.16	18%	-0.27	-57.2	2.55%	0	-1.8	35	0

21	Jul_17_2015	561.57	489.15	467.42	468.1	469.09	460.86	448.3(-3.47%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-230	-120	-250	-169	0.15	19%	-0.25	-55.3	2.52%	0	-1.4	32	0
22	Jul_16_2015	562.98	493.47	471.51	471.86	474.19	470.1	464.4(0.28%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-142	-50	-146	-131	0.08	20%	-0.28	-55.3	2.5%	0	-1	36	0
23	Jul_15_2015	564.58	496.97	473.39	471.18	474.38	477.32	463.1(-5.1%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-27	60	-3	-98	0.16	27%	-0.27	-58.7	2.5%	0	-1.2	33	0
24	Jul_14_2015	566.11	500.73	477.08	469.42	473.27	478.29	488(2.37%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.7	127	100	183	-42	0.13	34%	-0.22	-60.7	2.61%	0	-0.4	34	0
25	Jul_13_2015	567.34	502.63	477.25	468.46	468.92	471.44	476.7(2.06%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	26	40	70	-105	0.12	34%		-63.1	2.68%	0	-0.9	33	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.