Trading Signals: ERX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ ERX: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Fri. May. 22, 2015

Trading Signals: ERX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Nov. 6, 2008 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily Energy Bull 3X ETF)
ERX latest price $603.2000 (-1.13%) ($594.0000 - $611.6000) on Fri. May. 22, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.08% (three month average)
RSI   34
Latest Price   $603.2000(-1.13%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ERX declines -0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ERX declines -2.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ERX advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLE(93%)    OIH(89%)    XOP(87%)    IVE(73%)    VYM(70%)
Factors Impacting ERX price   ERX will decline at least -1.54% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-28%)    TLT(-25%)    UUP(-13%)    IGOV(-6%)    SHY(-5%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.54% (StdDev 3.08%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.7%

Resistance Level   $626.71
5 Day Moving Average   $602.56(0.11%)
10 Day Moving Average   $606.26(-0.5%)
20 Day Moving Average   $626.71(-3.75%)
To recent high   -10.1%
To recent low   24%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.01%

$. ERX is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.01% a day on average for holding it.$. ERX price fluctuates within 4.06% (three month std-dev: 3.08%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 8 Average positive next day return: 1.35%(25%) Average negative next day return: -2.34%(75%) Sample size 8 Average positive next three day return: 2.26%(13%) Average negative next three day return: -3.33%(88%) Sample size 8 Average positive next weekly return: 1.1%(25%) Average negative next weekly return: -4.57%(75%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150622

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_22_2015	579.15	626.71	606.26	602.56	599.54	604.09	603.2(-1.13%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	24	40	44	-36	0.07	63%	0.04	-46.1	3.08%	0	-0.9	34	0
2	May_21_2015	578.9	628.97	609.77	605.04	602.26	599.58	610.1(2.9%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.2	44	-40	69	-30	0.11	63%	0.01	-43.6	3.1%	0	-0.7	34	0
3	May_20_2015	578.85	631.4	609.97	604.88	602.85	594.99	592.9(0.42%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-201	-100	-215	-159	0.11	63%	-0.04	-45.3	3.1%	0	-1.5	30	0
4	May_19_2015	579.1	634.23	614	607.98	608.11	604.95	590.4(-4.19%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-146	-40	-148	-138	0.16	63%	-0.08	-48.9	3.1%	0	-1.9	28	0
5	May_18_2015	579.54	636.68	619.02	612.66	613.34	610.71	616.2(0.1%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-19	-30	1	-77	0.09	67%	-0.02	-45.6	3.06%	0	-0.9	39	0

6	May_15_2015	579.64	638.63	623.39	610.34	612.57	611.27	615.6(1.03%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-120	-0	-118	-125	0.1	67%	0.06	-37	3.07%	0	-1.1	43	0
7	May_14_2015	579.27	640.29	628.39	615.48	616.3	615.97	609.3(0.15%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-18	0	-2	-65	0.1	67%	-0.03	-23	3.09%	0	-1.5	41	0
8	May_13_2015	579.44	643.02	633.85	616.08	619.96	613.87	608.4(-0.88%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-56	-50	-47	-81	0.15	70%	-0.06	-9.6	3.12%	0	-1.7	37	0
9	May_12_2015	579.79	645.97	640.11	621.08	619.71	616.64	613.8(1.52%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-209	-40	-232	-140	0.1	70%	-0.01	18.9	3.22%	0	-1.7	43	0
10	May_11_2015	579.84	646.69	644.52	626.36	628.35	626.05	604.6(-5.72%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-50	-20	-49	-53	0.24	70%	-0.05	31.3	3.25%	0	-2	45	0

11	May_8_2015	580.15	646.54	649.12	638.22	637.83	622.78	641.3(4.74%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-197	-170	-226	-109	0.22	76%	0.1	49.5	3.13%	0	-0.2	47	0
12	May_7_2015	579.57	645.1	649.88	643.76	647.68	630.65	612.3(-3.33%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-416	-170	-486	-204	0.24	74%	0.11	63.2	3.1%	0	-1.4	42	0
13	May_6_2015	578.94	644.92	654.95	654.28	659.8	652.88	633.4(-1.06%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-219	-50	-260	-97	0.2	78%	0.26	75.4	3.09%	0	-0.4	42	0
14	May_5_2015	577.45	642.36	656.59	661.86	666.08	664.72	640.2(-3.57%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-23	0	-31	2	0.25	78%	0.3	82.3	3.09%	0	-0.1	42	0
15	May_4_2015	575.75	640.03	656.39	665.02	665.65	666.72	663.9(-0.76%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	37	10	36	38	0.26	82%	0.31	84.6	3.09%	0	0.8	64	0

16	May_1_2015	573.95	636.21	655.37	661.36	661.15	667.44	669(0.62%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	71	70	74	61	0.28	87%	0.27	90.2	3.45%	0	1	72	0
17	Apr_30_2015	572.39	630.78	653.05	657.1	657.81	664.59	664.9(-0.95%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	166	80	185	110	0.3	87%	0.26	80.8	3.48%	0	1	65	0
18	Apr_29_2015	570.9	625.36	652.56	655.98	652.64	654.86	671.3(2.33%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	66	10	63	75	0.23	87%	0.18	76.2	3.48%	0	1.2	68	0
19	Apr_28_2015	569.89	619.33	651.64	650.98	652.18	651.03	656(1.61%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	44	-10	32	80	0.17	75%	0.18	73	3.47%	0	0.9	71	0
20	Apr_27_2015	568.85	614.69	648.45	646.58	649.98	650.43	645.6(-0.32%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0	-6	20	-26	55	0.14	75%	0.02	72.4	3.79%	0	0.8	64	0

21	Apr_24_2015	568.72	609.16	643.57	648.36	648.27	653.33	647.7(-1.76%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	46	50	33	84	0.23	75%	-0.02	68.1	3.79%	0	0.9	65	0
22	Apr_23_2015	568.82	604	639.88	648.16	650.4	649.53	659.3(2.01%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	110	0	104	127	0.2	75%	-0.03	69.8	3.81%	0	1.3	73	0
23	Apr_22_2015	568.98	598.22	634.12	648.8	647.59	643.22	646.3(1.94%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-102	-50	-149	41	0.14	75%	-0.01	72	3.82%	0	1.1	72	0
24	Apr_21_2015	569.05	592.16	627.26	652.68	652.8	651.27	634(-3.13%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	16	-20	-16	111	0.2	77%	0	76.4	3.82%	0	0.9	72	0
25	Apr_20_2015	569.03	587.25	622.94	650.2	653.9	651.97	654.5(1.21%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	89	-0	68	150	0.18	77%		78.4	3.85%	0	1.5	71	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.