Trading Signals: ERX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ ERX: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Fri. Mar. 6, 2015

Trading Signals: ERX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Nov. 6, 2008 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily Energy Bull 3X ETF)
ERX latest price $531.1000 (-5.36%) ($526.9000 - $557.7000) on Fri. Mar. 6, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   5.06% (three month average)
RSI   15
Latest Price   $531.1000(-5.36%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ERX declines -1.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ERX declines -6.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ERX advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLE(93%)    OIH(89%)    XOP(87%)    IVE(73%)    VYM(70%)
Factors Impacting ERX price   ERX will decline at least -2.53% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-28%)    TLT(-25%)    UUP(-14%)    IGOV(-5%)    SHY(-4%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.53% (StdDev 5.06%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -3.2%

Resistance Level   $598.62
5 Day Moving Average   $560.94(-5.32%)
10 Day Moving Average   $579.86(-8.41%)
20 Day Moving Average   $598.62(-11.28%)
To recent high   -19%
To recent low   14.4%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.03%

$. ERX is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.03% a day on average for holding it.$. ERX price fluctuates within 5% (three month std-dev: 5.06%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -4.3%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 4.61%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 9.33%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150406

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_6_2015	641.82	598.62	579.86	560.94	561.12	552.49	531.1(-5.36%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1	-170	-110	-179	-144	0.33	53%	-0.27	-15	5.06%	0	-2.3	15	INF
2	Mar_5_2015	643.58	602.48	588.53	570.6	567.91	565.89	561.2(-1.77%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-80	-40	-76	-93	0.09	55%	-0.17	10.4	5.05%	0	-1.6	38	INF
3	Mar_4_2015	644.66	603.6	594.78	575.82	573.58	569.75	571.3(-0.37%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-56	-60	-51	-72	0.16	55%	-0.13	32.1	5.07%	0	-1.3	48	INF
4	Mar_3_2015	645.49	605.48	600.91	585.78	580.79	569.94	573.4(1%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-132	-160	-144	-95	0.17	55%	-0.16	55.2	5.08%	0	-1.4	46	INF
5	Mar_2_2015	646.55	605.22	608.97	593.62	591.84	577.4	567.7(-2.02%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-184	-180	-210	-104	0.28	55%	-0.29	62.3	5.1%	0	-1.5	44	INF

6	Feb_27_2015	648.4	603.14	617.39	601.76	602.96	591.65	579.4(-1.35%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-137	-130	-160	-67	0.14	48%	-0.32	53.6	5.59%	0	-0.8	48	INF
7	Feb_26_2015	650.46	599.81	621.14	608.9	607.55	606.28	587.3(-5.44%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-84	-20	-100	-34	0.39	48%	-0.46	43.4	5.64%	0	-0.3	49	INF
8	Feb_25_2015	653.46	595.86	622.1	616.16	612.28	614.26	621.1(1.39%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	51	0	55	37	0.24	47%	-0.37	37.7	5.62%	0	0.6	66	INF
9	Feb_24_2015	655.86	592.89	620.35	618.6	610.68	608.83	612.6(0.69%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-39	-60	-51	-3	0.22	47%	-0.43	45.1	5.64%	0	0.4	53	INF
10	Feb_23_2015	658.7	590.4	619.64	627.24	616.83	610.3	608.4(-1.09%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.4	-61	-120	-81	1	0.31	47%	-0.43	57.2	5.65%	0	0.4	64	INF

11	Feb_20_2015	661.57	587.06	619.06	635.7	627.44	612.54	615.1(-1.36%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.5	-93	-210	-126	7	0.53	47%	-0.43	70.4	5.67%	0	0.6	73	INF
12	Feb_19_2015	664.41	583.83	617.8	634.98	633.39	623.35	623.6(-1.53%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.3	-121	-120	-165	10	0.36	47%	-0.43	78.1	5.69%	0	0.9	76	INF
13	Feb_18_2015	667.28	579.72	613.34	628.16	633.76	642.34	633.3(-3.43%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	77	120	65	111	0.36	47%	-0.51	82.1	5.7%	0	1.2	78	INF
14	Feb_17_2015	670.68	573.69	610.34	621.78	620.24	643.42	655.8(0.78%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	222	250	235	182	0.42	47%	-1.02	80.5	5.68%	0	1.8	64	INF
15	Feb_13_2015	677.62	566.23	600.65	611.2	607.26	625.19	650.7(6.41%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	273	190	298	199	0.43	47%	-0.48	75.3	5.64%	0	2	63	INF

16	Feb_12_2015	680.88	556.94	587.03	600.92	599.33	597.05	611.5(3.73%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	82	-30	77	98	0.36	44%	-0.6	58.2	5.59%	0	1.3	63	INF
17	Feb_11_2015	685.02	550.56	576.37	598.68	598.05	589.33	589.5(-1.98%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.2	-94	-110	-128	7	0.38	44%	-0.63	52.6	5.58%	0	0.9	58	INF
18	Feb_10_2015	689.37	545.13	567.64	595.94	601.71	601.61	601.4(-0.25%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	-7	30	-22	40	0.39	44%	-0.62	45.9	5.58%	0	1.3	61	INF
19	Feb_9_2015	693.68	539.57	563.25	596.7	597.17	606.77	602.9(0.6%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	73	110	68	88	0.27	44%	-0.69	42.9	5.58%	0	1.4	66	INF
20	Feb_6_2015	698.48	535.94	558.68	588.04	593.72	601.81	599.3(-0.17%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	205	120	223	151	0.32	44%	-0.69	31.3	5.6%	0	1.5	66	INF

21	Feb_5_2015	703.34	533.08	552.31	570.58	577.96	587.56	600.3(4.25%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	149	160	158	120	0.35	46%	-0.71	14.5	5.63%	0	1.7	72	INF
22	Feb_4_2015	708.35	528.57	546.73	550.42	554.03	585.64	575.8(-4.86%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	244	420	273	157	0.52	45%	-0.76	-12.6	5.64%	0	1.3	66	INF
23	Feb_3_2015	713.81	525.21	543.04	534.5	533.56	568.35	605.2(8.15%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.1	438	450	503	243	0.65	43%	-0.66	-41.1	5.66%	0	2.3	71	INF
24	Feb_2_2015	718.56	521.25	533.3	525.77	516.35	522.43	559.6(9.3%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	174	30	193	115	0.43	40%	-0.69	-70.1	5.59%	0	1.3	63	INF
25	Jan_30_2015	723.54	523.24	528.26	526.31	519.71	498.78	512(2.5%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-139	-320	-174	-35	0.66	39%		-60.7	5.51%	0	-0.3	47	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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