Trading Signals: ERX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ ERX: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Tue. Feb. 10, 2015

Trading Signals: ERX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Nov. 6, 2008 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily Energy Bull 3X ETF)
ERX latest price $601.4000 (-0.25%) ($568.8000 - $605.9000) on Tue. Feb. 10, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   5.58% (three month average)
RSI   61
Latest Price   $601.4000(-0.25%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ERX declines -0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ERX advances 4.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ERX advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLE(93%)    OIH(89%)    XOP(87%)    IVE(73%)    VYM(70%)
Factors Impacting ERX price   ERX will decline at least -2.79% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-28%)    TLT(-25%)    UUP(-14%)    IGOV(-5%)    SHY(-4%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.79% (StdDev 5.58%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.7%

5 Day Moving Average   $595.94(0.92%)
10 Day Moving Average   $567.64(5.95%)
20 Day Moving Average   $545.13(10.32%)
To recent high   -30.5%
To recent low   29.5%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.03%

$. ERX is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.03% a day on average for holding it.$. ERX price fluctuates within 8.25% (three month std-dev: 5.58%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 3 Average positive next day return: 2.72%(67%) Average negative next day return: -3.4%(33%) Sample size 3 Average positive next three day return: 4.37%(33%) Average negative next three day return: -3.96%(67%) Sample size 3 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: -3.74%(100%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150310

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_10_2015	689.37	545.13	567.64	595.94	601.71	601.61	601.4(-0.25%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	-7	30	-22	40	0.39	44%	-0.62	45.9	5.58%	0	1.3	61	0
2	Feb_9_2015	693.68	539.57	563.25	596.7	597.17	606.77	602.9(0.6%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	73	110	68	88	0.27	44%	-0.69	42.9	5.58%	0	1.4	66	0
3	Feb_6_2015	698.48	535.94	558.68	588.04	593.72	601.81	599.3(-0.17%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	205	120	223	151	0.32	44%	-0.69	31.3	5.6%	0	1.5	66	0
4	Feb_5_2015	703.34	533.08	552.31	570.58	577.96	587.56	600.3(4.25%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	149	160	158	120	0.35	46%	-0.71	14.5	5.63%	0	1.7	72	0
5	Feb_4_2015	708.35	528.57	546.73	550.42	554.03	585.64	575.8(-4.86%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	244	420	273	157	0.52	45%	-0.76	-12.6	5.64%	0	1.3	66	0

6	Feb_3_2015	713.81	525.21	543.04	534.5	533.56	568.35	605.2(8.15%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.1	438	450	503	243	0.65	43%	-0.66	-41.1	5.66%	0	2.3	71	0
7	Feb_2_2015	718.56	521.25	533.3	525.77	516.35	522.43	559.6(9.3%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	174	30	193	115	0.43	40%	-0.69	-70.1	5.59%	0	1.3	63	0
8	Jan_30_2015	723.54	523.24	528.26	526.31	519.71	498.78	512(2.5%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-139	-320	-174	-35	0.66	39%	-0.82	-60.7	5.51%	0	-0.3	47	0
9	Jan_29_2015	729.54	527.51	524.34	531.69	531.81	510.28	499.5(0.67%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-292	-280	-351	-115	0.4	39%	-0.83	-60.4	5.5%	0	-0.8	42	0
10	Jan_28_2015	735.64	533.11	523.38	541.87	544.23	540.64	496.2(-11.64%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-119	-30	-149	-28	0.6	42%	-0.84	-48.6	5.5%	0	-0.9	49	0

11	Jan_27_2015	741.87	539.63	522.34	551.05	549.24	553.34	561.54(-0.14%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	89	40	93	75	0.3	43%	-0.76	-39.4	5.39%	0	0.5	59	0
12	Jan_26_2015	747.58	542.32	515.13	541.2	542.89	547.81	562.3(4.34%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	88	70	98	57	0.23	43%	-0.83	-37.6	5.44%	0	0.4	54	0
13	Jan_23_2015	753.84	544.98	511.87	530.76	530.84	545.14	538.9(-2.09%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	126	190	151	51	0.27	45%	-0.82	-34.7	5.41%	0	-0.1	39	0
14	Jan_22_2015	760.09	549.65	512.39	515.86	517.53	537.98	550.4(1.53%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	239	290	292	80	0.35	44%	-0.87	-29.5	5.45%	0	0	42	0
15	Jan_21_2015	766.73	552.74	508.5	502.36	501.95	516.53	542.1(5.82%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	213	200	271	38	0.37	46%	-0.86	-23.6	5.49%	0	-0.2	39	0

16	Jan_20_2015	773.38	557.03	505.11	489.62	486.57	497.08	512.3(0.43%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	69	130	111	-59	0.47	45%	-0.95	-17.7	5.56%	0	-0.7	32	0
17	Jan_16_2015	780.8	560.82	507.17	485.48	482.78	487.38	510.1(9.84%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	41	50	85	-90	0.5	46%	-0.92	-14.5	5.55%	0	-0.8	33	0
18	Jan_15_2015	788.03	563.32	516.45	491.06	485.18	476.06	464.4(-3.83%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-128	-170	-114	-169	0.62	43%	-0.97	-10.2	5.44%	0	-1.6	22	0
19	Jan_14_2015	795.74	565.57	530.28	508.48	499.96	478.19	482.9(0.94%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-240	-360	-249	-212	0.68	42%	-0.94	-9.2	5.43%	0	-1.5	22	0
20	Jan_13_2015	803.33	566.27	543.5	515.22	517.37	494.3	478.4(-2.69%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-287	-300	-306	-228	0.36	40%	-0.92	-12.3	5.45%	0	-1.6	28	0

21	Jan_12_2015	810.78	567.81	558.89	522.06	526.39	521.73	491.6(-8.62%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-199	-40	-205	-179	0.35	40%	-0.85	-20.1	5.55%	0	-1.4	27	0
22	Jan_9_2015	817.76	569.91	572.6	531.08	532.02	540.44	538(-2.45%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	23	120	51	-63	0.28	39%	-0.82	-26.7	5.48%	0	-0.6	45	0
23	Jan_8_2015	824.52	569.51	581.35	546.18	536.54	531.06	551.5(6.76%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-38	-120	-27	-69	0.28	40%	-0.79	-31.1	5.64%	0	-0.3	54	0
24	Jan_7_2015	831.11	570.72	590.14	556.82	552.76	523.6	516.6(0.78%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-253	-390	-290	-142	0.29	37%	-0.82	-31.8	5.58%	0	-1	61	0
25	Jan_6_2015	837.99	573.1	601.04	577	573.73	542.03	512.6(-4.49%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-425	-400	-505	-185	0.45	37%		-29.1	5.59%	0	-1.1	62	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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