Trading Signals: ERX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ ERX: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. Dec. 18, 2014

Trading Signals: ERX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Nov. 6, 2008 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily Energy Bull 3X ETF)
ERX latest price $584.9000 (5.83%) ($539.8000 - $600.0000) on Thu. Dec. 18, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   5.28% (three month average)
RSI   46
Latest Price   $584.9000(5.83%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ERX advances 2.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ERX declines -10.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ERX advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLE(93%)    OIH(89%)    XOP(87%)    IVE(73%)    VYM(70%)
Factors Impacting ERX price   ERX will decline at least -2.64% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-29%)    TLT(-25%)    UUP(-13%)    SHY(-5%)    IGOV(-5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.64% (StdDev 5.28%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1.3%

Resistance Level   $631.2
5 Day Moving Average   $519.14(12.67%)
10 Day Moving Average   $538.9(8.54%)
20 Day Moving Average   $631.2(-7.34%)
To recent high   -45.4%
To recent low   22.5%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.03%

$. ERX is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.03% a day on average for holding it.$. ERX price fluctuates within 19.37% (three month std-dev: 5.28%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_18_2014	903.59	631.2	538.9	519.14	522.28	554.03	584.9(5.83%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	445	440	558	104	0.52	34%	-0.73	-51.1	5.28%	0	-0.4	46	0
2	Dec_17_2014	910.25	641.56	544.47	506.06	502.49	508.04	552.7(12.89%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.4	109	60	172	-82	0.59	32%	-0.78	-52.4	5.22%	0	-0.7	30	0
3	Dec_16_2014	917.44	653.25	555.33	499.8	502.54	490.54	489.6(2.51%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-171	-150	-147	-243	0.89	28%	-0.86	-54.7	4.92%	0	-1.3	18	0
4	Dec_15_2014	925.37	668.48	571.52	516.74	513.75	496.94	477.6(-2.71%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-301	-250	-297	-314	0.38	28%	-0.88	-54.9	4.93%	0	-1.5	15	0
5	Dec_12_2014	933.54	685.15	587.63	532.56	531.32	514.54	490.9(-5.51%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-312	-230	-305	-333	0.42	27%	-0.88	-56.7	4.95%	0	-1.6	15	0

6	Dec_11_2014	941.86	700.53	601.78	560.96	551.64	530.56	519.5(-0.36%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-369	-320	-370	-364	0.32	28%	-0.84	-56.8	4.93%	0	-1.6	21	0
7	Dec_10_2014	949.84	715.59	626.55	588.58	580.1	548.1	521.4(-9.21%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-436	-430	-456	-377	0.47	28%	-0.81	-54.3	4.94%	0	-1.9	25	0
8	Dec_9_2014	957.57	731.75	654.41	619.22	610.9	572.72	574.3(3.16%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-539	-480	-584	-404	0.3	30%	-0.72	-48.5	4.83%	0	-1.6	30	0
9	Dec_8_2014	964.48	744.78	680.77	634.8	637.7	612.11	556.7(-12.04%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-450	-270	-485	-343	0.35	29%	-0.72	-46.9	4.8%	0	-2.1	28	0
10	Dec_5_2014	971.52	759.95	711.4	649.94	652.13	649.07	632.9(-3.76%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-131	-20	-116	-177	0.25	31%	-0.63	-47.7	4.62%	0	-1.6	32	0

11	Dec_4_2014	977.69	769.78	731.28	648.06	646.46	663.3	657.6(-2.52%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	35	170	78	-94	0.2	30%	-0.66	-50.7	4.62%	0	-1.5	37	0
12	Dec_3_2014	984.22	777.04	746.14	671.26	645.64	655.19	674.6(3.43%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	39	-10	77	-77	0.33	30%	-0.59	-47	4.63%	0	-1.4	36	0
13	Dec_2_2014	990.03	781.61	758.23	697.16	673.85	629.61	652.2(3.13%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-366	-560	-403	-254	0.31	30%	-0.62	-43	4.6%	0	-1.9	30	0
14	Dec_1_2014	996.22	789.72	772.84	736	721.24	636.1	632.4(1.43%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-1121	-890	-1299	-585	0.34	30%	-0.61	-27.6	4.59%	0	-2.6	28	0
15	Nov_28_2014	1002.3	800.83	791.2	782.56	779.44	718.08	623.5(-19.4%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-3.2	-1145	-560	-1337	-567	0.33	30%	-0.93	-4.2	4.59%	0	-3.6	25	0

16	Nov_26_2014	1011.67	810.43	809.47	824.5	833.5	806.38	773.6(-3.79%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.9	-434	-200	-510	-204	0.13	34%	-0.49	34.3	3.93%	0	-1.4	44	0
17	Nov_25_2014	1016.68	812.13	813.5	830.44	842.49	840.79	804.1(-5%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-158	30	-189	-66	0.18	35%	-0.47	50	3.92%	0	-0.3	54	0
18	Nov_24_2014	1021.46	811.8	816.32	827.66	834.33	860.62	846.4(-2.17%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	291	240	336	155	0.11	36%	-0.17	40.1	3.9%	0	1.2	67	0
19	Nov_21_2014	1023.23	806.83	813.73	815.88	819.01	844.2	865.2(3.84%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	534	230	624	263	0.2	36%	-0.44	31.5	3.9%	0	2	59	0
20	Nov_20_2014	1027.73	802.91	811.06	803.06	799.28	808.03	833.2(3.72%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	208	60	244	98	0.08	36%	-0.45	34.8	3.86%	0	1.2	48	0

21	Nov_19_2014	1032.42	801.19	809.41	793.4	792.44	793.82	803.3(1.66%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	59	10	71	23	0.11	36%	-0.49	41.8	3.83%	0	0.1	53	0
22	Nov_18_2014	1037.47	799.25	808.48	794.7	788.78	790.54	790.2(0.34%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-57	-10	-65	-32	0.1	36%	-0.49	61.1	3.84%	0	-0.3	50	0
23	Nov_17_2014	1042.63	800.01	805.35	803.32	795.56	791.06	787.5(-1.7%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-22	-70	-24	-14	0.1	36%	-0.49	88.7	3.84%	0	-0.4	51	0
24	Nov_14_2014	1047.79	797.9	806.94	810.86	804.7	787.03	801.1(2.06%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-238	-180	-284	-100	0.14	36%	-0.48	94	3.85%	0	0.1	60	0
25	Nov_13_2014	1052.81	794.19	810.7	820.28	818.69	800.06	784.9(-3.07%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-341	-170	-411	-131	0.25	36%		86.1	3.84%	0	-0.2	51	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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