Trading Signals: ERX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ ERX: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. Dec. 10, 2014

Trading Signals: ERX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Nov. 6, 2008 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily Energy Bull 3X ETF)
ERX latest price $521.4000 (-9.21%) ($510.3000 - $550.0000) on Wed. Dec. 10, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   4.94% (three month average)
RSI   25
Latest Price   $521.4000(-9.21%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ERX declines -5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ERX declines -16% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ERX advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLE(93%)    OIH(89%)    XOP(87%)    IVE(73%)    VYM(70%)
Factors Impacting ERX price   ERX will decline at least -2.47% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-29%)    TLT(-25%)    UUP(-13%)    SHY(-5%)    IGOV(-5%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.47% (StdDev 4.94%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -4.7%

Resistance Level   $715.59
5 Day Moving Average   $588.58(-11.41%)
10 Day Moving Average   $626.55(-16.78%)
20 Day Moving Average   $715.59(-27.14%)
To recent high   -52.8%
To recent low   0%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.02%

$. ERX is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.02% a day on average for holding it.$. ERX price fluctuates within 14.57% (three month std-dev: 4.94%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 5 Average positive next day return: 13.61%(60%) Average negative next day return: -5.93%(40%) Sample size 5 Average positive next three day return: 4.14%(20%) Average negative next three day return: -4.5%(80%) Sample size 5 Average positive next weekly return: 9.31%(60%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.89%(40%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150110

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_10_2014	949.84	715.59	626.55	588.58	580.1	548.1	521.4(-9.21%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-436	-430	-456	-377	0.47	28%	-0.81	-54.3	4.94%	0	-1.9	25	INF
2	Dec_9_2014	957.57	731.75	654.41	619.22	610.9	572.72	574.3(3.16%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-539	-480	-584	-404	0.3	30%	-0.72	-48.5	4.83%	0	-1.6	30	INF
3	Dec_8_2014	964.48	744.78	680.77	634.8	637.7	612.11	556.7(-12.04%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-450	-270	-485	-343	0.35	29%	-0.72	-46.9	4.8%	0	-2.1	28	INF
4	Dec_5_2014	971.52	759.95	711.4	649.94	652.13	649.07	632.9(-3.76%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-131	-20	-116	-177	0.25	31%	-0.63	-47.7	4.62%	0	-1.6	32	INF
5	Dec_4_2014	977.69	769.78	731.28	648.06	646.46	663.3	657.6(-2.52%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	35	170	78	-94	0.2	30%	-0.66	-50.7	4.62%	0	-1.5	37	INF

6	Dec_3_2014	984.22	777.04	746.14	671.26	645.64	655.19	674.6(3.43%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	39	-10	77	-77	0.33	30%	-0.59	-47	4.63%	0	-1.4	36	INF
7	Dec_2_2014	990.03	781.61	758.23	697.16	673.85	629.61	652.2(3.13%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-366	-560	-403	-254	0.31	30%	-0.62	-43	4.6%	0	-1.9	30	INF
8	Dec_1_2014	996.22	789.72	772.84	736	721.24	636.1	632.4(1.43%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-1121	-890	-1299	-585	0.34	30%	-0.61	-27.6	4.59%	0	-2.6	28	INF
9	Nov_28_2014	1002.3	800.83	791.2	782.56	779.44	718.08	623.5(-19.4%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-3.2	-1145	-560	-1337	-567	0.33	30%	-0.93	-4.2	4.59%	0	-3.6	25	INF
10	Nov_26_2014	1011.67	810.43	809.47	824.5	833.5	806.38	773.6(-3.79%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.9	-434	-200	-510	-204	0.13	34%	-0.49	34.3	3.93%	0	-1.4	44	INF

11	Nov_25_2014	1016.68	812.13	813.5	830.44	842.49	840.79	804.1(-5%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-158	30	-189	-66	0.18	35%	-0.47	50	3.92%	0	-0.3	54	INF
12	Nov_24_2014	1021.46	811.8	816.32	827.66	834.33	860.62	846.4(-2.17%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	291	240	336	155	0.11	36%	-0.17	40.1	3.9%	0	1.2	67	INF
13	Nov_21_2014	1023.23	806.83	813.73	815.88	819.01	844.2	865.2(3.84%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	534	230	624	263	0.2	36%	-0.44	31.5	3.9%	0	2	59	INF
14	Nov_20_2014	1027.73	802.91	811.06	803.06	799.28	808.03	833.2(3.72%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	208	60	244	98	0.08	36%	-0.45	34.8	3.86%	0	1.2	48	INF
15	Nov_19_2014	1032.42	801.19	809.41	793.4	792.44	793.82	803.3(1.66%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	59	10	71	23	0.11	36%	-0.49	41.8	3.83%	0	0.1	53	INF

16	Nov_18_2014	1037.47	799.25	808.48	794.7	788.78	790.54	790.2(0.34%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-57	-10	-65	-32	0.1	36%	-0.49	61.1	3.84%	0	-0.3	50	INF
17	Nov_17_2014	1042.63	800.01	805.35	803.32	795.56	791.06	787.5(-1.7%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-22	-70	-24	-14	0.1	36%	-0.49	88.7	3.84%	0	-0.4	51	INF
18	Nov_14_2014	1047.79	797.9	806.94	810.86	804.7	787.03	801.1(2.06%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-238	-180	-284	-100	0.14	36%	-0.48	94	3.85%	0	0.1	60	INF
19	Nov_13_2014	1052.81	794.19	810.7	820.28	818.69	800.06	784.9(-3.07%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-341	-170	-411	-131	0.25	36%	-0.49	86.1	3.84%	0	-0.2	51	INF
20	Nov_12_2014	1057.95	790.49	812.07	827.32	833.49	822.38	809.8(-2.82%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-117	-70	-149	-19	0.23	36%	-0.43	68.6	3.83%	0	0.4	52	INF

21	Nov_11_2014	1062.57	783.76	811.47	823.62	827.93	837.33	833.3(0.98%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	14	100	3	47	0.13	36%	-0.49	39.4	3.82%	0	0.9	60	INF
22	Nov_10_2014	1067.79	775.04	807.5	807.12	816.75	844.61	825.2(-2.71%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	454	270	526	236	0.16	36%	-0.48	13.3	3.82%	0	0.9	53	INF
23	Nov_7_2014	1072.97	767.73	799.79	802.24	793.68	818.53	848.2(3.43%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	355	190	411	186	0.16	38%	-0.42	-5.8	3.87%	0	1.5	62	INF
24	Nov_6_2014	1077.51	762.2	793.65	800.9	790.11	788.89	820.1(3.64%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	203	-50	229	126	0.16	38%	-0.42	-18.9	3.84%	0	1.1	62	INF
25	Nov_5_2014	1082.07	759.59	791.48	795.66	794.71	768.83	791.3(5.39%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-249	-230	-307	-74	0.17	37%		-28.8	3.81%	0	0.6	62	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.