Trading Signals: ERX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ ERX: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Tue. Dec. 2, 2014

Trading Signals: ERX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Nov. 6, 2008 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily Energy Bull 3X ETF)
ERX latest price $652.2000 (3.13%) ($616.5000 - $669.4000) on Tue. Dec. 2, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   4.6% (three month average)
RSI   30
Latest Price   $652.2000(3.13%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ERX declines -5.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ERX declines -7.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ERX advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLE(93%)    OIH(89%)    XOP(87%)    IVE(73%)    VYM(70%)
Factors Impacting ERX price   ERX will decline at least -2.3% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-29%)    TLT(-26%)    UUP(-14%)    SHY(-5%)    IGOV(-5%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.3% (StdDev 4.6%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 5.4%

Resistance Level   $781.61
5 Day Moving Average   $697.16(-6.45%)
10 Day Moving Average   $758.23(-13.98%)
20 Day Moving Average   $781.61(-16.56%)
To recent high   -45.4%
To recent low   4.6%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.02%

$. ERX is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.02% a day on average for holding it.$. ERX price fluctuates within 8.66% (three month std-dev: 4.6%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -0.01%(100%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 5.94%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -9.79%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 8.32%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -16.78%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150102

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_2_2014	990.03	781.61	758.23	697.16	673.85	629.61	652.2(3.13%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-366	-560	-403	-254	0.31	30%	-0.62	-43	4.6%	0	-1.9	30	INF
2	Dec_1_2014	996.22	789.72	772.84	736	721.24	636.1	632.4(1.43%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-1121	-890	-1299	-585	0.34	30%	-0.61	-27.6	4.59%	0	-2.6	28	INF
3	Nov_28_2014	1002.3	800.83	791.2	782.56	779.44	718.08	623.5(-19.4%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-3.2	-1145	-560	-1337	-567	0.33	30%	-0.93	-4.2	4.59%	0	-3.6	25	INF
4	Nov_26_2014	1011.67	810.43	809.47	824.5	833.5	806.38	773.6(-3.79%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.9	-434	-200	-510	-204	0.13	34%	-0.49	34.3	3.93%	0	-1.4	44	INF
5	Nov_25_2014	1016.68	812.13	813.5	830.44	842.49	840.79	804.1(-5%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-158	30	-189	-66	0.18	35%	-0.47	50	3.92%	0	-0.3	54	INF

6	Nov_24_2014	1021.46	811.8	816.32	827.66	834.33	860.62	846.4(-2.17%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	291	240	336	155	0.11	36%	-0.17	40.1	3.9%	0	1.2	67	INF
7	Nov_21_2014	1023.23	806.83	813.73	815.88	819.01	844.2	865.2(3.84%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	534	230	624	263	0.2	36%	-0.44	31.5	3.9%	0	2	59	INF
8	Nov_20_2014	1027.73	802.91	811.06	803.06	799.28	808.03	833.2(3.72%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	208	60	244	98	0.08	36%	-0.45	34.8	3.86%	0	1.2	48	INF
9	Nov_19_2014	1032.42	801.19	809.41	793.4	792.44	793.82	803.3(1.66%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	59	10	71	23	0.11	36%	-0.49	41.8	3.83%	0	0.1	53	INF
10	Nov_18_2014	1037.47	799.25	808.48	794.7	788.78	790.54	790.2(0.34%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-57	-10	-65	-32	0.1	36%	-0.49	61.1	3.84%	0	-0.3	50	INF

11	Nov_17_2014	1042.63	800.01	805.35	803.32	795.56	791.06	787.5(-1.7%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-22	-70	-24	-14	0.1	36%	-0.49	88.7	3.84%	0	-0.4	51	INF
12	Nov_14_2014	1047.79	797.9	806.94	810.86	804.7	787.03	801.1(2.06%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-238	-180	-284	-100	0.14	36%	-0.48	94	3.85%	0	0.1	60	INF
13	Nov_13_2014	1052.81	794.19	810.7	820.28	818.69	800.06	784.9(-3.07%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-341	-170	-411	-131	0.25	36%	-0.49	86.1	3.84%	0	-0.2	51	INF
14	Nov_12_2014	1057.95	790.49	812.07	827.32	833.49	822.38	809.8(-2.82%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-117	-70	-149	-19	0.23	36%	-0.43	68.6	3.83%	0	0.4	52	INF
15	Nov_11_2014	1062.57	783.76	811.47	823.62	827.93	837.33	833.3(0.98%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	14	100	3	47	0.13	36%	-0.49	39.4	3.82%	0	0.9	60	INF

16	Nov_10_2014	1067.79	775.04	807.5	807.12	816.75	844.61	825.2(-2.71%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	454	270	526	236	0.16	36%	-0.48	13.3	3.82%	0	0.9	53	INF
17	Nov_7_2014	1072.97	767.73	799.79	802.24	793.68	818.53	848.2(3.43%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	355	190	411	186	0.16	38%	-0.42	-5.8	3.87%	0	1.5	62	INF
18	Nov_6_2014	1077.51	762.2	793.65	800.9	790.11	788.89	820.1(3.64%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	203	-50	229	126	0.16	38%	-0.42	-18.9	3.84%	0	1.1	62	INF
19	Nov_5_2014	1082.07	759.59	791.48	795.66	794.71	768.83	791.3(5.39%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-249	-230	-307	-74	0.17	37%	-0.42	-28.8	3.81%	0	0.6	62	INF
20	Nov_4_2014	1086.61	763.01	788.7	797.94	796.03	791.34	750.8(-6.24%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-404	-50	-496	-126	0.16	36%	-0.46	-28.5	3.81%	0	-0.2	63	INF

21	Nov_3_2014	1091.61	767.6	794.41	806.74	809.52	820.59	800.8(-4.84%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	348	110	375	265	0.22	38%	-0.39	-30.1	3.81%	0	0.5	70	INF
22	Oct_31_2014	1095.87	771	788.56	795.38	795.96	800.73	841.5(6%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	181	40	178	189	0.16	37%	-0.32	-39.9	3.78%	0	1	70	INF
23	Oct_30_2014	1099.38	772.14	776.33	785.52	778.19	798.45	793.9(-1.1%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	104	150	91	141	0.11	34%	-0.35	-49.3	3.76%	0	0.3	56	INF
24	Oct_29_2014	1103.25	776.09	767.49	787.24	778.73	791.2	802.7(0.99%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	421	80	467	281	0.16	34%	-0.33	-50.6	3.77%	0	0.4	52	INF
25	Oct_28_2014	1106.89	780.15	754.24	778.78	776.16	757.94	794.8(6.83%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-112	-170	-145	-14	0.1	34%		-53.8	3.76%	0	0.2	43	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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