Trading Signals: ERX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Nov. 6, 2014

Trading Signals: ERX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Nov. 6, 2008 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily Energy Bull 3X ETF)
ERX latest price $820.1000 (3.64%) ($768.1000 - $821.5000) on Thu. Nov. 6, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.84% (three month average)
RSI   62
Latest Price   $820.1000(3.64%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ERX advances 0.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ERX advances 2.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ERX advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLE(93%)    OIH(89%)    XOP(87%)    IWM(66%)    XLB(66%)
Factors Impacting ERX price   ERX will decline at least -1.92% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-29%)    TLT(-25%)    UUP(-14%)    SHY(-5%)    IGOV(-5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.92% (StdDev 3.84%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 5.7%

5 Day Moving Average   $800.9(2.4%)
10 Day Moving Average   $793.65(3.33%)
20 Day Moving Average   $762.2(7.6%)
To recent high   -33.5%
To recent low   25.9%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.01%

$. ERX is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.01% a day on average for holding it.$. ERX price fluctuates within 6.82% (three month std-dev: 3.84%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -1.96%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 9.66%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 22.53%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20141206

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_6_2014	1077.51	762.2	793.65	800.9	790.11	788.89	820.1(3.64%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	203	-50	229	126	0.16	38%	-0.42	-18.9	3.84%	0	1.1	62	INF
2	Nov_5_2014	1082.07	759.59	791.48	795.66	794.71	768.83	791.3(5.39%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-249	-230	-307	-74	0.17	37%	-0.42	-28.8	3.81%	0	0.6	62	INF
3	Nov_4_2014	1086.61	763.01	788.7	797.94	796.03	791.34	750.8(-6.24%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-404	-50	-496	-126	0.16	36%	-0.46	-28.5	3.81%	0	-0.2	63	INF
4	Nov_3_2014	1091.61	767.6	794.41	806.74	809.52	820.59	800.8(-4.84%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	348	110	375	265	0.22	38%	-0.39	-30.1	3.81%	0	0.5	70	INF
5	Oct_31_2014	1095.87	771	788.56	795.38	795.96	800.73	841.5(6%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	181	40	178	189	0.16	37%	-0.32	-39.9	3.78%	0	1	70	INF

6	Oct_30_2014	1099.38	772.14	776.33	785.52	778.19	798.45	793.9(-1.1%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	104	150	91	141	0.11	34%	-0.35	-49.3	3.76%	0	0.3	56	INF
7	Oct_29_2014	1103.25	776.09	767.49	787.24	778.73	791.2	802.7(0.99%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	421	80	467	281	0.16	34%	-0.33	-50.6	3.77%	0	0.4	52	INF
8	Oct_28_2014	1106.89	780.15	754.24	778.78	776.16	757.94	794.8(6.83%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-112	-170	-145	-14	0.1	34%	-0.34	-53.8	3.76%	0	0.2	43	INF
9	Oct_27_2014	1110.68	787.38	740.36	780.82	780.33	766.26	744(-6.08%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-396	-130	-468	-179	0.16	31%	-0.38	-49.9	3.64%	0	-0.5	41	INF
10	Oct_24_2014	1114.93	799.22	734	779.54	790.35	766.26	792.2(-1.28%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	111	80	141	21	0.12	32%	-0.31	-47.7	3.59%	0	-0.1	41	INF

11	Oct_23_2014	1118.4	808.77	728.41	764.9	774.7	794.39	802.5(5.54%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	213	220	274	28	0.18	32%	-0.28	-51.7	3.59%	0	-0.1	42	INF
12	Oct_22_2014	1121.57	816.26	724.42	744.48	757.25	786.31	760.4(-5.54%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	582	320	723	160	0.2	30%	-0.32	-56.6	3.52%	0	-0.5	37	INF
13	Oct_21_2014	1125.19	828.26	734.02	725.32	726.31	755	805(9.14%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	576	280	724	132	0.18	32%	-0.27	-60.9	3.48%	0	-0.2	39	INF
14	Oct_20_2014	1128.23	837.82	736.6	694.56	689.98	728.19	737.6(2.59%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	454	370	600	16	0.17	26%	-0.33	-67.4	3.27%	0	-0.8	26	INF
15	Oct_17_2014	1132.01	851.64	749.95	682.04	676.77	697.63	719(2.66%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	564	190	740	37	0.27	25%	-0.35	-68.9	3.24%	0	-1	21	INF

16	Oct_16_2014	1136	868.79	765.63	687.26	672.81	651.78	700.4(5.39%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-316	-280	-292	-389	0.41	28%	-0.34	-67	3.25%	0	-1.3	17	INF
17	Oct_15_2014	1139.9	887.31	784.03	702.54	696.14	655.91	664.6(2.06%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-950	-430	-1038	-687	0.49	25%	-0.37	-66	3.22%	0	-1.7	17	INF
18	Oct_14_2014	1144.11	908.75	807.95	744.82	740.5	693.85	651.2(-3.53%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.7	-1006	-460	-1110	-692	0.39	26%	-0.44	-61.8	3.2%	0	-2	13	INF
19	Oct_13_2014	1149.14	932	839.27	784.72	784.63	736.37	675(-9.41%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1	-1058	-430	-1182	-686	0.25	27%	-0.35	-61	3.22%	0	-2.2	14	INF
20	Oct_10_2014	1153.2	952.42	872	826.76	823.41	787.16	745.1(-4.08%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.8	-978	-320	-1097	-622	0.17	28%	-0.29	-63	3.04%	0	-2.1	17	INF

21	Oct_9_2014	1156.59	968.11	898.12	854.62	856.22	832.89	776.8(-11.32%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.9	-581	-190	-635	-419	0.15	30%	-0.27	-67.9	3.02%	0	-2.1	16	INF
22	Oct_8_2014	1159.67	984.46	918	876.74	873.81	859.66	876(2.97%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-426	-120	-449	-355	0.12	34%	-0.15	-72.1	2.74%	0	-1.3	20	INF
23	Oct_7_2014	1161.42	995.34	931.36	881.44	881.31	879.55	850.7(-3.9%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-340	-10	-345	-326	0.06	31%	-0.18	-77.9	2.7%	0	-1.8	13	INF
24	Oct_6_2014	1163.52	1008.17	947.66	903.16	896.77	887.95	885.2(0.09%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-183	-90	-161	-247	0.07	32%	-0.14	-80.9	2.68%	0	-1.6	13	INF
25	Oct_3_2014	1165.17	1019.89	961.25	925.54	917.66	883.07	884.4(-0.34%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-639	-290	-703	-447	0.08	32%		-80.1	2.7%	0	-1.8	24	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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