Trading Signals: ERX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ ERX: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Mon. Nov. 3, 2014

Trading Signals: ERX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Nov. 6, 2008 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily Energy Bull 3X ETF)
ERX latest price $800.8000 (-4.84%) ($793.3100 - $869.1000) on Mon. Nov. 3, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.81% (three month average)
RSI   70
Latest Price   $800.8000(-4.84%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ERX advances 1.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ERX advances 7.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ERX advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLE(93%)    OIH(89%)    XOP(87%)    XLB(67%)    IWM(66%)
Factors Impacting ERX price   ERX will decline at least -1.905% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-29%)    TLT(-25%)    UUP(-13%)    SHY(-5%)    IGOV(-5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.905% (StdDev 3.81%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -4.9%

5 Day Moving Average   $806.74(-0.74%)
10 Day Moving Average   $794.41(0.8%)
20 Day Moving Average   $767.6(4.33%)
To recent high   -35%
To recent low   23%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.01%

$. ERX is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.01% a day on average for holding it.$. ERX price fluctuates within 8.35% (three month std-dev: 3.81%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20141203

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_3_2014	1091.61	767.6	794.41	806.74	809.52	820.59	800.8(-4.84%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	348	110	375	265	0.22	38%	-0.39	-30.1	3.81%	0	0.5	70	0
2	Oct_31_2014	1095.87	771	788.56	795.38	795.96	800.73	841.5(6%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	181	40	178	189	0.16	37%	-0.32	-39.9	3.78%	0	1	70	0
3	Oct_30_2014	1099.38	772.14	776.33	785.52	778.19	798.45	793.9(-1.1%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	104	150	91	141	0.11	34%	-0.35	-49.3	3.76%	0	0.3	56	0
4	Oct_29_2014	1103.25	776.09	767.49	787.24	778.73	791.2	802.7(0.99%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	421	80	467	281	0.16	34%	-0.33	-50.6	3.77%	0	0.4	52	0
5	Oct_28_2014	1106.89	780.15	754.24	778.78	776.16	757.94	794.8(6.83%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-112	-170	-145	-14	0.1	34%	-0.34	-53.8	3.76%	0	0.2	43	0

6	Oct_27_2014	1110.68	787.38	740.36	780.82	780.33	766.26	744(-6.08%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-396	-130	-468	-179	0.16	31%	-0.38	-49.9	3.64%	0	-0.5	41	0
7	Oct_24_2014	1114.93	799.22	734	779.54	790.35	766.26	792.2(-1.28%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	111	80	141	21	0.12	32%	-0.31	-47.7	3.59%	0	-0.1	41	0
8	Oct_23_2014	1118.4	808.77	728.41	764.9	774.7	794.39	802.5(5.54%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	213	220	274	28	0.18	32%	-0.28	-51.7	3.59%	0	-0.1	42	0
9	Oct_22_2014	1121.57	816.26	724.42	744.48	757.25	786.31	760.4(-5.54%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	582	320	723	160	0.2	30%	-0.32	-56.6	3.52%	0	-0.5	37	0
10	Oct_21_2014	1125.19	828.26	734.02	725.32	726.31	755	805(9.14%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	576	280	724	132	0.18	32%	-0.27	-60.9	3.48%	0	-0.2	39	0

11	Oct_20_2014	1128.23	837.82	736.6	694.56	689.98	728.19	737.6(2.59%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	454	370	600	16	0.17	26%	-0.33	-67.4	3.27%	0	-0.8	26	0
12	Oct_17_2014	1132.01	851.64	749.95	682.04	676.77	697.63	719(2.66%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	564	190	740	37	0.27	25%	-0.35	-68.9	3.24%	0	-1	21	0
13	Oct_16_2014	1136	868.79	765.63	687.26	672.81	651.78	700.4(5.39%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-316	-280	-292	-389	0.41	28%	-0.34	-67	3.25%	0	-1.3	17	0
14	Oct_15_2014	1139.9	887.31	784.03	702.54	696.14	655.91	664.6(2.06%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-950	-430	-1038	-687	0.49	25%	-0.37	-66	3.22%	0	-1.7	17	0
15	Oct_14_2014	1144.11	908.75	807.95	744.82	740.5	693.85	651.2(-3.53%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.7	-1006	-460	-1110	-692	0.39	26%	-0.44	-61.8	3.2%	0	-2	13	0

16	Oct_13_2014	1149.14	932	839.27	784.72	784.63	736.37	675(-9.41%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1	-1058	-430	-1182	-686	0.25	27%	-0.35	-61	3.22%	0	-2.2	14	0
17	Oct_10_2014	1153.2	952.42	872	826.76	823.41	787.16	745.1(-4.08%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.8	-978	-320	-1097	-622	0.17	28%	-0.29	-63	3.04%	0	-2.1	17	0
18	Oct_9_2014	1156.59	968.11	898.12	854.62	856.22	832.89	776.8(-11.32%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.9	-581	-190	-635	-419	0.15	30%	-0.27	-67.9	3.02%	0	-2.1	16	0
19	Oct_8_2014	1159.67	984.46	918	876.74	873.81	859.66	876(2.97%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-426	-120	-449	-355	0.12	34%	-0.15	-72.1	2.74%	0	-1.3	20	0
20	Oct_7_2014	1161.42	995.34	931.36	881.44	881.31	879.55	850.7(-3.9%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-340	-10	-345	-326	0.06	31%	-0.18	-77.9	2.7%	0	-1.8	13	0

21	Oct_6_2014	1163.52	1008.17	947.66	903.16	896.77	887.95	885.2(0.09%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-183	-90	-161	-247	0.07	32%	-0.14	-80.9	2.68%	0	-1.6	13	0
22	Oct_3_2014	1165.17	1019.89	961.25	925.54	917.66	883.07	884.4(-0.34%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-639	-290	-703	-447	0.08	32%	-0.15	-80.1	2.7%	0	-1.8	24	0
23	Oct_2_2014	1166.92	1034.17	979.51	949.24	941.7	905.6	887.4(-1.35%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-1030	-290	-1172	-604	0.13	32%	-0.18	-79.3	2.7%	0	-2	30	0
24	Oct_1_2014	1169.02	1047.38	998.12	965.14	968.33	952.25	899.5(-6.23%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-586	-110	-653	-384	0.09	32%	-0.17	-80.6	2.7%	0	-2.1	27	0
25	Sep_30_2014	1170.98	1062.29	1017.22	987.92	982.96	977.8	959.3(-3.79%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-218	-50	-226	-192	0.07	34%		-79.7	2.61%	0	-1.5	32	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.