Trading Signals: ERX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ ERX: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. Sep. 10, 2014

Trading Signals: ERX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Nov. 6, 2008 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily Energy Bull 3X ETF)
ERX latest price $1091.3000 (-0.83%) ($1053.1300 - $1095.8000) on Wed. Sep. 10, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.53% (three month average)
RSI   36
Latest Price   $1091.3000(-0.83%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ERX declines -1.8% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ERX declines -3.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ERX advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLE(93%)    OIH(89%)    XOP(87%)    XLB(67%)    IWM(66%)
Factors Impacting ERX price   ERX will decline at least -1.265% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-30%)    TLT(-25%)    UUP(-13%)    SHY(-5%)    IGOV(-5%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.265% (StdDev 2.53%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.3%

Resistance Level   $1168.65
5 Day Moving Average   $1124.34(-2.94%)
10 Day Moving Average   $1163.09(-6.17%)
20 Day Moving Average   $1168.65(-6.62%)
To recent high   -19.2%
To recent low   0%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.01%

$. ERX is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.01% a day on average for holding it.$. ERX price fluctuates within 3.39% (three month std-dev: 2.53%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 4 Average positive next day return: 1%(50%) Average negative next day return: -2.11%(50%) Sample size 4 Average positive next three day return: 0.73%(25%) Average negative next three day return: -2.81%(75%) Sample size 4 Average positive next weekly return: 3.88%(25%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.74%(75%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20141010

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_10_2014	1175.29	1168.65	1163.09	1124.34	1118.36	1095.77	1091.3(-0.83%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-627	-160	-715	-362	0.04	43%	0.04	-11.8	2.53%	0	-2	36	0
2	Sep_9_2014	1174.82	1171.34	1176.32	1145.1	1139.81	1118.33	1100.4(-1.36%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-644	-150	-743	-345	0.04	43%	0.04	5.1	2.53%	0	-1.9	39	0
3	Sep_8_2014	1174.32	1174.61	1187.11	1162.32	1163.79	1140.95	1115.6(-4.58%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-550	-130	-641	-278	0.05	43%	-0.05	15.7	2.52%	0	-1.8	47	0
4	Sep_5_2014	1174.92	1177.06	1193.52	1185.72	1182.4	1161.3	1169.1(2.08%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-619	-130	-731	-284	0.03	47%	0.12	42.2	2.48%	0	-0.3	57	0
5	Sep_4_2014	1173.5	1174.09	1196.25	1194.16	1200.15	1186.64	1145.3(-4.17%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-387	-60	-464	-154	0.04	47%	0.13	36.4	2.47%	0	-0.8	58	0

6	Sep_3_2014	1172.03	1173.37	1201.5	1207.44	1209.56	1203.5	1195.1(0.72%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-200	-30	-252	-43	0.02	50%	0.2	30.5	2.41%	0	0.6	62	0
7	Sep_2_2014	1169.69	1169.45	1200.55	1212.4	1212.63	1213.66	1186.5(-3.74%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.7	-53	10	-85	42	0.03	50%	0.47	15	2.42%	0	0.5	63	0
8	Aug_29_2014	1164.27	1169.43	1198.12	1215.32	1216.04	1215.63	1232.6(1.76%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	191	-0	200	163	0.02	54%	0.29	7.2	2.35%	0	1.7	65	0
9	Aug_28_2014	1160.88	1164.34	1189.54	1202.56	1207.8	1211.59	1211.3(-0.03%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.3	15	40	-2	67	0.01	54%	0.24	-22.1	2.36%	0	1.4	62	0
10	Aug_27_2014	1158.12	1161.65	1180.99	1198.96	1200.06	1216.46	1211.7(-0.67%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	312	100	346	208	0.01	54%	0.25	-41.5	2.36%	0	1.4	72	0

11	Aug_26_2014	1155.23	1162.51	1173.99	1194.84	1193.84	1204.01	1219.9(1.57%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	481	60	545	288	0.01	54%	0.28	-46.9	2.36%	0	1.4	67	0
12	Aug_25_2014	1151.99	1163.89	1165.04	1187.48	1185.3	1183.65	1201.1(2.76%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	66	-20	58	89	0.02	54%	0.22	-49	2.37%	0	0.8	66	0
13	Aug_22_2014	1149.42	1166.78	1160.15	1178.5	1181.2	1183.67	1168.8(-2.05%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	9	20	-4	48	0.03	52%	0.19	-47.3	2.35%	0	0	46	0
14	Aug_21_2014	1147.29	1172.01	1158.78	1173.96	1176.3	1186.95	1193.3(0.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	319	70	361	194	0.01	54%	0.22	-41.2	2.33%	0	0.4	58	0
15	Aug_20_2014	1144.72	1177.23	1149.68	1159.7	1162.81	1178.73	1191.1(0.68%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	379	100	440	196	0.02	54%	0.23	-39.1	2.36%	0	0.2	53	0

16	Aug_19_2014	1142.06	1182.43	1142.57	1149.88	1150.58	1165.64	1183.1(2.33%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	420	90	499	183	0.02	54%	0.24	-41.1	2.36%	0	0	42	0
17	Aug_18_2014	1139.32	1187.05	1135.38	1139.68	1143.13	1146.9	1156.2(0.88%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	245	30	305	63	0.02	54%	0.22	-42.2	2.35%	0	-0.4	37	0
18	Aug_15_2014	1136.86	1192.03	1138.01	1139.64	1138.22	1135.51	1146.1(2.15%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-170	-20	-177	-148	0.04	52%	0.24	-42.8	2.35%	0	-0.6	35	0
19	Aug_14_2014	1134.16	1197.37	1136.84	1141.62	1145.54	1139.36	1122(-1.75%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-47	-30	-25	-113	0.03	52%	0.24	-41.7	2.38%	0	-1.1	31	0
20	Aug_13_2014	1131.5	1203.7	1140.88	1137.4	1145.19	1140.93	1142(0.87%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-150	-10	-135	-193	0.02	52%	0.24	-44.3	2.36%	0	-0.9	30	0

21	Aug_12_2014	1128.74	1211.7	1150.02	1133.52	1138.04	1151.71	1132.1(-2.07%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0	45	100	99	-116	0.02	52%	0.25	-46.8	2.37%	0	-1.1	30	0
22	Aug_11_2014	1125.87	1217.86	1162.42	1129.78	1134.21	1149.46	1156(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.4	469	110	601	74	0.03	52%	0.27	-51.6	2.36%	0	-0.9	35	0
23	Aug_8_2014	1122.81	1223.49	1173.32	1136.72	1128.31	1124.38	1156(5%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-19	-50	24	-148	0.04	49%	0.28	-51.7	2.36%	0	-1	40	0
24	Aug_7_2014	1119.67	1227.77	1185.47	1132.52	1135.75	1118.95	1100.9(-1.93%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-349	-90	-363	-305	0.04	48%	0.24	-60	2.34%	0	-1.9	33	0
25	Aug_6_2014	1116.99	1236.46	1206.69	1144.98	1141.21	1132.24	1122.6(0.83%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-629	-60	-700	-415	0.04	48%		-63.4	2.35%	0	-1.9	37	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.