Trading Signals: ERX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ ERX: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. Dec. 19, 2013

Trading Signals: ERX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Nov. 6, 2008 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily Energy Bull 3X ETF)
ERX latest price $840.8000 (0.68%) ($822.1000 - $843.5000) on Thu. Dec. 19, 2013.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.31% (three month average)
RSI   52
Latest Price   $840.8000(0.68%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ERX advances 1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ERX declines -0.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ERX advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
OIH(89%)    XOP(87%)    IWM(65%)    SPY(64%)    USO(62%)
Factors Impacting ERX price   ERX will decline at least -1.155% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-26%)    SHY(-5%)    IGOV(-5%)    BNDX(-4%)    GLD(3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.155% (StdDev 2.31%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.7%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $820.78(-2.38%)
5 Day Moving Average   $815.76(3.07%)
10 Day Moving Average   $815.99(3.04%)
20 Day Moving Average   $829.8(1.33%)
To recent high   -4.8%
To recent low   18%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.01%

$. ERX is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.01% a day on average for holding it.$. ERX price fluctuates within 2.86% (three month std-dev: 2.31%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20140119

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_19_2013	783.23	829.8	815.99	815.76	815.22	824	840.8(0.68%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	386	70	461	162	0.03	52%	0.15	-39.2	2.31%	0	0.5	52	0
2	Dec_18_2013	782.06	829.91	813.72	808.02	804.81	809.33	835.1(4.54%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	100	30	129	11	0.05	54%	0.15	-46.9	2.31%	0	0.2	49	0
3	Dec_17_2013	780.88	830.57	812.85	799.16	800.42	806.44	798.8(-1.59%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0	82	60	115	-17	0.02	52%	0.1	-50.3	2.29%	0	-1.3	33	0
4	Dec_16_2013	780.12	833.09	816.92	804.48	801.43	800.29	811.7(2.44%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.3	33	-20	57	-38	0.03	52%	0.09	-46.2	2.28%	0	-0.9	33	0
5	Dec_13_2013	779.41	835.9	818.93	808.66	806.59	794.39	792.4(-1.21%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.7	-294	-110	-325	-199	0.04	50%	0.06	-34.9	2.27%	0	-1.8	20	0

6	Dec_12_2013	778.96	839.16	822.98	816.14	816.94	802.56	802.1(1.43%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-435	-120	-491	-265	0.05	50%	0.09	-18.6	2.26%	0	-1.7	29	0
7	Dec_11_2013	778.25	841.23	826.52	820.06	826.56	818.8	790.8(-4.19%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-307	-40	-342	-202	0.05	50%	0.04	-14.8	2.26%	0	-2.5	36	0
8	Dec_10_2013	777.93	843.01	832.87	828	830.78	831.33	825.4(-0.86%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-76	10	-74	-83	0.03	53%	0.09	-7.9	2.22%	0	-1	42	0
9	Dec_9_2013	777.21	843.94	836.21	828	831.07	834.31	832.6(0.34%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.1	64	30	89	-10	0.03	55%	0.09	-7.1	2.21%	0	-0.7	46	0
10	Dec_6_2013	776.49	844.27	840.87	831	831.31	830.24	829.8(0.99%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	42	-10	61	-17	0.03	55%	0.13	-3.6	2.24%	0	-0.9	38	0

11	Dec_5_2013	775.48	843.18	844.75	831.16	830.78	827.83	821.7(-1.06%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-135	-30	-147	-97	0.03	55%	0.15	-10.9	2.24%	0	-1.2	42	0
12	Dec_4_2013	774.34	844.19	847.44	834.04	833.92	832.38	830.5(-1.18%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-66	-10	-68	-59	0.04	55%	0.17	-7.5	2.24%	0	-0.8	50	0
13	Dec_3_2013	773.01	844.37	849.67	838.44	836.43	833.73	840.4(0.94%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-105	-30	-119	-63	0.04	55%	0.17	-8	2.24%	0	-0.2	59	0
14	Dec_2_2013	771.73	845.11	850.47	842.46	842.09	835.46	832.6(0.24%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-179	-60	-208	-90	0.03	55%	0.16	1.9	2.25%	0	-0.7	49	0
15	Nov_29_2013	770.53	844.86	854.15	852.6	850.8	839.14	830.6(-0.66%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-288	-100	-344	-118	0.02	53%	0.27	13.2	2.25%	0	-0.8	50	0

16	Nov_27_2013	768.45	845.19	856.79	860.48	860.04	848.71	836.1(-1.92%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-299	-90	-365	-99	0.04	56%	0.18	27.7	2.35%	0	-0.5	60	0
17	Nov_26_2013	767.08	845.5	857.5	862.38	865.54	862.46	852.5(-0.93%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-143	-10	-183	-21	0.02	56%	0.23	37.2	2.35%	0	0.4	53	0
18	Nov_25_2013	765.34	845.8	854.49	862.08	865.03	871.38	860.5(-2.58%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	125	60	132	102	0.03	56%	0.26	38.6	2.34%	0	0.8	56	0
19	Nov_22_2013	763.38	844.79	852.64	859.34	859.54	868.61	883.3(1.53%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	228	70	256	144	0.02	60%	0.16	36	2.33%	0	2.2	54	0
20	Nov_21_2013	762.17	842.45	847.8	856.48	856.41	858.69	870(2.89%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	162	20	179	112	0.02	60%	0.3	32.8	2.38%	0	1.7	59	0

21	Nov_20_2013	759.87	840.19	841.14	853.3	856.21	850.46	845.6(-0.63%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-34	-40	-48	8	0.03	58%	0.27	28.8	2.37%	0	0.3	53	0
22	Nov_19_2013	757.81	838.77	840.43	851.96	853.96	854.13	851(0.5%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-67	10	-86	-9	0.03	55%	0.28	25	2.37%	0	0.8	52	0
23	Nov_18_2013	755.67	838.8	838.41	845.34	848.19	861.97	846.8(-2.55%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	235	120	275	116	0.03	55%	0.3	34.4	2.46%	0	0.5	47	0
24	Nov_15_2013	753.43	838.44	839.04	844.32	839.33	853.79	869(1.74%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	403	100	471	197	0.03	57%	0.32	46.5	2.44%	0	1.9	55	0
25	Nov_14_2013	751.04	837.29	834.33	837.96	833.84	834.41	854.1(1.81%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	242	-10	286	108	0.03	57%		61.8	2.45%	0	1.2	53	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.