Trading Signals: ERX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ ERX: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. Dec. 11, 2013

Trading Signals: ERX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Nov. 6, 2008 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily Energy Bull 3X ETF)
ERX latest price $790.8000 (-4.19%) ($786.1000 - $827.4000) on Wed. Dec. 11, 2013.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.26% (three month average)
RSI   36
Latest Price   $790.8000(-4.19%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ERX declines -1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ERX declines -2.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ERX advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
OIH(89%)    XOP(87%)    IWM(65%)    SPY(64%)    USO(62%)
Factors Impacting ERX price   ERX will decline at least -1.13% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-25%)    SHY(-5%)    IGOV(-5%)    BNDX(-4%)    GLD(3%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.13% (StdDev 2.26%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -4.4%

Resistance Level   $841.23
5 Day Moving Average   $820.06(-3.57%)
10 Day Moving Average   $826.52(-4.32%)
20 Day Moving Average   $841.23(-5.99%)
To recent high   -10.5%
To recent low   11%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.01%

$. ERX is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.01% a day on average for holding it.$. ERX price fluctuates within 2.36% (three month std-dev: 2.26%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -2.53%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 0.29%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 2.49%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20140111

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_11_2013	778.25	841.23	826.52	820.06	826.56	818.8	790.8(-4.19%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-307	-40	-342	-202	0.05	50%	0.04	-14.8	2.26%	0	-2.5	36	0
2	Dec_10_2013	777.93	843.01	832.87	828	830.78	831.33	825.4(-0.86%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-76	10	-74	-83	0.03	53%	0.09	-7.9	2.22%	0	-1	42	0
3	Dec_9_2013	777.21	843.94	836.21	828	831.07	834.31	832.6(0.34%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.1	64	30	89	-10	0.03	55%	0.09	-7.1	2.21%	0	-0.7	46	0
4	Dec_6_2013	776.49	844.27	840.87	831	831.31	830.24	829.8(0.99%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	42	-10	61	-17	0.03	55%	0.13	-3.6	2.24%	0	-0.9	38	0
5	Dec_5_2013	775.48	843.18	844.75	831.16	830.78	827.83	821.7(-1.06%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-135	-30	-147	-97	0.03	55%	0.15	-10.9	2.24%	0	-1.2	42	0

6	Dec_4_2013	774.34	844.19	847.44	834.04	833.92	832.38	830.5(-1.18%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-66	-10	-68	-59	0.04	55%	0.17	-7.5	2.24%	0	-0.8	50	0
7	Dec_3_2013	773.01	844.37	849.67	838.44	836.43	833.73	840.4(0.94%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-105	-30	-119	-63	0.04	55%	0.17	-8	2.24%	0	-0.2	59	0
8	Dec_2_2013	771.73	845.11	850.47	842.46	842.09	835.46	832.6(0.24%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-179	-60	-208	-90	0.03	55%	0.16	1.9	2.25%	0	-0.7	49	0
9	Nov_29_2013	770.53	844.86	854.15	852.6	850.8	839.14	830.6(-0.66%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-288	-100	-344	-118	0.02	53%	0.27	13.2	2.25%	0	-0.8	50	0
10	Nov_27_2013	768.45	845.19	856.79	860.48	860.04	848.71	836.1(-1.92%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-299	-90	-365	-99	0.04	56%	0.18	27.7	2.35%	0	-0.5	60	0

11	Nov_26_2013	767.08	845.5	857.5	862.38	865.54	862.46	852.5(-0.93%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-143	-10	-183	-21	0.02	56%	0.23	37.2	2.35%	0	0.4	53	0
12	Nov_25_2013	765.34	845.8	854.49	862.08	865.03	871.38	860.5(-2.58%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	125	60	132	102	0.03	56%	0.26	38.6	2.34%	0	0.8	56	0
13	Nov_22_2013	763.38	844.79	852.64	859.34	859.54	868.61	883.3(1.53%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	228	70	256	144	0.02	60%	0.16	36	2.33%	0	2.2	54	0
14	Nov_21_2013	762.17	842.45	847.8	856.48	856.41	858.69	870(2.89%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	162	20	179	112	0.02	60%	0.3	32.8	2.38%	0	1.7	59	0
15	Nov_20_2013	759.87	840.19	841.14	853.3	856.21	850.46	845.6(-0.63%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-34	-40	-48	8	0.03	58%	0.27	28.8	2.37%	0	0.3	53	0

16	Nov_19_2013	757.81	838.77	840.43	851.96	853.96	854.13	851(0.5%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-67	10	-86	-9	0.03	55%	0.28	25	2.37%	0	0.8	52	0
17	Nov_18_2013	755.67	838.8	838.41	845.34	848.19	861.97	846.8(-2.55%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	235	120	275	116	0.03	55%	0.3	34.4	2.46%	0	0.5	47	0
18	Nov_15_2013	753.43	838.44	839.04	844.32	839.33	853.79	869(1.74%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	403	100	471	197	0.03	57%	0.32	46.5	2.44%	0	1.9	55	0
19	Nov_14_2013	751.04	837.29	834.33	837.96	833.84	834.41	854.1(1.81%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	242	-10	286	108	0.03	57%	0.3	61.8	2.45%	0	1.2	53	0
20	Nov_13_2013	748.77	835.73	832.12	827.48	827.28	824.86	838.9(2.57%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.8	-149	-20	-169	-89	0.03	57%	0.3	64.5	2.45%	0	0.2	53	0

21	Nov_12_2013	746.54	834.84	832.17	827.5	827.04	833.27	817.9(-2.83%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	12	50	18	-8	0.02	55%	0.3	79.6	2.43%	0	-0.9	53	0
22	Nov_11_2013	744.29	833.48	836.37	830.18	831.34	829.7	841.7(0.54%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	155	-10	185	64	0.01	57%	0.29	92.4	2.41%	0	0.4	48	0
23	Nov_8_2013	742.11	831.19	836.27	833.04	831.08	820.8	837.2(4.43%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-284	-90	-332	-138	0.03	57%	0.3	94.9	2.41%	0	0.3	50	0
24	Nov_7_2013	739.92	828.42	836.56	830.42	837.66	832.98	801.7(-4.45%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-157	-10	-181	-85	0.04	55%	0.17	78.4	2.36%	0	-1	41	0
25	Nov_6_2013	738.68	826.55	839.57	836.96	837.46	841.35	839(0.93%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-9	30	-10	-5	0.03	58%		67.2	2.29%	0	0.3	55	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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