Trading Signals: ERX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Oct. 4, 2013

Trading Signals: ERX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Nov. 6, 2008 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily Energy Bull 3X ETF)
ERX latest price $763.3000 (2.69%) ($736.8200 - $769.4000) on Fri. Oct. 4, 2013.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.15% (three month average)
RSI   52
Latest Price   $763.3000(2.69%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ERX advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ERX declines -1.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ERX advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
OIH(89%)    XOP(87%)    IWM(66%)    SPY(64%)    USO(62%)
Factors Impacting ERX price   ERX will decline at least -1.075% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-25%)    SHY(-5%)    IGOV(-5%)    BNDX(-4%)    GLD(3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.075% (StdDev 2.15%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 2.2%

Resistance Level   $764.57
5 Day Moving Average   $753.34(1.32%)
10 Day Moving Average   $758.31(0.66%)
20 Day Moving Average   $764.57(-0.17%)
To recent high   -4.5%
To recent low   15.7%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0%

$. ERX is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0% a day on average for holding it.$. ERX price fluctuates within 1.88% (three month std-dev: 2.15%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20131104

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_4_2013	712.13	764.57	758.31	753.34	750.55	751.43	763.3(2.69%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	60	-0	84	-13	0.03	66%	0.11	46.3	2.15%	0	-0.1	52	NAN
2	Oct_3_2013	711.34	763.32	759.16	752.24	746.53	750.29	743.3(-2.38%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-30	10	-22	-55	0.04	64%	0.07	51	2.15%	0	-1.3	46	NAN
3	Oct_2_2013	710.87	763.1	764.01	757.14	748.74	749.66	761.4(0.61%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	85	-20	108	16	0.03	67%	0.08	58.7	2.12%	0	-0.1	51	NAN
4	Oct_1_2013	710.28	761.55	767.46	757.9	752.49	742.78	756.8(2.01%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-172	-110	-197	-97	0.02	67%	0.12	61.6	2.12%	0	-0.2	44	NAN
5	Sep_30_2013	709.44	759.74	768.99	759.54	757.89	747.81	741.9(-2.1%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-380	-100	-444	-189	0.04	67%	0.1	66	2.12%	0	-0.9	47	NAN

6	Sep_27_2013	708.76	758	771.23	763.76	764.92	762.21	757.8(-1.3%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-140	-20	-164	-67	0.01	67%	0.1	60.5	2.11%	0	-0	52	NAN
7	Sep_26_2013	708.02	755.42	771.79	766.98	766.61	767.96	767.8(0.34%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-50	10	-63	-11	0.02	67%	0.12	59.4	2.1%	0	0.5	65	NAN
8	Sep_25_2013	707.19	753.26	771.36	772.04	771.14	767.64	765.2(0.03%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-37	-40	-54	13	0.02	70%	0.12	75	2.11%	0	0.4	65	NAN
9	Sep_24_2013	706.35	749.66	772.43	778.78	778.36	765.25	765(0.26%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-227	-120	-286	-49	0.02	64%	0.14	77.1	2.15%	0	0.5	67	NAN
10	Sep_23_2013	705.38	746.64	771.99	779.98	783.06	774.65	763(-1.41%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-306	-60	-383	-73	0.02	64%	0.16	82.2	2.24%	0	0.5	69	NAN

11	Sep_20_2013	704.28	743.87	771.7	779.38	783.66	774.65	773.9(-2.42%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	76	90	59	125	0.03	54%	0.22	82.5	2.23%	0	0.9	78	NAN
12	Sep_19_2013	702.73	739.8	768.13	776.72	779.5	791.48	793.1(-0.73%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	391	120	430	272	0.02	57%	0.28	76.9	2.47%	0	1.6	85	NAN
13	Sep_18_2013	700.74	733.28	762.17	770.52	770.66	775.85	798.9(3.62%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	210	50	220	181	0.05	57%	0.25	62.1	2.5%	0	1.9	73	NAN
14	Sep_17_2013	699	726.82	754.82	765.84	766.59	767.53	771(1.45%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	71	10	54	122	0.02	57%	0.22	53.9	2.47%	0	1.3	76	NAN
15	Sep_16_2013	697.47	721.34	749.43	763.32	765.78	765.48	760(-0.08%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	58	10	38	116	0.03	57%	0.23	42.7	2.52%	0	1.1	67	NAN

16	Sep_13_2013	695.86	717.92	743.65	762.86	762.32	765.65	760.6(-0.2%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	57	30	38	115	0.02	61%	0.23	39	2.55%	0	1.3	66	NAN
17	Sep_12_2013	694.27	714.84	737.82	757.72	758.84	766.08	762.1(-1.73%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	221	70	233	186	0.02	61%	0.23	32	2.62%	0	1.5	70	NAN
18	Sep_11_2013	692.65	712.15	733.73	751.96	750.85	758.98	775.5(2.25%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	226	70	235	197	0.03	57%	0.29	27.7	2.63%	0	2.1	79	NAN
19	Sep_10_2013	690.66	709.09	724.89	742.16	743.46	751.6	758.4(0.09%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	254	80	272	200	0.04	57%	0.29	19.9	2.68%	0	1.8	72	NAN
20	Sep_9_2013	688.65	706.8	719.03	733.54	734.72	742.73	757.7(3.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	228	80	241	187	0.03	57%	0.32	7.3	2.68%	0	2.1	74	NAN

21	Sep_6_2013	686.45	704.94	713.47	721.74	726.63	735.33	734.9(0.22%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	242	100	263	180	0.03	57%	0.28	-10.9	2.69%	0	1.4	59	NAN
22	Sep_5_2013	684.54	704.62	709.01	714.84	718.06	726.72	733.3(0.94%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	213	100	233	153	0.02	54%	0.3	-25.1	2.71%	0	1.3	56	NAN
23	Sep_4_2013	682.5	703.87	701.94	712.78	711.87	717.94	726.5(1.57%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	169	60	186	116	0.03	54%	0.23	-28.9	2.75%	0	1.1	52	NAN
24	Sep_3_2013	680.91	703.82	696.41	705.06	709.77	709.4	715.3(2.38%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	122	20	139	70	0.03	54%	0.32	-36.5	2.76%	0	0.5	47	NAN
25	Aug_30_2013	678.72	705.01	690.98	702.38	703.27	705.8	698.7(-0.24%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-79	30	-91	-44	0.03	50%		-31.6	2.84%	0	-0.3	45	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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