Trading Signals: ERX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ ERX: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Mon. Sep. 30, 2013

Trading Signals: ERX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Nov. 6, 2008 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily Energy Bull 3X ETF)
ERX latest price $741.9000 (-2.1%) ($727.3000 - $750.4000) on Mon. Sep. 30, 2013.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.12% (three month average)
RSI   47
Latest Price   $741.9000(-2.1%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ERX declines -0.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ERX declines -0.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ERX advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
OIH(89%)    XOP(87%)    IWM(66%)    SPY(64%)    USO(62%)
Factors Impacting ERX price   ERX will decline at least -1.06% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-25%)    SHY(-5%)    IGOV(-5%)    BNDX(-4%)    GLD(3%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.06% (StdDev 2.12%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.3%

Resistance Level   $759.74
5 Day Moving Average   $759.54(-2.32%)
10 Day Moving Average   $768.99(-3.52%)
20 Day Moving Average   $759.74(-2.35%)
To recent high   -7.1%
To recent low   16.1%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0%

$. ERX is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0% a day on average for holding it.$. ERX price fluctuates within 2.65% (three month std-dev: 2.12%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 3.01%(100%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 8.08%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 16.92%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20131030

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_30_2013	709.44	759.74	768.99	759.54	757.89	747.81	741.9(-2.1%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-380	-100	-444	-189	0.04	67%	0.1	66	2.12%	0	-0.9	47	0
2	Sep_27_2013	708.76	758	771.23	763.76	764.92	762.21	757.8(-1.3%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-140	-20	-164	-67	0.01	67%	0.1	60.5	2.11%	0	-0	52	0
3	Sep_26_2013	708.02	755.42	771.79	766.98	766.61	767.96	767.8(0.34%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-50	10	-63	-11	0.02	67%	0.12	59.4	2.1%	0	0.5	65	0
4	Sep_25_2013	707.19	753.26	771.36	772.04	771.14	767.64	765.2(0.03%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-37	-40	-54	13	0.02	70%	0.12	75	2.11%	0	0.4	65	0
5	Sep_24_2013	706.35	749.66	772.43	778.78	778.36	765.25	765(0.26%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-227	-120	-286	-49	0.02	64%	0.14	77.1	2.15%	0	0.5	67	0

6	Sep_23_2013	705.38	746.64	771.99	779.98	783.06	774.65	763(-1.41%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-306	-60	-383	-73	0.02	64%	0.16	82.2	2.24%	0	0.5	69	0
7	Sep_20_2013	704.28	743.87	771.7	779.38	783.66	774.65	773.9(-2.42%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	76	90	59	125	0.03	54%	0.22	82.5	2.23%	0	0.9	78	0
8	Sep_19_2013	702.73	739.8	768.13	776.72	779.5	791.48	793.1(-0.73%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	391	120	430	272	0.02	57%	0.28	76.9	2.47%	0	1.6	85	0
9	Sep_18_2013	700.74	733.28	762.17	770.52	770.66	775.85	798.9(3.62%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	210	50	220	181	0.05	57%	0.25	62.1	2.5%	0	1.9	73	0
10	Sep_17_2013	699	726.82	754.82	765.84	766.59	767.53	771(1.45%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	71	10	54	122	0.02	57%	0.22	53.9	2.47%	0	1.3	76	0

11	Sep_16_2013	697.47	721.34	749.43	763.32	765.78	765.48	760(-0.08%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	58	10	38	116	0.03	57%	0.23	42.7	2.52%	0	1.1	67	0
12	Sep_13_2013	695.86	717.92	743.65	762.86	762.32	765.65	760.6(-0.2%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	57	30	38	115	0.02	61%	0.23	39	2.55%	0	1.3	66	0
13	Sep_12_2013	694.27	714.84	737.82	757.72	758.84	766.08	762.1(-1.73%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	221	70	233	186	0.02	61%	0.23	32	2.62%	0	1.5	70	0
14	Sep_11_2013	692.65	712.15	733.73	751.96	750.85	758.98	775.5(2.25%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	226	70	235	197	0.03	57%	0.29	27.7	2.63%	0	2.1	79	0
15	Sep_10_2013	690.66	709.09	724.89	742.16	743.46	751.6	758.4(0.09%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	254	80	272	200	0.04	57%	0.29	19.9	2.68%	0	1.8	72	0

16	Sep_9_2013	688.65	706.8	719.03	733.54	734.72	742.73	757.7(3.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	228	80	241	187	0.03	57%	0.32	7.3	2.68%	0	2.1	74	0
17	Sep_6_2013	686.45	704.94	713.47	721.74	726.63	735.33	734.9(0.22%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	242	100	263	180	0.03	57%	0.28	-10.9	2.69%	0	1.4	59	0
18	Sep_5_2013	684.54	704.62	709.01	714.84	718.06	726.72	733.3(0.94%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	213	100	233	153	0.02	54%	0.3	-25.1	2.71%	0	1.3	56	0
19	Sep_4_2013	682.5	703.87	701.94	712.78	711.87	717.94	726.5(1.57%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	169	60	186	116	0.03	54%	0.23	-28.9	2.75%	0	1.1	52	0
20	Sep_3_2013	680.91	703.82	696.41	705.06	709.77	709.4	715.3(2.38%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	122	20	139	70	0.03	54%	0.32	-36.5	2.76%	0	0.5	47	0

21	Aug_30_2013	678.72	705.01	690.98	702.38	703.27	705.8	698.7(-0.24%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-79	30	-91	-44	0.03	50%	0.06	-31.6	2.84%	0	-0.3	45	0
22	Aug_29_2013	678.31	707.38	690.34	703.76	704.51	710.14	700.4(-3.13%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	161	60	194	63	0.04	50%	0.07	-26.3	2.84%	0	-0.3	43	0
23	Aug_28_2013	677.81	710.18	690.32	701.84	701.99	700.74	723(5.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	99	-10	125	22	0.07	52%	0.12	-26.4	2.81%	0	0.5	45	0
24	Aug_27_2013	676.97	710.14	688.79	689.44	694.58	698.88	687.9(-1.99%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-21	70	-9	-56	0.04	49%	0.09	-40.4	2.76%	0	-0.8	40	0
25	Aug_26_2013	676.33	711.77	691.98	686.12	688.46	703.24	701.9(-0.52%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	282	160	349	79	0.03	49%		-51.5	2.77%	0	-0.4	41	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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