Trading Signals: ERX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ ERX: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. Jun. 5, 2013

Trading Signals: ERX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Nov. 6, 2008 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily Energy Bull 3X ETF)
ERX latest price $655.6000 (-3.59%) ($655.3000 - $681.0000) on Wed. Jun. 5, 2013.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.15% (three month average)
RSI   45
Latest Price   $655.6000(-3.59%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ERX declines -2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ERX declines -2.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ERX advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
OIH(89%)    XOP(87%)    IWM(66%)    SPY(65%)    USO(62%)
Factors Impacting ERX price   ERX will decline at least -1.575% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-25%)    SHY(-5%)    IGOV(-5%)    GLD(4%)    BNDX(4%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.575% (StdDev 3.15%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -2.7%

Resistance Level   $703.48
5 Day Moving Average   $686.16(-4.45%)
10 Day Moving Average   $702.61(-6.69%)
20 Day Moving Average   $703.48(-6.81%)
To recent high   -12.9%
To recent low   22.9%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.01%

$. ERX is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.01% a day on average for holding it.$. ERX price fluctuates within 3.63% (three month std-dev: 3.15%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 2.34%(50%) Average negative next day return: -0.07%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 3.01%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -5.98%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: -3.35%(100%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20130705

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_5_2013	638.2	703.48	702.61	686.16	683.49	674.34	655.6(-3.59%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-277	-110	-311	-175	0.07	47%	0.19	32.2	3.15%	0	-1.9	45	NAN
2	Jun_4_2013	636.99	705.23	711.98	700.48	697	685.04	680(-2.17%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-198	-140	-227	-111	0.06	49%	0.24	63.6	3.12%	0	-1.1	47	NAN
3	Jun_3_2013	635.45	705.03	719.28	710.56	706.96	692.65	695.1(2.45%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-318	-160	-378	-137	0.06	49%	0.27	84.3	3.11%	0	-0.4	57	NAN
4	May_31_2013	633.76	703.34	722.16	713.5	718.69	708.96	678.5(-5.97%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-180	-70	-220	-58	0.07	49%	0.24	90.7	3.12%	0	-0.9	55	NAN
5	May_30_2013	632.22	701.09	723.77	721.6	720.29	721.28	721.6(-0.77%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	-56	0	-79	13	0.04	53%	0.34	88.2	3.05%	0	0.7	61	NAN

6	May_29_2013	630.09	695.31	721.65	721.46	716.44	728.41	727.2(-0.44%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	102	100	106	90	0.05	53%	0.35	73	3.07%	0	0.8	61	NAN
7	May_28_2013	627.92	690.5	719.36	725.6	720.34	719.31	730.4(2.9%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	180	-30	194	139	0.06	53%	0.49	79.9	3.07%	0	1	63	NAN
8	May_24_2013	624.86	685.14	714.11	730.1	724.83	704.46	709.8(-1.28%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-276	-220	-345	-69	0.06	52%	0.31	83.6	3.22%	0	0.6	63	NAN
9	May_23_2013	622.91	680.05	711.01	732.32	733.47	721.36	719(-0.26%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-298	-110	-373	-71	0.07	52%	0.33	88.7	3.24%	0	0.9	69	NAN
10	May_22_2013	620.87	674.46	707.78	725.64	734.62	745.19	720.9(-3.61%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	112	140	106	128	0.12	54%	0.17	89.2	3.27%	0	1	75	NAN

11	May_21_2013	619.83	668.68	704.41	720.96	722.81	745.58	747.9(-0.66%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	430	230	475	294	0.09	56%	0.44	91	3.25%	0	1.6	86	NAN
12	May_20_2013	617.12	660.28	697.56	712.04	708.07	724.05	752.9(4.44%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	447	140	494	304	0.08	52%	0.5	86.3	3.26%	0	1.9	74	NAN
13	May_17_2013	614.07	650.64	688.8	696.46	695.9	700.05	720.9(5.15%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	207	40	215	182	0.07	52%	0.41	78.5	3.33%	0	1.4	73	NAN
14	May_16_2013	611.59	641.84	682.15	687.18	686.2	692.1	685.6(-1.71%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	66	60	49	118	0.05	49%	0.34	63.9	3.3%	0	0.9	72	NAN
15	May_15_2013	609.5	635.13	676.36	687.14	681.39	691.75	697.5(-0.82%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	190	80	192	183	0.07	48%	0.15	50.8	3.32%	0	1.2	74	NAN

16	May_14_2013	608.59	627.07	666.91	685.04	679.4	680.3	703.3(4.19%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	159	-20	156	167	0.05	48%	0.37	40.4	3.34%	0	1.5	76	NAN
17	May_13_2013	606.35	620.28	659.3	680.96	677.9	671.03	675(0.07%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-86	-80	-135	61	0.03	46%	0.3	33	3.31%	0	1.1	77	NAN
18	May_10_2013	604.55	614.05	654.05	679.84	680.38	678.51	674.5(-1.59%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-34	-20	-80	104	0.05	46%	0.27	26.7	3.27%	0	1.2	80	NAN
19	May_9_2013	602.91	611.3	647.09	675.96	679.04	684.76	685.4(-0.23%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	157	70	140	206	0.04	46%	0.31	26.5	3.29%	0	1.5	85	NAN
20	May_8_2013	601.04	609.26	638.92	663.36	669.12	682.25	687(0.6%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	301	160	310	273	0.04	47%	0.3	25.1	3.31%	0	1.7	83	NAN

21	May_7_2013	599.27	606.77	630.32	645.56	651.62	673.33	682.9(2.02%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	410	260	441	318	0.06	47%	0.33	19.3	3.33%	0	1.8	84	NAN
22	May_6_2013	597.27	603.99	619.9	634.6	632.76	656	669.4(2.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	460	250	503	331	0.05	47%	0.34	12.5	3.32%	0	1.6	68	NAN
23	May_3_2013	595.27	601.24	609.01	624.9	621.57	629.91	655.1(5.25%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	359	80	387	276	0.08	47%	0.3	1.9	3.29%	0	1.4	70	NAN
24	May_2_2013	593.49	598.77	597.81	614.42	614.29	609.51	622.4(4.08%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	3	-60	-21	73	0.08	44%	0.22	-12.2	3.25%	0	0.7	48	NAN
25	May_1_2013	592.17	597.92	590.47	610.84	610.75	613.23	598(-4.79%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-74	30	-100	4	0.09	42%		-22.4	3.23%	0	0	40	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.