Trading Signals: ERX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ ERX: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Fri. Mar. 1, 2013

Trading Signals: ERX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Nov. 6, 2008 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily Energy Bull 3X ETF)
ERX latest price $618.6000 (-0.35%) ($600.2000 - $622.1000) on Fri. Mar. 1, 2013.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.83% (three month average)
RSI   46
Latest Price   $618.6000(-0.35%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ERX declines -0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ERX declines -3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ERX advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
OIH(89%)    XOP(87%)    IWM(66%)    SPY(65%)    USO(62%)
Factors Impacting ERX price   ERX will decline at least -1.415% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-25%)    SHY(-5%)    IGOV(-5%)    GLD(5%)    TIP(6%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.415% (StdDev 2.83%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.5%

Resistance Level   $626.06
5 Day Moving Average   $605.76(2.12%)
10 Day Moving Average   $617.44(0.19%)
20 Day Moving Average   $626.06(-1.19%)
To recent high   -6.5%
To recent low   35.4%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.01%

$. ERX is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.01% a day on average for holding it.$. ERX price fluctuates within 3.16% (three month std-dev: 2.83%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20130401

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_1_2013	532.4	626.06	617.44	605.76	606.31	617.43	618.6(-0.35%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	47	130	74	-35	0.08	69%	0.19	-14.6	2.83%	0	-0.4	46	0
2	Feb_28_2013	531.38	625.94	621.16	607.26	605.18	613.8	620.8(-0.05%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	280	90	345	85	0.06	69%	0.22	-6.9	2.81%	0	-0.3	50	0
3	Feb_27_2013	530.21	625.89	623.36	604.24	604.19	595.2	621.1(4.84%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.8	-33	-100	-23	-64	0.08	69%	0.16	-2.8	2.82%	0	-0.2	49	0
4	Feb_26_2013	529.35	626.41	625.04	603.84	604.18	596.55	592.4(2.87%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-406	-90	-461	-239	0.14	67%	0.11	6.3	2.79%	0	-1.7	45	0
5	Feb_25_2013	528.79	627.13	629.46	617.66	617.85	613.18	575.9(-8.02%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.2	-102	-50	-113	-69	0.11	65%	0.08	33.7	2.8%	0	-2.6	45	0

6	Feb_22_2013	528.38	628.97	636.72	630.32	629.34	611.82	626.1(3.37%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-247	-200	-292	-113	0.06	76%	0.17	76.5	2.63%	0	-0.2	50	0
7	Feb_21_2013	527.48	627.29	637.01	637.12	636.39	622.53	605.7(-2.16%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-507	-160	-603	-219	0.08	75%	0.17	89.9	2.62%	0	-1.2	51	0
8	Feb_20_2013	526.61	626.46	639.95	644.96	647.72	646.86	619.1(-6.41%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-1.3	-56	0	-78	12	0.09	75%	0.15	103.7	2.61%	0	-0.4	52	0
9	Feb_19_2013	525.82	625.14	641.19	648.9	648.44	650.25	661.5(3.49%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	96	20	97	93	0.09	86%	0.22	115.6	2.46%	0	1.6	58	0
10	Feb_15_2013	524.68	620.67	636.47	643.24	643.88	648.59	639.2(-3.17%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	68	50	66	73	0.08	85%	0.19	112.3	2.54%	0	0.8	63	0

11	Feb_14_2013	523.66	616.68	635.63	644.04	641.45	646.64	660.1(2.36%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	188	40	203	141	0.05	84%	0.28	104.9	2.49%	0	1.6	67	0
12	Feb_13_2013	522.2	611	630.92	637.34	637.7	639.18	644.9(0.95%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	109	20	112	100	0.05	84%	0.22	96.4	2.54%	0	1.2	69	0
13	Feb_12_2013	521.06	605.85	628.21	634.48	633.36	636.26	638.8(0.88%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	49	30	39	78	0.04	84%	0.17	89.7	2.55%	0	1.1	69	0
14	Feb_11_2013	520.16	600.63	627.3	632.28	630.36	636.23	633.2(-1.55%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	145	60	149	134	0.05	84%	0.14	82.7	2.55%	0	1	65	0
15	Feb_8_2013	519.42	595.69	624.18	628.5	627.71	630.45	643.2(2.65%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	172	30	179	151	0.07	77%	0.16	75.4	2.54%	0	1.3	72	0

16	Feb_7_2013	518.57	590.02	620.25	626	622.71	624.5	626.6(-0.63%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	20	0	-3	90	0.06	67%	0.14	74	2.63%	0	1	74	0
17	Feb_6_2013	517.83	584.6	616.62	623.46	622.44	624.97	630.6(0.45%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	107	20	98	135	0.07	69%	0.12	68.4	2.84%	0	1.2	77	0
18	Feb_5_2013	517.21	578.97	611.91	621.02	620.12	620.93	627.8(2.2%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	37	0	12	112	0.08	69%	0.09	69.8	2.89%	0	1.2	78	0
19	Feb_4_2013	516.76	573.74	607.98	621.74	620.62	619.91	614.3(-2.6%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	38	-10	6	134	0.07	69%	0.03	80.1	2.89%	0	1	78	0
20	Feb_1_2013	516.62	569.72	603.9	618.88	621.32	619.32	630.7(2.74%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	58	-10	27	151	0.1	64%	0.11	87	2.95%	0	1.6	83	0

21	Jan_31_2013	516.07	564	596.46	613.62	615.9	621.33	613.9(-0.73%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	44	70	9	148	0.06	64%	0.13	91.9	2.93%	0	1.3	82	0
22	Jan_30_2013	515.39	559.16	589.78	608.44	612.29	623.31	618.4(-2.06%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	316	140	328	280	0.09	64%	0.16	94.8	2.93%	0	1.6	86	0
23	Jan_29_2013	514.56	552.5	581.92	601.14	602.45	610.48	631.4(5.23%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	257	100	260	249	0.11	64%	0.22	92.3	2.94%	0	2.3	91	0
24	Jan_28_2013	513.43	543.79	571.72	592.5	593.33	601.26	600(-0.73%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	196	100	190	212	0.07	62%	0.14	81.4	2.9%	0	1.7	82	0
25	Jan_25_2013	512.69	537.79	564.89	586.66	587.05	594.43	604.4(2.79%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	258	90	266	233	0.09	62%		66.9	2.89%	0	1.9	75	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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