Trading Signals: ERX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ ERX: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Mon. Jun. 25, 2012

Trading Signals: ERX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Nov. 6, 2008 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily Energy Bull 3X ETF)
ERX latest price $329.5000 (-6.31%) ($320.5000 - $338.0000) on Mon. Jun. 25, 2012.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.88% (three month average)
RSI   54
Latest Price   $329.5000(-6.31%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ERX declines -2.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ERX advances 0.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ERX advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
OIH(89%)    XOP(87%)    IWM(66%)    SPY(66%)    USO(62%)
Factors Impacting ERX price   ERX will decline at least -1.94% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-26%)    SHY(-5%)    IGOV(-3%)    TIP(6%)    GLD(7%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.94% (StdDev 3.88%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -2.3%

Resistance Level   $361.08
5 Day Moving Average   $363.52(-9.36%)
10 Day Moving Average   $367.23(-10.27%)
20 Day Moving Average   $361.08(-8.75%)
To recent high   -38.9%
To recent low   1.3%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.02%

$. ERX is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.02% a day on average for holding it.$. ERX price fluctuates within 6.09% (three month std-dev: 3.88%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20120725

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_25_2012	471.08	361.08	367.23	363.52	361.31	341	329.5(-6.31%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-316	-410	-375	-140	0.28	40%	-0.42	-19.5	3.88%	0	-1.4	54	NAN
2	Jun_22_2012	473.09	363.67	370.15	373.68	376.74	359.78	351.7(1.68%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1	-285	-290	-349	-93	0.16	41%	-0.32	-3.3	3.84%	0	-0.6	61	NAN
3	Jun_21_2012	474.61	365.22	371.83	381.2	383.77	381.61	345.9(-12.03%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-1.7	-140	-20	-188	6	0.29	40%	-0.32	9.6	3.89%	0	-0.9	60	NAN
4	Jun_20_2012	476.11	367.17	374.21	386.2	387.12	393.71	393.2(-1.03%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	184	130	184	183	0.15	42%	-0.2	18.1	3.63%	0	1.2	62	NAN
5	Jun_19_2012	477.06	366.32	371.17	378.26	379.26	385.94	397.3(4.47%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	155	130	155	154	0.19	42%	-0.22	8.1	3.66%	0	1.5	59	NAN

6	Jun_18_2012	478.1	365.42	364.8	371.9	370.54	380.54	380.3(-2.31%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	145	180	155	113	0.2	41%	-0.27	-3.7	3.62%	0	0.7	45	NAN
7	Jun_15_2012	479.39	364.37	359.5	366.34	366.12	372.58	389.3(4.96%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	178	120	205	97	0.21	42%	-0.26	-24.6	3.65%	0	1.3	52	NAN
8	Jun_14_2012	480.63	363.19	353.19	361.66	362.05	360.55	370.9(4.92%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.5	13	-30	21	-13	0.17	39%	-0.34	-45.6	3.59%	0	0.4	47	NAN
9	Jun_13_2012	482.28	363.35	350.94	360.7	361.23	359.66	353.5(-3.28%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-87	-30	-91	-76	0.14	39%	-0.34	-57	3.54%	0	-0.5	42	NAN
10	Jun_12_2012	483.93	364.66	351.47	362.86	365.05	363.54	365.5(3.69%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.1	20	-10	36	-28	0.15	39%	-0.32	-64.8	3.56%	0	0	46	NAN

11	Jun_11_2012	485.5	366.16	353.86	356.38	363.22	362.81	352.5(-3.66%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	13	50	32	-43	0.18	37%	-0.33	-76.3	3.52%	0	-0.7	40	NAN
12	Jun_8_2012	487.09	369.26	356.33	350.96	354.17	366.57	365.9(-0.05%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	95	270	130	-11	0.17	38%	-0.3	-77.8	3.5%	0	-0.1	53	NAN
13	Jun_7_2012	488.54	372.01	357.72	343.14	345.45	363.63	366.1(0.49%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	330	390	411	87	0.27	38%	-0.28	-83.3	3.51%	0	-0.2	50	NAN
14	Jun_6_2012	489.93	374.52	359.23	340	334.4	341.76	364.3(9.37%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	159	100	211	2	0.3	37%	-0.24	-91	3.53%	0	-0.4	48	NAN
15	Jun_5_2012	491.12	377.55	360.63	339.18	333.91	327.27	333.1(2.37%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-114	-190	-107	-134	0.26	32%	-0.33	-96.9	3.34%	0	-1.5	36	NAN

16	Jun_4_2012	492.75	382.54	365.92	351.66	343.89	327.04	325.4(-0.43%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-337	-410	-377	-217	0.21	32%	-0.31	-95.1	3.32%	0	-1.9	29	NAN
17	Jun_1_2012	494.26	388.13	369.99	362.5	361.06	340.55	326.8(-6.74%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-389	-410	-439	-238	0.31	32%	-0.31	-98	3.33%	0	-2.1	26	NAN
18	May_31_2012	495.82	395.07	374.76	373.84	374.07	360.74	350.4(-2.72%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-356	-250	-402	-219	0.28	34%	-0.29	-90.2	3.28%	0	-1.5	28	NAN
19	May_30_2012	497.26	401.8	377.62	380.7	382.12	381.58	360.2(-8.93%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-104	0	-105	-102	0.27	34%	-0.31	-73.6	3.29%	0	-1.2	32	NAN
20	May_29_2012	498.81	409.16	379.81	384.82	383.23	387.4	395.5(4.19%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.3	64	60	97	-35	0.15	37%	-0.2	-55.7	3.15%	0	-0.3	37	NAN

21	May_25_2012	499.79	413.73	379.78	382.69	381.27	382.67	379.6(-1.02%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	46	10	83	-64	0.09	34%	-0.25	-47.6	3.06%	0	-0.8	28	NAN
22	May_24_2012	501.03	418.97	383.27	378.83	379.51	379.06	383.5(-0.31%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-4	-0	29	-103	0.15	34%	-0.25	-46.1	3.08%	0	-0.8	28	NAN
23	May_23_2012	502.31	424.09	387.13	375.95	375.66	379.88	384.7(1.02%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-37	80	-2	-140	0.22	34%	-0.24	-45.1	3.09%	0	-0.8	23	NAN
24	May_22_2012	503.53	428.68	390.42	374.25	375.99	379.96	380.8(-1.05%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	77	90	140	-114	0.19	34%	-0.25	-45.7	3.1%	0	-1	18	NAN
25	May_21_2012	504.79	432.92	395.01	374.13	375.71	371.45	384.84(6.81%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-97	-70	-54	-224	0.15	34%		-47.7	3.1%	0	-1.1	16	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.