Trading Signals: ERX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ ERX: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Mon. Jun. 4, 2012

Trading Signals: ERX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Nov. 6, 2008 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily Energy Bull 3X ETF)
ERX latest price $325.4000 (-0.43%) ($312.5000 - $332.6900) on Mon. Jun. 4, 2012.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.32% (three month average)
RSI   29
Latest Price   $325.4000(-0.43%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ERX declines -3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ERX declines -3.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ERX advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
OIH(89%)    XOP(87%)    IWM(66%)    SPY(66%)    USO(62%)
Factors Impacting ERX price   ERX will decline at least -1.66% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-27%)    SHY(-5%)    IGOV(-3%)    TIP(5%)    GLD(6%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.66% (StdDev 3.32%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1%

Resistance Level   $382.54
5 Day Moving Average   $351.66(-7.47%)
10 Day Moving Average   $365.92(-11.07%)
20 Day Moving Average   $382.54(-14.94%)
To recent high   -44.5%
To recent low   0%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.01%

$. ERX is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.01% a day on average for holding it.$. ERX price fluctuates within 7.93% (three month std-dev: 3.32%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 13.06%(100%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 24.07%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -2.63%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 22.22%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -13.16%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20120704

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_4_2012	492.75	382.54	365.92	351.66	343.89	327.04	325.4(-0.43%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-337	-410	-377	-217	0.21	32%	-0.31	-95.1	3.32%	0	-1.9	29	NAN
2	Jun_1_2012	494.26	388.13	369.99	362.5	361.06	340.55	326.8(-6.74%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-389	-410	-439	-238	0.31	32%	-0.31	-98	3.33%	0	-2.1	26	NAN
3	May_31_2012	495.82	395.07	374.76	373.84	374.07	360.74	350.4(-2.72%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-356	-250	-402	-219	0.28	34%	-0.29	-90.2	3.28%	0	-1.5	28	NAN
4	May_30_2012	497.26	401.8	377.62	380.7	382.12	381.58	360.2(-8.93%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-104	0	-105	-102	0.27	34%	-0.31	-73.6	3.29%	0	-1.2	32	NAN
5	May_29_2012	498.81	409.16	379.81	384.82	383.23	387.4	395.5(4.19%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.3	64	60	97	-35	0.15	37%	-0.2	-55.7	3.15%	0	-0.3	37	NAN

6	May_25_2012	499.79	413.73	379.78	382.69	381.27	382.67	379.6(-1.02%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	46	10	83	-64	0.09	34%	-0.25	-47.6	3.06%	0	-0.8	28	NAN
7	May_24_2012	501.03	418.97	383.27	378.83	379.51	379.06	383.5(-0.31%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-4	-0	29	-103	0.15	34%	-0.25	-46.1	3.08%	0	-0.8	28	NAN
8	May_23_2012	502.31	424.09	387.13	375.95	375.66	379.88	384.7(1.02%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-37	80	-2	-140	0.22	34%	-0.24	-45.1	3.09%	0	-0.8	23	NAN
9	May_22_2012	503.53	428.68	390.42	374.25	375.99	379.96	380.8(-1.05%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	77	90	140	-114	0.19	34%	-0.25	-45.7	3.1%	0	-1	18	NAN
10	May_21_2012	504.79	432.92	395.01	374.13	375.71	371.45	384.84(6.81%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-97	-70	-54	-224	0.15	34%	-0.17	-47.7	3.1%	0	-1.1	16	NAN

11	May_18_2012	505.66	436.58	399.62	376.98	379.79	372.03	360.3(-2.38%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-259	-120	-237	-323	0.21	30%	-0.22	-46.8	2.98%	0	-1.7	14	NAN
12	May_17_2012	506.78	441.7	407.32	388.58	388.04	379.98	369.1(-1.89%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-280	-150	-264	-327	0.25	30%	-0.18	-43.3	2.99%	0	-1.8	18	NAN
13	May_16_2012	507.67	446.47	416.95	400.02	399.81	387.55	376.2(-1.05%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.7	-283	-220	-273	-312	0.23	30%	-0.21	-41.3	3%	0	-1.9	19	NAN
14	May_15_2012	508.76	451.05	428.08	408.86	411.44	396.1	380.2(-4.74%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-334	-240	-341	-312	0.24	30%	-0.26	-36.7	3.05%	0	-2.2	25	NAN
15	May_14_2012	510.1	455.59	441.22	418.64	417.93	412.06	399.1(-4.59%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-296	-100	-307	-262	0.2	31%	-0.16	-29.8	3%	0	-2	34	NAN

16	May_11_2012	510.93	458.11	450.72	425.46	423.01	426.79	418.3(-1.88%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.3	-8	50	24	-102	0.12	33%	-0.11	-30.6	2.96%	0	-1.5	42	NAN
17	May_10_2012	511.47	459.81	457.72	428.94	425.1	423.8	426.3(1.4%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	4	-50	32	-79	0.18	33%	-0.05	-36	2.98%	0	-1.4	44	NAN
18	May_9_2012	511.73	462.06	464.05	436.96	428.35	419.23	420.4(-2.03%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-265	-210	-293	-180	0.23	33%	-0.03	-33.3	2.99%	0	-1.8	41	NAN
19	May_8_2012	511.9	463.42	470.15	450.76	443.56	426.39	429.1(-0.95%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-341	-320	-393	-183	0.27	33%	0.08	-33.1	2.98%	0	-1.5	42	NAN
20	May_7_2012	511.5	464.31	474.13	467.72	461.71	437.46	433.2(-0.57%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-507	-410	-601	-226	0.15	33%	0.04	-31.8	2.98%	0	-1.5	42	NAN

21	May_4_2012	511.27	466.19	476.93	479.84	480.88	460.74	435.7(-6.58%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.2	-451	-290	-545	-169	0.24	33%	0.07	-26.8	3.01%	0	-1.5	53	NAN
22	May_3_2012	510.89	468.78	479.6	490.2	492.16	485.96	466.4(-4.7%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-229	-80	-293	-36	0.12	39%	0.13	-17.7	2.92%	0	-0.1	60	NAN
23	May_2_2012	510.24	470.06	479.04	494.62	494.97	501.03	489.4(-4.77%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	100	90	91	126	0.18	41%	0.1	-13.1	2.94%	0	0.9	57	NAN
24	May_1_2012	509.72	470.93	476.22	492.14	490.89	498.35	513.9(4.07%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	254	100	270	204	0.23	43%	0.13	-17.2	2.88%	0	1.9	73	NAN
25	Apr_30_2012	509.06	471.09	470.85	481.96	482.1	488.92	493.8(1.29%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	179	100	186	157	0.07	40%		-29.8	2.84%	0	1	70	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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