Trading Signals: ERX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ ERX: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Tue. May. 22, 2012

Trading Signals: ERX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Nov. 6, 2008 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily Energy Bull 3X ETF)
ERX latest price $380.8000 (-1.05%) ($373.0000 - $401.2000) on Tue. May. 22, 2012.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.1% (three month average)
RSI   18
Latest Price   $380.8000(-1.05%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Weekly Trend   ERX declines -8.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ERX advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
OIH(89%)    XOP(87%)    IWM(66%)    SPY(66%)    USO(62%)
Factors Impacting ERX price   ERX will decline at least -1.55% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-27%)    SHY(-5%)    IGOV(-3%)    TIP(5%)    GLD(6%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.55% (StdDev 3.1%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1.8%

Resistance Level   $428.68
5 Day Moving Average   $374.25(1.75%)
10 Day Moving Average   $390.42(-2.46%)
20 Day Moving Average   $428.68(-11.17%)
To recent high   -37.1%
To recent low   5.7%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.01%

$. ERX is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.01% a day on average for holding it.$. ERX price fluctuates within 10.85% (three month std-dev: 3.1%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 4 Average positive next day return: 0.34%(25%) Average negative next day return: -1.62%(75%) Sample size 4 Average positive next three day return: 2.5%(25%) Average negative next three day return: -7.04%(75%) Sample size 4 Average positive next weekly return: 0.83%(25%) Average negative next weekly return: -11.89%(75%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20120622

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_22_2012	503.53	428.68	390.42	374.25	375.99	379.96	380.8(-1.05%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	77	90	140	-114	0.19	34%	-0.25	-45.7	3.1%	0	-1	18	0
2	May_21_2012	504.79	432.92	395.01	374.13	375.71	371.45	384.84(6.81%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-97	-70	-54	-224	0.15	34%	-0.17	-47.7	3.1%	0	-1.1	16	0
3	May_18_2012	505.66	436.58	399.62	376.98	379.79	372.03	360.3(-2.38%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-259	-120	-237	-323	0.21	30%	-0.22	-46.8	2.98%	0	-1.7	14	0
4	May_17_2012	506.78	441.7	407.32	388.58	388.04	379.98	369.1(-1.89%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-280	-150	-264	-327	0.25	30%	-0.18	-43.3	2.99%	0	-1.8	18	0
5	May_16_2012	507.67	446.47	416.95	400.02	399.81	387.55	376.2(-1.05%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.7	-283	-220	-273	-312	0.23	30%	-0.21	-41.3	3%	0	-1.9	19	0

6	May_15_2012	508.76	451.05	428.08	408.86	411.44	396.1	380.2(-4.74%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-334	-240	-341	-312	0.24	30%	-0.26	-36.7	3.05%	0	-2.2	25	0
7	May_14_2012	510.1	455.59	441.22	418.64	417.93	412.06	399.1(-4.59%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-296	-100	-307	-262	0.2	31%	-0.16	-29.8	3%	0	-2	34	0
8	May_11_2012	510.93	458.11	450.72	425.46	423.01	426.79	418.3(-1.88%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.3	-8	50	24	-102	0.12	33%	-0.11	-30.6	2.96%	0	-1.5	42	0
9	May_10_2012	511.47	459.81	457.72	428.94	425.1	423.8	426.3(1.4%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	4	-50	32	-79	0.18	33%	-0.05	-36	2.98%	0	-1.4	44	0
10	May_9_2012	511.73	462.06	464.05	436.96	428.35	419.23	420.4(-2.03%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-265	-210	-293	-180	0.23	33%	-0.03	-33.3	2.99%	0	-1.8	41	0

11	May_8_2012	511.9	463.42	470.15	450.76	443.56	426.39	429.1(-0.95%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-341	-320	-393	-183	0.27	33%	0.08	-33.1	2.98%	0	-1.5	42	0
12	May_7_2012	511.5	464.31	474.13	467.72	461.71	437.46	433.2(-0.57%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-507	-410	-601	-226	0.15	33%	0.04	-31.8	2.98%	0	-1.5	42	0
13	May_4_2012	511.27	466.19	476.93	479.84	480.88	460.74	435.7(-6.58%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.2	-451	-290	-545	-169	0.24	33%	0.07	-26.8	3.01%	0	-1.5	53	0
14	May_3_2012	510.89	468.78	479.6	490.2	492.16	485.96	466.4(-4.7%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-229	-80	-293	-36	0.12	39%	0.13	-17.7	2.92%	0	-0.1	60	0
15	May_2_2012	510.24	470.06	479.04	494.62	494.97	501.03	489.4(-4.77%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	100	90	91	126	0.18	41%	0.1	-13.1	2.94%	0	0.9	57	0

16	May_1_2012	509.72	470.93	476.22	492.14	490.89	498.35	513.9(4.07%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	254	100	270	204	0.23	43%	0.13	-17.2	2.88%	0	1.9	73	0
17	Apr_30_2012	509.06	471.09	470.85	481.96	482.1	488.92	493.8(1.29%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	179	100	186	157	0.07	40%	0.02	-29.8	2.84%	0	1	70	0
18	Apr_27_2012	508.95	471.71	465.59	474.02	474.74	483.43	487.5(-0.2%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	243	130	270	161	0.06	40%	0.07	-39.5	2.84%	0	0.6	55	0
19	Apr_26_2012	508.59	472.25	461.38	467.56	463.67	475.28	488.5(2.41%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	184	150	210	104	0.14	40%	-0.01	-46.7	2.84%	0	0.6	49	0
20	Apr_25_2012	508.64	472.74	458.94	461.3	460.05	466.04	477(3.02%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	237	80	280	106	0.14	40%	-0.05	-58.8	2.87%	0	0.2	44	0

21	Apr_24_2012	508.91	474.77	455.24	458.08	457.04	452.06	463(1.96%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-44	-80	-38	-60	0.13	38%	-0.08	-63.4	2.88%	0	-0.4	35	0
22	Apr_23_2012	509.31	478.32	453.04	458.22	457.33	454.06	454.1(-0.24%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-168	-60	-174	-149	0.17	38%	-0.06	-64.2	2.87%	0	-0.8	29	0
23	Apr_20_2012	509.62	481.82	454.24	455.64	461.11	462.03	455.2(-0.44%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0	34	50	71	-76	0.12	38%	-0.06	-71.5	2.88%	0	-0.8	35	0
24	Apr_19_2012	509.93	484.59	457	453.88	456.92	460.6	457.2(-0.8%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-14	80	18	-109	0.19	38%	-0.07	-79.8	2.88%	0	-0.9	39	0
25	Apr_18_2012	510.29	488.76	460.37	456.08	455.56	460.2	460.9(-0.6%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	90	70	140	-60	0.11	38%		-76.5	2.88%	0	-0.8	40	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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