Trading Signals: ERX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ ERX: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. May. 9, 2012

Trading Signals: ERX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Nov. 6, 2008 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily Energy Bull 3X ETF)
ERX latest price $420.4000 (-2.03%) ($404.4000 - $430.4000) on Wed. May. 9, 2012.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.99% (three month average)
RSI   41
Latest Price   $420.4000(-2.03%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ERX declines -3.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ERX declines -3.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ERX advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
OIH(89%)    XOP(87%)    IWM(66%)    SPY(66%)    USO(62%)
Factors Impacting ERX price   ERX will decline at least -1.495% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-27%)    SHY(-5%)    IGOV(-3%)    TIP(5%)    GLD(6%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.495% (StdDev 2.99%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 2.3%

Resistance Level   $462.06
5 Day Moving Average   $436.96(-3.79%)
10 Day Moving Average   $464.05(-9.41%)
20 Day Moving Average   $462.06(-9.02%)
To recent high   -30.6%
To recent low   0%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.01%

$. ERX is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.01% a day on average for holding it.$. ERX price fluctuates within 5.11% (three month std-dev: 2.99%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -0.05%(100%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 12.68%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -10.39%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 10.38%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -14.29%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20120609

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_9_2012	511.73	462.06	464.05	436.96	428.35	419.23	420.4(-2.03%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-265	-210	-293	-180	0.23	33%	-0.03	-33.3	2.99%	0	-1.8	41	0
2	May_8_2012	511.9	463.42	470.15	450.76	443.56	426.39	429.1(-0.95%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-341	-320	-393	-183	0.27	33%	0.08	-33.1	2.98%	0	-1.5	42	0
3	May_7_2012	511.5	464.31	474.13	467.72	461.71	437.46	433.2(-0.57%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-507	-410	-601	-226	0.15	33%	0.04	-31.8	2.98%	0	-1.5	42	0
4	May_4_2012	511.27	466.19	476.93	479.84	480.88	460.74	435.7(-6.58%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.2	-451	-290	-545	-169	0.24	33%	0.07	-26.8	3.01%	0	-1.5	53	0
5	May_3_2012	510.89	468.78	479.6	490.2	492.16	485.96	466.4(-4.7%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-229	-80	-293	-36	0.12	39%	0.13	-17.7	2.92%	0	-0.1	60	0

6	May_2_2012	510.24	470.06	479.04	494.62	494.97	501.03	489.4(-4.77%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	100	90	91	126	0.18	41%	0.1	-13.1	2.94%	0	0.9	57	0
7	May_1_2012	509.72	470.93	476.22	492.14	490.89	498.35	513.9(4.07%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	254	100	270	204	0.23	43%	0.13	-17.2	2.88%	0	1.9	73	0
8	Apr_30_2012	509.06	471.09	470.85	481.96	482.1	488.92	493.8(1.29%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	179	100	186	157	0.07	40%	0.02	-29.8	2.84%	0	1	70	0
9	Apr_27_2012	508.95	471.71	465.59	474.02	474.74	483.43	487.5(-0.2%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	243	130	270	161	0.06	40%	0.07	-39.5	2.84%	0	0.6	55	0
10	Apr_26_2012	508.59	472.25	461.38	467.56	463.67	475.28	488.5(2.41%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	184	150	210	104	0.14	40%	-0.01	-46.7	2.84%	0	0.6	49	0

11	Apr_25_2012	508.64	472.74	458.94	461.3	460.05	466.04	477(3.02%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	237	80	280	106	0.14	40%	-0.05	-58.8	2.87%	0	0.2	44	0
12	Apr_24_2012	508.91	474.77	455.24	458.08	457.04	452.06	463(1.96%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-44	-80	-38	-60	0.13	38%	-0.08	-63.4	2.88%	0	-0.4	35	0
13	Apr_23_2012	509.31	478.32	453.04	458.22	457.33	454.06	454.1(-0.24%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-168	-60	-174	-149	0.17	38%	-0.06	-64.2	2.87%	0	-0.8	29	0
14	Apr_20_2012	509.62	481.82	454.24	455.64	461.11	462.03	455.2(-0.44%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0	34	50	71	-76	0.12	38%	-0.06	-71.5	2.88%	0	-0.8	35	0
15	Apr_19_2012	509.93	484.59	457	453.88	456.92	460.6	457.2(-0.8%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-14	80	18	-109	0.19	38%	-0.07	-79.8	2.88%	0	-0.9	39	0

16	Apr_18_2012	510.29	488.76	460.37	456.08	455.56	460.2	460.9(-0.6%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	90	70	140	-60	0.11	38%	0.07	-76.5	2.88%	0	-0.8	40	0
17	Apr_17_2012	509.92	493.55	465.13	451.98	454.31	453.24	463.7(5.1%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	32	-0	75	-98	0.2	38%	0.12	-76	2.94%	0	-0.8	36	0
18	Apr_16_2012	509.31	499.41	471.01	447.34	451.52	450.93	441.2(-1.16%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-123	20	-102	-186	0.18	34%	0.15	-67.9	2.87%	0	-1.4	27	0
19	Apr_13_2012	508.54	506.1	478.19	452.64	453.11	455.38	446.4(-4.66%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-27	40	9	-135	0.14	34%	-0.13	-62.6	2.89%	0	-1.5	32	0
20	Apr_12_2012	509.19	511.65	484.05	460.58	456.51	452.11	468.2(6.31%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-99	-90	-79	-159	0.25	36%	0.19	-60.7	2.84%	0	-1.1	41	0

21	Apr_11_2012	508.23	515.96	487.59	465.87	465.35	450.85	440.42(-0.02%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-318	-220	-334	-270	0.26	30%	0.06	-58.3	2.74%	0	-1.9	27	0
22	Apr_10_2012	507.92	522.64	496.12	480.53	477.06	460.9	440.5(-5.82%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-485	-260	-536	-331	0.34	30%	0.04	-49.1	2.78%	0	-2.3	25	0
23	Apr_9_2012	507.74	528.47	506.24	498.09	492.78	479.85	467.7(-3.79%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-370	-220	-406	-260	0.17	33%	0.16	-45.3	2.7%	0	-2	25	0
24	Apr_5_2012	506.95	533.14	512.37	507.19	505.88	493.22	486.1(-1.73%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-278	-180	-298	-217	0.21	35%	-0	-45	2.65%	0	-1.7	30	0
25	Apr_4_2012	506.96	536.86	515.11	510.62	510.96	505.71	494.64(-3.71%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-236	-70	-246	-206	0.23	35%		-51.8	2.65%	0	-1.7	38	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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