Trading Signals: ERX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ ERX: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. Mar. 8, 2012

Trading Signals: ERX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Nov. 6, 2008 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily Energy Bull 3X ETF)
ERX latest price $557.3000 (1.6%) ($546.7000 - $563.4000) on Thu. Mar. 8, 2012.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.41% (three month average)
RSI   49
Latest Price   $557.3000(1.6%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ERX declines -1.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ERX declines -2.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ERX advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
OIH(89%)    XOP(88%)    IWM(67%)    SPY(66%)    USO(62%)
Factors Impacting ERX price   ERX will decline at least -1.705% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-27%)    SHY(-5%)    IGOV(-2%)    TIP(5%)    GLD(7%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.705% (StdDev 3.41%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.4%

Resistance Level   $569
5 Day Moving Average   $556.3(0.18%)
10 Day Moving Average   $573.79(-2.87%)
20 Day Moving Average   $569(-2.06%)
To recent high   -8%
To recent low   42.3%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.01%

$. ERX is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.01% a day on average for holding it.$. ERX price fluctuates within 4.01% (three month std-dev: 3.41%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20120408

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_8_2012	499.18	569	573.79	556.3	549.71	549.82	557.3(1.6%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	58	-30	81	-11	0.11	54%	0.24	18.5	3.41%	0	-0.5	49	0
2	Mar_7_2012	497.98	568.73	577.86	563.28	555.39	540.41	548.5(2.05%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-195	-230	-224	-107	0.18	54%	0.2	37.9	3.57%	0	-0.9	55	0
3	Mar_6_2012	496.98	569.19	582.08	568.7	566.1	549.6	537.5(-4.95%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-347	-220	-409	-162	0.18	54%	0.25	59.5	3.57%	0	-1.4	51	0
4	Mar_5_2012	495.72	569.86	587.39	580.32	578.83	570.36	565.5(-1.26%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-210	-110	-256	-70	0.09	60%	0.27	86.3	3.51%	0	-0.2	62	0
5	Mar_2_2012	494.39	568.16	588.49	587.2	587.57	582.6	572.7(-3.29%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-83	-60	-114	11	0.21	60%	0.38	93.2	3.53%	0	0.2	69	0

6	Mar_1_2012	492.53	564.84	588.29	593.78	592.46	587.3	592.2(2.88%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-79	-70	-115	29	0.16	60%	0.42	86.4	3.5%	0	1	66	0
7	Feb_29_2012	490.49	560.09	583.94	594.96	597.03	592.54	575.6(-3.36%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.6	-45	-40	-73	40	0.19	71%	0.4	74	3.97%	0	0.5	62	0
8	Feb_28_2012	488.54	555.91	581.53	597.42	597.96	597.63	595.6(-0.72%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-11	-0	-34	60	0.23	76%	0.45	65.7	3.98%	0	1.1	67	0
9	Feb_27_2012	486.36	551.13	576.37	595.36	596.22	601.51	599.9(-0.94%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	73	70	65	95	0.16	76%	0.56	60.7	4.16%	0	1.4	72	0
10	Feb_24_2012	483.66	546.4	569.5	589.82	593.16	598.3	605.6(1.25%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	143	80	150	123	0.12	76%	0.54	57.8	4.18%	0	1.7	79	0

11	Feb_23_2012	481.04	541.46	563.51	582.04	585.39	590.93	598.1(1.73%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	107	80	107	107	0.13	67%	0.57	55.8	4.21%	0	1.8	83	0
12	Feb_22_2012	478.32	537.9	558.25	571.4	576.42	588.03	587.9(0.44%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	162	170	172	130	0.19	67%	0.62	56.4	4.38%	0	1.7	83	0
13	Feb_21_2012	475.38	534.09	554.52	563.22	565.88	579.86	585.3(2.29%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	230	190	251	167	0.24	67%	1.02	58.6	4.4%	0	1.9	83	0
14	Feb_17_2012	470.59	530.55	550.18	554.58	555.18	564.81	572.2(0.97%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	194	120	208	150	0.16	67%	0.51	65.4	4.43%	0	1.7	74	0
15	Feb_16_2012	468.21	527.24	545.59	546.1	546.98	551.91	566.7(4%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	115	70	118	107	0.22	67%	0.53	66.5	4.52%	0	1.8	69	0

16	Feb_15_2012	465.75	524.15	539.11	542.41	540.23	545.55	544.9(-0.38%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	46	60	38	69	0.28	67%	0.41	71.1	4.53%	0	1	63	0
17	Feb_14_2012	463.87	522	534.31	543.13	540.3	542.04	547(0.9%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	65	10	62	72	0.22	67%	0.45	67.4	4.53%	0	1.1	53	0
18	Feb_13_2012	461.81	518.77	528.56	544.53	542.64	534.9	542.1(2.32%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-28	-110	-46	25	0.2	67%	0.51	67.3	4.55%	0	1.1	58	0
19	Feb_10_2012	459.45	515.35	524.35	545.05	543.47	538.56	529.8(-3.37%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-103	-70	-133	-13	0.2	67%	0.47	60.1	4.59%	0	0.6	54	0
20	Feb_9_2012	457.31	512.86	522.13	544.45	544.24	550.37	548.26(-0.04%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	73	80	74	69	0.22	58%	0.36	53.2	4.6%	0	1.5	62	0

21	Feb_8_2012	455.67	509.88	518.12	534.8	537.34	548.38	548.5(-0.99%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	175	160	198	105	0.24	58%	0.25	40.4	4.89%	0	1.7	63	0
22	Feb_7_2012	454.53	507.73	516.01	523.72	523.56	538.11	554(1.71%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	179	190	205	100	0.25	58%	0.24	30.4	4.91%	0	2.2	66	0
23	Feb_6_2012	453.42	504.74	511.71	510.24	511.39	526.31	544.7(3.4%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.9	204	210	238	103	0.18	58%	0.18	22	4.92%	0	2.2	70	0
24	Feb_3_2012	452.61	501.92	508.67	501.08	502.44	509.01	526.8(5.36%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	151	100	176	76	0.24	58%	0.13	15.9	4.9%	0	1.6	70	0
25	Feb_2_2012	452.01	500.47	506.67	497.08	495.13	496.48	500(1.4%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	-5	10	-8	4	0.15	55%		23.3	4.94%	0	-0	61	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.