Trading Signals: ERX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ ERX: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. Dec. 15, 2011

Trading Signals: ERX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Nov. 6, 2008 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily Energy Bull 3X ETF)
ERX latest price $399.2000 (-1.07%) ($395.7000 - $420.4000) on Thu. Dec. 15, 2011.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   7.09% (three month average)
RSI   62
Latest Price   $399.2000(-1.07%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ERX declines -2.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ERX declines -0.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ERX advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
OIH(89%)    XOP(88%)    IWM(67%)    SPY(66%)    USO(62%)
Factors Impacting ERX price   ERX will decline at least -3.545% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-28%)    SHY(-5%)    IGOV(-2%)    TIP(5%)    LQD(8%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -3.545% (StdDev 7.09%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -4.5%

Resistance Level   $445.35
5 Day Moving Average   $435.22(-8.28%)
10 Day Moving Average   $459.01(-13.03%)
20 Day Moving Average   $445.35(-10.36%)
To recent high   -28.5%
To recent low   41.8%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.05%

$. ERX is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.05% a day on average for holding it.$. ERX price fluctuates within 9.25% (three month std-dev: 7.09%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20120115

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_15_2011	456.79	445.35	459.01	435.22	431.97	410.94	399.2(-1.07%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-199	-360	-232	-100	0.42	46%	-0.87	-38.7	7.09%	0	-1.1	62	0
2	Dec_14_2011	460.78	449.76	468.07	446.08	448.31	433.13	403.5(-8.3%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-171	-220	-208	-61	0.54	46%	-0.95	-31.3	7.12%	0	-1.1	60	0
3	Dec_13_2011	465.19	454.88	477.51	464	462.04	453	440(-2.22%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-92	-150	-125	6	0.37	48%	-0.89	-23.5	7.06%	0	-0.4	58	0
4	Dec_12_2011	469.35	458.06	477	476.58	472.29	463.49	450(-6.91%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-77	-160	-112	28	0.33	48%	-0.88	-16.5	7.05%	0	-0.2	57	0
5	Dec_9_2011	473.54	461.48	473.63	486.76	484.64	471.08	483.4(6.59%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-69	-210	-105	38	0.36	46%	-0.78	-8.1	6.99%	0	0.5	57	0

6	Dec_8_2011	477.28	461.87	462.89	486.88	492.34	481.09	453.5(-8.03%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-112	-130	-151	6	0.46	46%	-0.74	-9.3	7.06%	0	-0.2	52	0
7	Dec_7_2011	480.84	462.89	456.09	493.12	498.41	498.21	493.1(-1.95%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0	-14	30	-33	43	0.35	51%	-0.67	-5.8	7%	0	0.7	51	0
8	Dec_6_2011	484.06	464.79	447.84	492.92	497.26	503.59	502.9(0.4%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	68	120	68	66	0.21	51%	-0.56	4	7.12%	0	0.8	48	0
9	Dec_5_2011	486.79	464.79	439.39	477.34	491.7	498.61	500.9(3.49%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	134	190	155	69	0.32	51%	-0.59	-1.6	7.14%	0	0.7	48	0
10	Dec_2_2011	489.66	465.17	433.13	458.36	470.35	490.94	484(-0.14%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	120	380	149	34	0.33	49%	-0.5	-16.5	7.18%	0	0.4	43	0

11	Dec_1_2011	492.1	466.12	429.2	434.94	448.46	484.8	484.7(-1.5%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1	306	660	376	94	0.26	49%	-0.52	-32	7.26%	0	0.4	48	0
12	Nov_30_2011	494.65	465.53	428.13	413.24	419.37	449.76	492.1(15.79%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	296	550	371	72	0.51	49%	-0.47	-44.8	7.21%	0	0.5	53	0
13	Nov_29_2011	496.98	462.84	428.04	397.08	395.69	412.13	425(4.68%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	119	280	170	-33	0.4	47%	-0.61	-55	6.94%	0	-0.8	34	0
14	Nov_28_2011	500.04	465.95	435.59	396.72	395	388.98	406(10.66%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	15	-120	47	-83	0.39	47%	-0.75	-57	7.01%	0	-1.2	35	0
15	Nov_25_2011	503.8	473.45	446.98	404.92	398.8	379.25	366.9(-2.47%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-242	-390	-257	-197	0.2	43%	-1.35	-45	6.91%	0	-2.1	29	0

16	Nov_23_2011	510.7	482.77	460.59	422.18	419.07	401.02	376.2(-8.53%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-215	-320	-229	-172	0.43	47%	-0.76	-32.1	6.9%	0	-2.3	30	0
17	Nov_22_2011	514.62	489.09	471.33	444.24	439.63	418.35	411.3(-2.81%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-212	-370	-231	-153	0.26	48%	-0.2	-17.5	7.02%	0	-2	43	0
18	Nov_21_2011	515.67	492.17	484.56	463.3	459.73	437.11	423.2(-5.32%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-237	-370	-270	-136	0.38	48%	-0.65	-3.8	7.01%	0	-2	53	0
19	Nov_18_2011	519.04	495.96	494.73	480.16	480.88	460.91	447(-1.37%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-189	-290	-220	-95	0.28	45%	-0.56	21.4	7.02%	0	-1.5	48	0
20	Nov_17_2011	521.95	497.61	501.41	495.66	494.65	482.34	453.2(-6.84%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-157	-180	-185	-74	0.39	45%	-0.49	40.8	7.33%	0	-1.4	40	0

21	Nov_16_2011	524.5	497.91	507.57	504.54	507.84	500.85	486.5(-3.97%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-31	-80	-37	-12	0.34	45%	-0.37	56.5	7.27%	0	-0.3	44	0
22	Nov_15_2011	526.44	496.03	507.06	502.06	507.05	506.97	506.6(-0.18%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-35	30	-41	-18	0.29	47%	-0.23	59.4	7.29%	0	0.3	54	0
23	Nov_14_2011	527.67	493.48	500.88	509.34	502.96	514.84	507.5(-3.24%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	23	130	26	12	0.2	47%	-0.21	68.7	7.39%	0	0.4	58	0
24	Nov_11_2011	528.8	489.22	498.64	511.98	508.99	507.13	524.5(5.41%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	101	-40	118	51	0.35	50%	-0.25	73.3	7.38%	0	0.9	56	0
25	Nov_10_2011	530.12	484.94	501.11	508.92	507.1	491.08	497.6(4.96%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-115	-230	-139	-42	0.4	48%		77.4	7.57%	0	0.3	56	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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