Trading Signals: ERX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ ERX: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Mon. Sep. 26, 2011

Trading Signals: ERX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Nov. 6, 2008 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily Energy Bull 3X ETF)
ERX latest price $347.0400 (10.77%) ($303.3100 - $348.7000) on Mon. Sep. 26, 2011.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   7.59% (three month average)
RSI   41
Latest Price   $347.0400(10.77%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ERX declines -5.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ERX declines -9.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ERX advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
OIH(89%)    XOP(88%)    IWM(68%)    SPY(68%)    USO(62%)
Factors Impacting ERX price   ERX will decline at least -3.795% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-30%)    SHY(-6%)    IGOV(1%)    TIP(3%)    LQD(8%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -3.795% (StdDev 7.59%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 8%

Resistance Level   $431.02
5 Day Moving Average   $361.77(-4.07%)
10 Day Moving Average   $403.21(-13.93%)
20 Day Moving Average   $431.02(-19.48%)
To recent high   -59.9%
To recent low   10.8%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.06%

$. ERX is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.06% a day on average for holding it.$. ERX price fluctuates within 12.1% (three month std-dev: 7.59%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20111026

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_26_2011	621.94	431.02	403.21	361.77	346.89	322.07	347.04(10.77%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-133	-620	-134	-130	0.67	45%	-0.63	-36.1	7.59%	0	-1.6	41	0
2	Sep_23_2011	625.88	436.23	411.32	381.66	376.36	322.58	313.3(-2.76%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-420	-1040	-475	-254	0.42	42%	-0.67	-25	7.47%	0	-2.5	32	0
3	Sep_22_2011	630.11	442.39	422.96	412.34	407.91	371.71	322.2(-17.15%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.3	-475	-650	-545	-263	0.77	42%	-0.73	-10.2	7.48%	0	-3.1	29	0
4	Sep_21_2011	634.75	449.49	437.81	441.58	441.86	430.15	388.89(-11.09%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.9	-138	-180	-155	-85	0.61	46%	-0.69	5.7	7.19%	0	-2.2	34	0
5	Sep_20_2011	639.14	452.62	447	452.52	454.15	444.1	437.4(-2.04%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-49	-140	-54	-35	0.33	48%	-0.71	8.6	7.11%	0	-0.6	42	0

6	Sep_19_2011	643.69	450.7	446.61	450.38	451.49	453.58	446.5(-4.33%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-52	40	-54	-46	0.35	48%	-0.75	-17.1	7.11%	0	-0.2	45	0
7	Sep_16_2011	648.56	448.62	446.63	445.6	447.26	464.2	466.7(-0.36%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	140	280	173	40	0.31	48%	-0.65	-32.2	7.09%	0	0.6	56	0
8	Sep_15_2011	652.78	446.43	447.82	435.86	432.54	449.41	468.4(5.59%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	136	250	168	38	0.32	47%	-0.65	-47.5	7.09%	0	0.7	60	0
9	Sep_14_2011	657.02	447.94	449.97	434.62	424.75	430.31	443.6(3.96%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	50	20	65	3	0.49	48%	-0.68	-31.8	7.09%	0	-0.1	51	0
10	Sep_13_2011	661.53	450.58	454.18	441.66	432.76	415.66	426.7(0.97%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-63	-340	-71	-37	0.39	47%	-0.66	-18.9	7.11%	0	-0.7	50	0

11	Sep_12_2011	665.94	455.39	459.77	442.47	443.58	419.19	422.6(1.1%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-191	-380	-227	-84	0.56	47%	-0.37	-1.8	7.12%	0	-0.9	59	0
12	Sep_9_2011	668.44	458.27	462.37	447.29	445.55	449.86	418(-9.56%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-126	60	-154	-42	0.49	46%	-0.69	-4.4	7.15%	0	-1.1	57	0
13	Sep_8_2011	673.11	460.93	463.56	460.67	450.1	467.96	462.2(-3.47%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	142	210	157	97	0.43	48%	-0.6	-2.9	7.07%	0	0	58	0
14	Sep_7_2011	677.17	458.45	462.56	467.67	456.58	441.24	478.8(11.16%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	32	-310	28	44	0.35	48%	-0.49	-28.9	7.06%	0	0.5	48	0
15	Sep_6_2011	680.5	457.17	459.03	469.59	464.78	432.24	430.73(-3.58%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-301	-520	-362	-118	0.4	45%	-0.72	-54.1	6.91%	0	-0.7	42	0

16	Sep_2_2011	685.42	456.08	456.03	479.78	480.61	471.93	446.7(-7.88%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-173	-120	-208	-69	0.33	45%	-0.51	-77.1	6.89%	0	-0.2	41	0
17	Sep_1_2011	688.96	459.91	451.9	478.86	486.12	497.33	484.9(-2.47%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	124	210	146	57	0.36	45%	-0.43	-92.1	6.83%	0	0.6	52	0
18	Aug_31_2011	691.94	462	445.51	465.92	468.09	489.29	497.2(1.8%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	144	330	176	48	0.45	45%	-0.4	-83.3	6.87%	0	0.6	55	0
19	Aug_30_2011	694.75	469.68	445.28	456.64	453.17	474.91	488.4(1.39%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	210	310	252	85	0.35	45%	-0.53	-76.1	6.87%	0	0.2	62	0
20	Aug_29_2011	698.42	478.44	445.5	447.7	443.58	446.89	481.7(8.96%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	148	20	179	54	0.28	45%	-0.61	-69.5	6.92%	0	0	55	0

21	Aug_26_2011	702.68	490.42	448.89	429.48	430.77	431.43	442.1(5.21%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-43	20	-46	-34	0.43	43%	-0.64	-67.6	6.82%	0	-0.4	58	0
22	Aug_25_2011	707.23	504.93	452.4	420.86	427.8	440.28	420.2(-6.79%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	84	250	108	10	0.36	44%	-0.67	-65.8	6.79%	0	-0.7	45	0
23	Aug_24_2011	711.99	521.89	457.4	421.32	420.34	430.11	450.8(1.6%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.2	77	160	104	-3	0.34	45%	-0.66	-63.4	6.77%	0	-0.5	46	0
24	Aug_23_2011	716.73	538.14	453.63	432.7	419.8	415.33	443.7(13.59%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-86	-160	-79	-108	0.49	44%	-0.66	-57.5	6.79%	0	-0.6	38	0
25	Aug_22_2011	721.46	556.99	454.91	444.26	443.79	410.56	390.6(-2.11%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-219	-530	-227	-194	0.52	41%		-52.6	6.57%	0	-1.1	32	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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