Trading Signals: ERX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Jul. 26, 2011

Trading Signals: ERX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Nov. 6, 2008 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily Energy Bull 3X ETF)
ERX latest price $839.9000 (-1.42%) ($832.5000 - $862.0000) on Tue. Jul. 26, 2011.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.95% (three month average)
RSI   61
Latest Price   $839.9000(-1.42%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ERX advances 0.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ERX advances 5.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ERX advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
OIH(90%)    XOP(88%)    IWM(69%)    SPY(69%)    EEM(63%)
Factors Impacting ERX price   ERX will decline at least -1.975% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-32%)    SHY(-6%)    TIP(1%)    IGOV(2%)    LQD(7%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.975% (StdDev 3.95%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1.9%

5 Day Moving Average   $843.2(-0.39%)
10 Day Moving Average   $807.59(4%)
20 Day Moving Average   $776.81(8.12%)
To recent high   -9.1%
To recent low   35.7%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.02%

$. ERX is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.02% a day on average for holding it.$. ERX price fluctuates within 6.57% (three month std-dev: 3.95%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20110826

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_26_2011	772.28	776.81	807.59	843.2	847.33	847.38	839.9(-1.42%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	25	20	3	91	0.2	46%	0	99.4	3.95%	0	1.2	61	NAN
2	Jul_25_2011	772.26	766.6	796.23	837.58	838.83	852.55	852(-1.5%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	158	120	163	142	0.19	46%	-0.01	84	3.97%	0	1.5	62	NAN
3	Jul_22_2011	772.3	755.2	783.78	821.88	827.38	847.28	865(1.41%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	399	190	453	237	0.19	46%	-0.01	69.3	3.97%	0	1.8	65	NAN
4	Jul_21_2011	772.35	744.55	774.11	805.88	805.77	825.1	853(5.82%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	322	170	365	193	0.24	46%	0.03	65.2	3.99%	0	1.8	67	NAN
5	Jul_20_2011	772.15	735.45	767.21	780.32	788.76	807.49	806.1(-0.7%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	359	200	411	201	0.19	47%	-0.02	60.1	3.93%	0	1.3	67	NAN

6	Jul_19_2011	772.33	729.21	762.57	766.62	771.25	786.44	811.8(4.95%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	287	160	327	167	0.29	47%	-0.07	54.7	4.02%	0	1.5	71	NAN
7	Jul_18_2011	772.88	720.92	757.6	748.72	756.34	770.04	773.5(-1.46%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	235	160	263	149	0.25	43%	-0.1	46	3.99%	0	1	75	NAN
8	Jul_15_2011	773.66	714.45	755.81	739.66	745.51	756.06	785(8.25%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	209	120	228	151	0.37	43%	-0.04	37.5	4.03%	0	1.3	77	NAN
9	Jul_14_2011	774	707.42	750.69	738.32	737.32	742.64	725.2(-1.68%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	55	50	41	95	0.42	40%	-0.17	31.4	3.9%	0	0.3	64	NAN
10	Jul_13_2011	775.3	703.53	749.48	752.5	743.57	734.96	737.6(2.12%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-28	-120	-63	79	0.33	40%	-0.09	34.2	3.91%	0	0.6	60	NAN

11	Jul_12_2011	776.02	700.86	744.44	757.84	756.23	732	722.3(-0.81%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-250	-230	-327	-17	0.52	38%	-0.07	38	3.9%	0	0.4	57	NAN
12	Jul_11_2011	776.57	697.41	736.42	767.12	764.36	752.18	728.2(-6.44%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-314	-120	-405	-41	0.49	36%	-0.14	39.6	4.06%	0	0.6	64	NAN
13	Jul_8_2011	777.62	694.88	726.71	772.98	771.54	780.45	778.3(-2.24%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	123	80	106	172	0.4	38%	-0.06	38.8	4.04%	0	1.6	72	NAN
14	Jul_7_2011	778.05	691.25	714.39	764.34	764.54	776.55	796.1(4.16%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	297	110	312	250	0.38	38%	-0	35.4	4.03%	0	2.1	74	NAN
15	Jul_6_2011	778.06	685.52	701.8	746.2	747.5	762.63	764.3(-0.57%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	247	150	257	217	0.41	36%	-0.01	24.3	4%	0	1.8	72	NAN

16	Jul_5_2011	778.11	681.12	693.18	729.12	731.69	752.53	768.7(1.48%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	419	210	465	279	0.44	36%	0.01	2.7	4.01%	0	2.2	61	NAN
17	Jul_1_2011	778.02	676.55	680.58	701	705.87	732.37	757.5(3.05%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	453	280	515	265	0.34	36%	0.02	-28.3	3.98%	0	2.2	65	NAN
18	Jun_30_2011	777.85	674.61	668.49	673.3	676.23	710.84	735.1(4.21%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	497	370	580	248	0.34	36%	0.01	-55.9	3.93%	0	1.8	57	NAN
19	Jun_29_2011	777.74	673.89	658.97	657.28	654.38	679.37	705.4(3.9%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	505	250	599	221	0.32	34%	-0.06	-70.2	3.91%	0	0.9	47	NAN
20	Jun_28_2011	778.21	675.02	652.32	651.64	639.81	641.62	678.9(8.09%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	89	-30	116	9	0.29	34%	-0.1	-60	3.9%	0	0.1	48	NAN

21	Jun_27_2011	779.02	680.03	652.48	652.78	644.99	629.39	628.1(1.47%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-200	-210	-224	-128	0.29	30%	-0.15	-48.7	3.75%	0	-1.2	42	NAN
22	Jun_24_2011	780.2	686.91	655.1	656.72	658.25	638	619(-5.5%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-274	-210	-310	-165	0.22	30%	-0.17	-40.7	3.76%	0	-1.5	40	NAN
23	Jun_23_2011	781.55	694.09	661.38	661.42	658.92	660.59	655(-3.28%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-234	10	-261	-152	0.55	31%	-0.12	-35.3	3.71%	0	-0.9	38	NAN
24	Jun_22_2011	782.52	698.78	667.25	659.62	661.58	678.5	677.2(-1.08%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	301	190	370	94	0.32	31%	-0.09	-34.2	3.69%	0	-0.5	40	NAN
25	Jun_21_2011	783.25	700.87	668.59	652.8	652.13	657.25	684.6(5.68%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	160	50	210	11	0.3	35%		-35.5	3.69%	0	-0.4	40	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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