Trading Signals: ERX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ ERX: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Mon. Apr. 18, 2011

Trading Signals: ERX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Nov. 6, 2008 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily Energy Bull 3X ETF)
ERX latest price $778.1000 (-4.55%) ($753.8000 - $789.2000) on Mon. Apr. 18, 2011.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.76% (three month average)
RSI   35
Latest Price   $778.1000(-4.55%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ERX declines -1.8% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ERX declines -6.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ERX advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
OIH(90%)    XOP(88%)    IWM(70%)    SPY(69%)    EEM(63%)
Factors Impacting ERX price   ERX will decline at least -1.88% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-32%)    SHY(-6%)    TIP(1%)    IGOV(3%)    LQD(7%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.88% (StdDev 3.76%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.5%

Resistance Level   $851.49
5 Day Moving Average   $787.3(-1.17%)
10 Day Moving Average   $834.5(-6.76%)
20 Day Moving Average   $851.49(-8.62%)
To recent high   -15%
To recent low   24.3%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.01%

$. ERX is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.01% a day on average for holding it.$. ERX price fluctuates within 5.43% (three month std-dev: 3.76%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

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> 20110518

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_18_2011	706.36	851.49	834.5	787.3	785.97	790.45	778.1(-4.55%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-91	30	-76	-134	0.17	55%	0.48	3.9	3.76%	0	-1.6	35	0
2	Apr_15_2011	703	854.47	847.41	801.3	790.36	792.8	815.2(2.67%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-19	-20	3	-83	0.19	57%	0.16	18.4	3.72%	0	-0.8	46	0
3	Apr_14_2011	701.85	852.65	856.33	818.12	807.45	781.49	794(2.2%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-307	-260	-343	-198	0.16	58%	0.49	28.5	3.73%	0	-1.2	41	0
4	Apr_13_2011	698.45	852.24	867.11	836.96	837.85	787.92	776.9(0.6%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-709	-410	-825	-362	0.18	58%	0.5	39.3	3.74%	0	-1.3	44	0
5	Apr_12_2011	694.99	850	880.46	858.9	863.19	833.41	772.3(-8.94%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-823	-230	-969	-385	0.34	60%	0.45	41.5	3.75%	0	-1.3	45	0

6	Apr_11_2011	691.85	849.68	892.44	887.52	891.52	887.78	848.1(-5.69%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-123	-20	-158	-19	0.14	66%	0.56	49.9	3.57%	0	-0	62	0
7	Apr_8_2011	687.97	845.85	893.8	899.28	900.86	892.96	899.3(1.25%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	-28	-60	-52	43	0.16	69%	0.66	47.9	3.49%	0	0.9	75	0
8	Apr_7_2011	683.46	838.67	889.74	900.54	902.95	895.26	888.2(0.18%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-193	-50	-252	-17	0.15	69%	0.69	39.1	3.52%	0	0.7	83	0
9	Apr_6_2011	678.78	830.43	884.71	902.46	909.82	908.76	886.6(-3.15%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-4	20	-34	87	0.19	69%	0.7	30.1	3.52%	0	0.9	80	0
10	Apr_5_2011	674.08	826.12	879.08	905.62	910.43	910.64	915.4(0.94%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	59	20	30	144	0.14	69%	0.71	30.3	3.5%	0	1.4	93	0

11	Apr_4_2011	669.35	820.89	869.71	898.22	907.04	910.88	906.9(0.14%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	136	60	118	190	0.09	69%	0.69	28.6	3.5%	0	1.4	78	0
12	Apr_1_2011	664.78	816.83	861.59	887.29	895.13	910.23	905.6(0.87%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	225	140	221	235	0.2	69%	0.66	22.5	3.5%	0	1.5	73	0
13	Mar_31_2011	660.44	813.59	847.88	877.31	881.88	903.2	897.8(-0.51%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	436	180	471	329	0.19	69%	0.67	18.9	3.53%	0	1.5	73	0
14	Mar_30_2011	656.02	811.39	835.25	864.19	866.07	880.03	902.4(2.73%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	400	120	429	312	0.18	69%	0.71	17.5	3.52%	0	1.7	78	0
15	Mar_29_2011	651.37	807.29	816.25	848.69	849.43	860.55	878.4(3.07%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	211	90	217	192	0.21	69%	0.68	8.2	3.52%	0	1.5	58	0

16	Mar_28_2011	646.97	804.06	802.94	837.17	838.96	852.12	852.25(-0.4%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	253	120	274	189	0.17	69%	0.65	3.1	3.51%	0	1	53	0
17	Mar_25_2011	642.77	804.13	793.73	831.98	830.38	838.3	855.7(2.82%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	241	60	266	166	0.16	69%	0.67	3.4	3.49%	0	1.1	51	0
18	Mar_24_2011	638.48	803.31	783.06	813.78	821.8	825.8	832.2(0.88%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	144	60	164	82	0.14	69%	0.7	-4.5	3.51%	0	0.6	47	0
19	Mar_23_2011	634.07	802.36	771.58	801.42	809.21	822.45	824.9(0.5%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	178	140	218	59	0.12	69%	0.69	-10.1	3.53%	0	0.5	44	0
20	Mar_22_2011	629.7	803.38	768.58	778.14	793.26	817.8	820.8(-0.67%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.9	427	270	521	146	0.14	69%	0.72	-16	3.53%	0	0.4	49	0

21	Mar_21_2011	625.22	802.63	767.47	763.3	769.59	795.98	826.3(8.06%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	475	260	583	152	0.23	70%	0.74	-22.9	3.53%	0	0.5	50	0
22	Mar_18_2011	620.65	802.55	767.27	750.58	747.59	768.71	764.7(-0.74%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	352	190	445	72	0.2	68%	0.64	-22.4	3.39%	0	-0.8	39	0
23	Mar_17_2011	616.73	805.44	775.55	748.24	739.98	743.21	770.4(8.74%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	244	-0	319	20	0.3	68%	0.65	-17.1	3.41%	0	-0.7	42	0
24	Mar_16_2011	612.75	807.09	784.69	737.62	732.54	726.48	708.5(-5.1%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-208	-80	-210	-201	0.3	65%	0.54	-16.9	3.25%	0	-2.1	38	0
25	Mar_15_2011	609.47	810.9	797.7	756.94	736.44	736.75	746.6(-2.11%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-236	-80	-248	-200	0.3	68%		-4.1	3.17%	0	-1.6	38	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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