Trading Signals: ERX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ ERX: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Tue. Mar. 15, 2011

Trading Signals: ERX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Nov. 6, 2008 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily Energy Bull 3X ETF)
ERX latest price $746.6000 (-2.11%) ($685.9000 - $764.4000) on Tue. Mar. 15, 2011.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.17% (three month average)
RSI   38
Latest Price   $746.6000(-2.11%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ERX declines -1.9% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ERX declines -5.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ERX advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
OIH(90%)    XOP(88%)    IWM(70%)    SPY(69%)    EEM(63%)
Factors Impacting ERX price   ERX will decline at least -1.585% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-32%)    SHY(-7%)    TIP(0%)    IGOV(3%)    LQD(7%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.585% (StdDev 3.17%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 7.1%

Resistance Level   $810.9
5 Day Moving Average   $756.94(-1.37%)
10 Day Moving Average   $797.7(-6.41%)
20 Day Moving Average   $810.9(-7.93%)
To recent high   -14.2%
To recent low   43.5%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.01%

$. ERX is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.01% a day on average for holding it.$. ERX price fluctuates within 5.11% (three month std-dev: 3.17%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20110415

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_15_2011	609.47	810.9	797.7	756.94	736.44	736.75	746.6(-2.11%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-236	-80	-248	-200	0.3	68%	0.61	-4.1	3.17%	0	-1.6	38	NAN
2	Mar_14_2011	605.76	813.72	805.84	771.92	758.28	738.6	762.7(1.29%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-147	-230	-149	-141	0.24	68%	0.65	10.3	3.17%	0	-1.3	47	NAN
3	Mar_11_2011	601.87	813.45	816.11	787.04	776.82	736.13	753(4.98%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-850	-410	-983	-450	0.31	68%	0.65	20.8	3.16%	0	-1.5	43	NAN
4	Mar_10_2011	598.01	813.61	826.29	807.56	808.94	777.95	717.3(-10.91%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.2	-796	-260	-929	-398	0.4	66%	0.59	33.9	3.14%	0	-2.3	40	NAN
5	Mar_9_2011	594.53	814.98	837.77	838.1	837.86	817.51	805.1(-2%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-456	-170	-542	-198	0.16	76%	0.77	54	2.76%	0	-0.2	54	NAN

6	Mar_8_2011	590	812.63	842.8	843.8	849.86	839.93	821.5(-2%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-263	-60	-324	-81	0.14	76%	0.75	56	2.74%	0	0.2	61	NAN
7	Mar_7_2011	585.58	809.71	842.05	844.26	848.92	858.21	838.3(-2.02%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-8	90	-25	44	0.17	76%	0.8	60.3	2.73%	0	0.6	58	NAN
8	Mar_4_2011	580.92	805.14	841.36	849.72	848.18	859.79	855.6(-1.66%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	340	90	374	236	0.15	76%	0.85	71.7	2.69%	0	1.1	67	NAN
9	Mar_3_2011	576.05	799.85	837.79	848.6	848.39	839.62	870(4.37%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	133	-70	125	158	0.17	76%	0.88	81.2	2.69%	0	1.6	69	NAN
10	Mar_2_2011	571.04	793.71	830.58	838.14	843.04	836.58	833.6(1.19%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-344	-40	-438	-61	0.2	76%	0.84	87.4	2.66%	0	0.9	68	NAN

11	Mar_1_2011	566.28	789.43	824.66	842	847.23	857.16	823.8(-4.83%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	185	100	180	200	0.23	78%	0.83	105	2.69%	0	0.8	62	NAN
12	Feb_28_2011	561.63	784.01	821.92	838.82	844.14	849.5	865.6(1.84%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	304	60	318	261	0.22	83%	0.92	107.2	2.73%	0	1.8	66	NAN
13	Feb_25_2011	556.52	773.82	809.97	831.68	836.13	837.29	850(3.95%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	42	30	13	130	0.15	83%	0.92	99.4	2.78%	0	1.6	66	NAN
14	Feb_24_2011	551.44	764.79	799.28	825.59	832.93	838.79	817.7(-4.13%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	156	80	149	177	0.29	83%	0.86	98	2.77%	0	1.1	62	NAN
15	Feb_23_2011	546.74	757.84	790.43	821.65	825.88	834.98	852.9(5.57%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	284	90	302	229	0.4	82%	0.95	97.2	2.74%	0	1.9	68	NAN

16	Feb_22_2011	541.59	746.91	779.79	804.85	812.85	827.06	807.9(-2.65%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	293	150	321	210	0.3	80%	1.29	82.9	2.81%	0	1.2	63	NAN
17	Feb_18_2011	534.69	738.72	774.72	801.95	800.2	816.78	829.9(1.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	444	140	495	292	0.19	82%	0.96	74.1	2.77%	0	1.6	74	NAN
18	Feb_17_2011	529.59	728.95	765.71	784.77	786.2	798.63	819.55(2.7%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	411	120	457	271	0.19	82%	0.95	66.8	2.84%	0	1.6	79	NAN
19	Feb_16_2011	524.59	719.25	758.29	769.18	769.33	783.63	798(3.78%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	319	130	349	227	0.22	76%	0.94	60.9	2.84%	0	1.4	75	NAN
20	Feb_15_2011	519.73	711.29	753.12	754.46	754.03	773.76	768.9(-3.09%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	400	180	446	261	0.19	75%	0.9	58.8	2.94%	0	1.1	70	NAN

21	Feb_14_2011	515.1	705.81	750.93	750.82	741.87	755.03	793.4(6.64%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	377	90	411	276	0.19	78%	0.95	65.4	2.91%	0	1.7	80	NAN
22	Feb_11_2011	510.25	698.32	742.63	743.94	737.13	734.3	744(0.32%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	73	-50	49	144	0.16	73%	0.9	72.3	2.89%	0	0.9	74	NAN
23	Feb_10_2011	505.72	692.59	734.92	743.88	741.69	728.71	741.6(2.37%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0	-174	-130	-244	37	0.18	74%	0.89	76.8	2.91%	0	1	74	NAN
24	Feb_9_2011	501.28	687.1	728.09	745.7	746.45	739.96	724.4(-3.5%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.4	-209	-60	-291	37	0.25	74%	0.85	82.9	2.93%	0	0.7	74	NAN
25	Feb_8_2011	497.06	681.51	723.79	750.94	749.94	754.66	750.7(-1.09%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	73	40	32	194	0.2	77%		86.8	2.88%	0	1.3	75	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.