Trading Signals: ERX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ ERX: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. Feb. 25, 2010

Trading Signals: ERX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Nov. 6, 2008 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily Energy Bull 3X ETF)
ERX latest price $359.9000 (-0.06%) ($337.1000 - $360.8000) on Thu. Feb. 25, 2010.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.73% (three month average)
RSI   62
Latest Price   $359.9000(-0.06%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ERX declines -1.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ERX advances 3.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ERX advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
OIH(89%)    XOP(88%)    IWM(71%)    SPY(71%)    EEM(65%)
Factors Impacting ERX price   ERX will decline at least -1.865% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-33%)    SHY(-9%)    TIP(-1%)    IGOV(5%)    LQD(6%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.865% (StdDev 3.73%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 3.9%

Resistance Level   $361.05
5 Day Moving Average   $366.3(-1.75%)
10 Day Moving Average   $368.94(-2.45%)
20 Day Moving Average   $361.05(-0.32%)
To recent high   -22.1%
To recent low   10.2%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.01%

$. ERX is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.01% a day on average for holding it.$. ERX price fluctuates within 5.22% (three month std-dev: 3.73%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20100325

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_25_2010	416.57	361.05	368.94	366.3	362	354.31	359.9(-0.06%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-93	-180	-127	11	0.48	41%	-0.12	-16.5	3.73%	0	-0.1	62	0
2	Feb_24_2010	417.09	361.56	367.42	371.22	370.03	358.43	360.1(1.84%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-156	-230	-201	-21	0.28	41%	-0.11	-23	3.75%	0	-0.1	45	0
3	Feb_23_2010	417.56	362.32	366.22	374.99	375.72	369.69	353.6(-4.74%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-166	-110	-211	-32	0.34	41%	-0.07	-34.2	3.74%	0	-0.5	41	0
4	Feb_22_2010	417.85	363.71	364.04	380.47	381.2	381.64	371.2(-4.01%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.5	22	10	11	53	0.31	43%	0.04	-38.9	3.73%	0	0.4	50	0
5	Feb_19_2010	417.7	363.76	360.47	377.51	380.17	381.76	386.7(0.57%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	81	50	84	70	0.39	37%	0.06	-59.8	4.01%	0	1.2	63	0

6	Feb_18_2010	417.44	364.17	355.26	371.83	371.62	380.76	384.5(1.46%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	86	170	97	53	0.26	37%	-0.02	-73.3	4.08%	0	1	56	0
7	Feb_17_2010	417.51	365.98	354.19	363.09	363.7	378.57	378.95(-0.54%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	240	290	283	110	0.24	37%	-0.05	-73	4.08%	0	0.5	52	0
8	Feb_16_2010	417.7	369.03	354.61	356.32	353.29	362.49	381(6.9%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	202	160	242	83	0.38	41%	0.05	-66.6	4.08%	0	0.4	51	0
9	Feb_12_2010	417.51	371.5	353.35	345.42	345.29	348.83	356.4(-0.53%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	70	70	94	-4	0.39	35%	-0.06	-71.2	4.05%	0	-0.4	44	0
10	Feb_11_2010	417.77	375.92	351.94	340.86	341.44	344.09	358.3(5.13%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.5	45	60	72	-35	0.32	35%	-0.1	-68.4	4.12%	0	-0.5	47	0

11	Feb_10_2010	418.19	380.11	351.86	336.32	336.37	341.75	340.8(-1.25%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-22	110	1	-90	0.45	32%	-0.2	-68.5	4.06%	0	-1	37	0
12	Feb_9_2010	419.03	385.1	354.86	344.16	339.63	338.79	345.1(5.7%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-16	-60	9	-91	0.63	35%	-0.15	-63.4	4.06%	0	-1	33	0
13	Feb_8_2010	419.64	390.78	357.94	353.1	349.74	330.99	326.5(-2.13%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-212	-400	-220	-189	0.36	32%	-0.22	-53.7	4.07%	0	-1.5	25	0
14	Feb_5_2010	420.56	397.59	363.69	362.48	362.04	340.46	333.6(-0.6%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-376	-420	-412	-266	0.72	35%	-0.21	-43.1	4.06%	0	-1.5	29	0
15	Feb_4_2010	421.43	403.76	368.02	364.03	370.77	368.49	335.6(-11.68%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-197	10	-196	-200	0.56	35%	-0.22	-39.3	4.11%	0	-1.6	28	0

16	Feb_3_2010	422.35	410.01	374.69	368.69	371.62	383.61	380(-2.51%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	115	250	175	-66	0.23	39%	-0.04	-33.5	3.85%	0	-0.8	35	0
17	Feb_2_2010	422.52	413.15	379.06	366.93	367.05	373.05	389.8(4.39%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.6	134	120	200	-64	0.34	39%	0.01	-32.7	3.86%	0	-0.6	38	0
18	Feb_1_2010	422.48	415.32	384.29	364.31	364.15	359.63	373.4(9.39%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-82	-90	-51	-175	0.34	36%	-0.01	-33	3.82%	0	-1.1	30	0
19	Jan_29_2010	422.53	416.85	390.46	366.13	367.94	361.06	341.36(-4.89%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.6	-180	-120	-165	-224	0.46	32%	-0.09	-33.8	3.84%	0	-2	17	0
20	Jan_28_2010	422.92	420.71	401.47	372.68	375.19	368.66	358.9(-3.31%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-145	-100	-129	-194	0.49	31%	-0	-32.2	3.95%	0	-1.8	22	0

21	Jan_27_2010	422.94	423.71	410.4	381.24	380.45	374.82	371.2(-1.46%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-187	-110	-182	-200	0.43	31%	0.03	-26.6	4.08%	0	-1.7	24	0
22	Jan_26_2010	422.81	426.39	417.68	392.94	391.68	381.72	376.7(-1.52%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-167	-190	-165	-173	0.39	29%	-0.11	-12.9	4.09%	0	-1.7	33	0
23	Jan_25_2010	423.29	428.61	426.26	407.66	404.54	386.09	382.5(2.25%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1	-279	-340	-306	-196	0.25	29%	0.13	7	4.13%	0	-1.7	38	0
24	Jan_22_2010	422.76	430.3	434.44	418.9	418.93	401.65	374.1(-6.87%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.8	-325	-290	-372	-184	0.44	28%	0.14	24.5	4.17%	0	-2.3	50	0
25	Jan_21_2010	422.16	432.1	443.08	434.3	432.63	423	401.7(-6.52%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-195	-170	-231	-87	0.44	30%		54.7	4.09%	0	-1.5	52	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.