Trading Signals: ERX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ ERX: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Mon. Feb. 1, 2010

Trading Signals: ERX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Nov. 6, 2008 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily Energy Bull 3X ETF)
ERX latest price $373.4000 (9.39%) ($351.4000 - $374.0000) on Mon. Feb. 1, 2010.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.82% (three month average)
RSI   30
Latest Price   $373.4000(9.39%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ERX declines -0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ERX declines -9.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ERX advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
OIH(89%)    XOP(88%)    IWM(71%)    SPY(71%)    EEM(65%)
Factors Impacting ERX price   ERX will decline at least -1.91% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-34%)    SHY(-9%)    TIP(-1%)    IGOV(5%)    LQD(6%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.91% (StdDev 3.82%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 5.3%

Resistance Level   $415.32
5 Day Moving Average   $364.31(2.5%)
10 Day Moving Average   $384.29(-2.83%)
20 Day Moving Average   $415.32(-10.09%)
To recent high   -22.6%
To recent low   9.4%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.01%

$. ERX is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.01% a day on average for holding it.$. ERX price fluctuates within 9.39% (three month std-dev: 3.82%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20100301

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_1_2010	422.48	415.32	384.29	364.31	364.15	359.63	373.4(9.39%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-82	-90	-51	-175	0.34	36%	-0.01	-33	3.82%	0	-1.1	30	0
2	Jan_29_2010	422.53	416.85	390.46	366.13	367.94	361.06	341.36(-4.89%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.6	-180	-120	-165	-224	0.46	32%	-0.09	-33.8	3.84%	0	-2	17	0
3	Jan_28_2010	422.92	420.71	401.47	372.68	375.19	368.66	358.9(-3.31%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-145	-100	-129	-194	0.49	31%	-0	-32.2	3.95%	0	-1.8	22	0
4	Jan_27_2010	422.94	423.71	410.4	381.24	380.45	374.82	371.2(-1.46%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-187	-110	-182	-200	0.43	31%	0.03	-26.6	4.08%	0	-1.7	24	0
5	Jan_26_2010	422.81	426.39	417.68	392.94	391.68	381.72	376.7(-1.52%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-167	-190	-165	-173	0.39	29%	-0.11	-12.9	4.09%	0	-1.7	33	0

6	Jan_25_2010	423.29	428.61	426.26	407.66	404.54	386.09	382.5(2.25%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1	-279	-340	-306	-196	0.25	29%	0.13	7	4.13%	0	-1.7	38	0
7	Jan_22_2010	422.76	430.3	434.44	418.9	418.93	401.65	374.1(-6.87%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.8	-325	-290	-372	-184	0.44	28%	0.14	24.5	4.17%	0	-2.3	50	0
8	Jan_21_2010	422.16	432.1	443.08	434.3	432.63	423	401.7(-6.52%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-195	-170	-231	-87	0.44	30%	0.22	54.7	4.09%	0	-1.5	52	0
9	Jan_20_2010	421.22	432.17	449.09	443.38	440.71	436.21	429.7(-4.57%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-76	-90	-100	-2	0.3	32%	0.28	73.4	4.01%	0	-0.1	59	0
10	Jan_19_2010	420.03	430.13	450.63	445.84	443.64	442.26	450.3(2.64%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	-23	-40	-42	35	0.18	33%	0.45	74.6	3.98%	0	0.9	62	0

11	Jan_15_2010	418.14	426.77	448.99	448.08	443.92	445.2	438.7(-2.75%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.4	-25	-10	-48	45	0.2	37%	0.2	71.3	3.95%	0	0.5	61	0
12	Jan_14_2010	417.29	424.37	445.44	452.78	449.82	445.01	451.1(0.89%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	31	-90	16	77	0.13	39%	0.22	77.1	4.03%	0	1	67	0
13	Jan_13_2010	416.36	421.03	441.47	453.56	451.52	442.64	447.1(1.15%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-124	-150	-168	9	0.2	39%	0.23	82	4.06%	0	1	69	0
14	Jan_12_2010	415.41	417.84	438.01	453.56	454	454.64	442(-4.23%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.5	-48	-0	-82	56	0.2	39%	0.18	84.8	4.06%	0	0.9	70	0
15	Jan_11_2010	414.67	414.55	435.72	455.74	455.46	460.4	461.5(-0.15%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	151	70	147	162	0.17	41%	0.26	83.5	4.05%	0	1.7	81	0

16	Jan_8_2010	413.58	410.02	430.83	449.84	448.26	453.36	462.2(1.58%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	118	70	108	149	0.18	44%	0.33	78.3	4.05%	0	1.9	82	0
17	Jan_7_2010	412.22	404.88	425.32	436.76	440.35	450.53	455(-0.66%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	178	190	184	159	0.17	44%	0.34	61.2	4.14%	0	2	75	0
18	Jan_6_2010	410.84	400.07	419.74	427.48	428.63	443.16	458(3.62%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.3	228	250	246	173	0.21	47%	0.39	43.8	4.14%	0	2.4	77	0
19	Jan_5_2010	409.25	395.83	413.28	417.94	417.83	430.18	442(2.31%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	216	210	236	156	0.16	50%	0.37	33.3	4.19%	0	2.1	75	0
20	Jan_4_2010	407.76	392.49	407.4	413.1	412.45	414.1	432(8.87%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1	110	20	113	101	0.2	50%	0.42	28.2	4.26%	0	2.1	76	0

21	Dec_31_2009	406.04	389.94	402.19	409.48	411.29	405.49	396.8(-2.89%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.8	-57	-90	-83	21	0.09	44%	0.16	17.5	4.13%	0	0.4	68	0
22	Dec_30_2009	405.38	389.99	401.55	411.9	413.4	410.81	408.6(-0.41%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.2	-46	-30	-74	40	0.08	44%	0.22	19.3	4.22%	0	1.1	81	0
23	Dec_29_2009	404.5	389.72	399.11	410.3	413.65	417.09	410.3(-1.8%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	56	80	43	93	0.14	44%	0.19	17.9	4.23%	0	1.2	83	0
24	Dec_28_2009	403.75	388.66	396.36	407.4	409.9	416	417.8(0.94%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	120	120	119	121	0.09	44%	0.39	14.7	4.22%	0	1.8	69	0
25	Dec_24_2009	402.19	387.14	391.99	400.62	403.95	410.22	413.9(1.22%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	127	130	132	112	0.07	42%		-13	4.22%	0	1.9	67	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.