Trading Signals: ERX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ ERX: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Fri. Sep. 4, 2009

Trading Signals: ERX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Nov. 6, 2008 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily Energy Bull 3X ETF)
ERX latest price $331.9000 (5.03%) ($314.7000 - $332.9000) on Fri. Sep. 4, 2009.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   4.75% (three month average)
RSI   65
Latest Price   $331.9000(5.03%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ERX declines -1.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ERX declines -0.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ERX advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
OIH(90%)    XOP(88%)    IWM(71%)    SPY(71%)    EEM(65%)
Factors Impacting ERX price   ERX will decline at least -2.375% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-33%)    SHY(-9%)    TIP(-0%)    LQD(6%)    IGOV(6%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.375% (StdDev 4.75%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 5.4%

Resistance Level   $333.86
5 Day Moving Average   $321.8(3.14%)
10 Day Moving Average   $339.32(-2.19%)
20 Day Moving Average   $333.86(-0.59%)
To recent high   -18.7%
To recent low   42.6%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.02%

$. ERX is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.02% a day on average for holding it.$. ERX price fluctuates within 5.71% (three month std-dev: 4.75%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20091004

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_4_2009	316.46	333.86	339.32	321.8	320.39	320.39	331.9(5.03%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	19	-10	25	2	0.2	40%	0.22	-28.5	4.75%	0	-0.1	65	0
2	Sep_3_2009	315.76	333.96	341.7	325.98	323.12	315.9	316(1.44%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-101	-180	-121	-39	0.16	34%	0.17	-21.7	4.78%	0	-0.9	49	0
3	Sep_2_2009	315.22	334.94	343.5	334.08	333.35	320.39	311.5(-1.42%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-137	-280	-167	-45	0.2	34%	0.16	-8.2	4.95%	0	-1.3	44	0
4	Sep_1_2009	314.71	336.55	345.11	343.92	342.48	330.35	316(-5.28%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-170	-260	-211	-45	0.34	40%	0.17	13.6	4.95%	0	-1.1	48	0
5	Aug_31_2009	314.18	338.39	344.69	351.72	349.25	346.31	333.6(-5.44%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-103	-80	-135	-5	0.27	41%	0.06	30.8	5.08%	0	-0.3	55	0

6	Aug_28_2009	313.98	339.38	341.62	359.04	356.93	354.61	352.8(-1.04%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	19	-60	7	55	0.23	47%	0.26	43.7	5.07%	0	0.7	55	0
7	Aug_27_2009	313.16	338.16	339.2	359.74	359.64	352.19	356.5(-1.16%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.2	-37	-150	-59	29	0.31	47%	0.34	40.6	5.19%	0	1	57	0
8	Aug_26_2009	312.1	336.48	337.51	354.32	359.09	359.24	360.7(1.61%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	-13	40	-28	34	0.22	47%	0.38	29	5.21%	0	1.3	58	0
9	Aug_25_2009	310.93	334.08	334.39	346.46	352.38	367.1	355(-4.11%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	151	340	169	95	0.39	47%	0.29	18.7	5.25%	0	1.2	53	0
10	Aug_24_2009	310.04	332.94	331.05	336.3	338.46	358.94	370.2(3.9%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2	268	440	315	125	0.36	47%	0.29	7	5.26%	0	2.2	53	0

11	Aug_21_2009	309.13	331.67	327.13	321.66	321.79	337.66	356.3(8.17%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.3	216	350	264	71	0.31	44%	0.29	-5.8	5.24%	0	1.6	49	0
12	Aug_20_2009	308.23	330.98	324.46	316.2	309.64	317.99	329.4(2.49%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	77	130	103	-3	0.21	41%	0.29	-0.5	5.26%	0	-0.1	52	0
13	Aug_19_2009	307.34	331.3	324.73	318.78	311.21	305.91	321.4(5.65%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-10	-190	0	-38	0.35	41%	0.31	18.5	5.26%	0	-0.7	52	0
14	Aug_18_2009	306.39	330.86	326.64	320.88	318.47	301.29	304.2(2.42%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-166	-400	-188	-101	0.25	43%	0.23	31.4	5.21%	0	-1.7	51	0
15	Aug_17_2009	305.69	331.74	331.46	324.66	325.06	316.5	297(-9.73%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.8	-196	-180	-226	-104	0.26	43%	0.12	59.1	5.35%	0	-2.3	41	0

16	Aug_14_2009	305.32	332.58	337.43	332.54	331.9	335.66	329(-3.89%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	14	70	16	9	0.29	46%	0.15	93.4	5.27%	0	-0.2	44	0
17	Aug_13_2009	304.85	331.03	337.62	333.5	332.34	333.62	342.3(3.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	46	20	54	20	0.35	43%	0.23	100.4	5.24%	0	0.6	48	0
18	Aug_12_2009	304.16	328.5	335.83	331.74	332.4	328.14	331.9(2.72%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-40	-80	-44	-26	0.28	43%	0.2	98.9	5.35%	0	0.2	50	0
19	Aug_11_2009	303.55	326.11	334.21	333.7	334.99	331.06	323.1(-3.95%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-72	-70	-84	-37	0.31	40%	0.11	91.8	5.35%	0	-0.1	58	0
20	Aug_10_2009	303.21	323.01	335.52	339.5	339.5	336.66	336.4(0.78%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-37	-60	-47	-7	0.19	40%	0.34	87.3	5.44%	0	0.4	58	0

21	Aug_7_2009	302.17	318.68	336.8	343.14	343.59	338.91	333.8(0.09%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-32	-90	-47	13	0.32	45%	0.23	78.6	5.66%	0	0.4	61	0
22	Aug_6_2009	301.47	313.97	338.06	342.18	347.03	342.33	333.5(-2.4%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-14	-50	-30	35	0.38	49%	0.28	68.5	5.67%	0	0.5	65	0
23	Aug_5_2009	300.64	309.5	338.37	340.18	343.3	348.26	341.7(-2.95%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	19	130	6	59	0.36	49%	0.33	56.1	5.81%	0	0.8	69	0
24	Aug_4_2009	299.65	304.26	335.37	334.44	337.59	351.73	352.1(-0.71%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	155	320	166	123	0.5	52%	0.44	43.2	5.83%	0	1.1	74	0
25	Aug_3_2009	298.34	298.43	331.85	331	328.32	338.34	354.6(7.78%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	146	190	151	131	0.53	52%		34.3	5.95%	0	1.3	80	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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