Trading Signals: ERX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ ERX: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. Jul. 30, 2009

Trading Signals: ERX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Nov. 6, 2008 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily Energy Bull 3X ETF)
ERX latest price $323.5000 (3.35%) ($313.4000 - $333.2000) on Thu. Jul. 30, 2009.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   6.02% (three month average)
RSI   80
Latest Price   $323.5000(3.35%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ERX declines -0.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ERX advances 12.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ERX advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
OIH(90%)    XOP(88%)    IWM(71%)    SPY(71%)    EEM(66%)
Factors Impacting ERX price   ERX will decline at least -3.01% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-33%)    SHY(-10%)    TIP(-1%)    LQD(6%)    IGOV(6%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -3.01% (StdDev 6.02%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.6%

5 Day Moving Average   $333.87(-3.11%)
10 Day Moving Average   $323.82(-0.1%)
20 Day Moving Average   $289.85(11.61%)
To recent high   -20.7%
To recent low   39%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.04%

$. ERX is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.04% a day on average for holding it.$. ERX price fluctuates within 13.81% (three month std-dev: 6.02%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_30_2009	295.86	289.85	323.82	333.87	329.72	318.3	323.5(3.35%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-24	-280	-64	98	0.51	52%	0.41	30.7	6.02%	0	0.8	80	0
2	Jul_29_2009	294.65	288.14	320.67	336.35	333.65	323.39	313(-6.54%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.6	-96	-240	-157	89	0.48	52%	0.36	35.6	6.04%	0	0.6	76	0
3	Jul_28_2009	293.59	286.93	317.81	335.59	335.76	341.14	334.9(-4.56%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	54	110	12	178	0.54	54%	0.53	38	6.04%	0	1.2	84	0
4	Jul_27_2009	292.05	284.73	310.04	332.05	329.41	343.92	350.9(1.12%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	187	280	166	249	0.38	54%	0.6	40.7	6.01%	0	1.8	89	0
5	Jul_24_2009	290.3	281.16	299.41	323.27	320.63	330.38	347.03(3.31%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	197	190	182	240	0.54	54%	0.61	32.9	6.05%	0	1.9	76	0

6	Jul_23_2009	288.54	278.07	288.02	312.6	311.97	314.91	335.9(8.64%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	105	60	83	171	0.6	54%	0.47	21.7	6.1%	0	1.9	69	0
7	Jul_22_2009	287.19	274.83	278.18	303.14	303.89	310.89	309.2(-2.52%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	72	170	54	124	0.4	52%	0.46	5.8	6.04%	0	1.3	52	0
8	Jul_21_2009	285.87	272.94	270.6	297.22	297.36	309.03	317.2(3.32%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	159	280	166	136	0.48	52%	0.5	-11.9	6.04%	0	1.7	54	0
9	Jul_20_2009	284.45	270.38	262.05	284.42	287.15	296.89	307(4.53%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	152	270	173	89	0.65	48%	0.3	-44.2	6.07%	0	1.5	50	0
10	Jul_17_2009	283.61	270.44	256.19	271.68	273.98	285.7	293.7(1.77%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	118	320	144	39	0.63	48%	0.18	-68.5	6.31%	0	0.9	50	0

11	Jul_16_2009	283.09	271.64	252.53	259.48	260.56	277.41	288.6(3.22%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	152	470	194	25	0.67	48%	0.16	-85.6	6.31%	0	0.6	47	0
12	Jul_15_2009	282.65	273.25	252.21	249.54	247.63	262.26	279.6(10.43%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	151	390	197	11	0.85	48%	0.11	-93.9	6.3%	0	0.2	50	0
13	Jul_14_2009	282.35	276.09	252.8	240.24	239.78	243.71	253.2(4.07%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.4	78	110	116	-36	0.7	44%	0.12	-94.1	6.17%	0	-0.7	43	0
14	Jul_13_2009	282.02	281.44	256.86	236.42	234.83	233	243.3(4.56%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-50	-70	-34	-96	0.75	44%	-0.03	-85.9	6.15%	0	-1	41	0
15	Jul_10_2009	282.11	288.68	261.19	238.44	236.5	235.85	232.7(-2.6%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-52	-40	-35	-102	0.68	44%	-0.14	-72.1	6.13%	0	-1.3	26	0

16	Jul_9_2009	282.5	297.18	267.41	244.4	240.65	236.65	238.9(2.49%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-67	-160	-53	-107	0.81	44%	-0.11	-60.8	6.17%	0	-1.2	26	0
17	Jul_8_2009	282.82	304.36	271.59	255.42	247.94	237.15	233.1(-0.43%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-154	-390	-157	-143	0.99	44%	-0.14	-52.6	6.24%	0	-1.4	23	0
18	Jul_7_2009	283.22	311.53	276.29	267.34	265.19	244.65	234.1(-7.62%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.7	-181	-570	-190	-155	1	44%	-0.18	-50.2	6.25%	0	-1.6	21	0
19	Jul_6_2009	283.72	318.37	280.56	280.14	278.18	258.74	253.4(-3.47%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.6	-262	-510	-284	-197	0.63	46%	-0.47	-49.1	6.27%	0	-1.4	21	0
20	Jul_2_2009	285.07	324.25	286.93	287	291.02	285.73	262.5(-10.71%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-129	-90	-124	-142	0.57	50%	-0.25	-46.9	6.27%	0	-1.4	19	0

21	Jul_1_2009	285.79	330	293.19	293.4	295.69	297.63	294(0.44%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	2	70	32	-90	0.52	53%	-0.19	-42.9	6.24%	0	-0.8	20	0
22	Jun_30_2009	286.33	333.04	296.29	290.18	291.96	296.31	292.7(-1.81%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	4	120	40	-105	0.63	50%	-0.38	-40.5	6.24%	0	-0.9	29	0
23	Jun_29_2009	287.43	338.1	301.02	286.76	288.61	293.75	298.1(3.61%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	37	140	82	-98	0.52	50%	-0.36	-35.9	6.37%	0	-0.9	33	0
24	Jun_26_2009	288.47	342.92	307.28	281.34	282.84	287.6	287.7(-2.31%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-9	130	29	-124	0.5	50%	-0.32	-31.7	6.44%	0	-1.3	32	0
25	Jun_25_2009	289.4	346.74	317.44	287.28	282.08	283.48	294.5(5.97%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-41	-20	-12	-127	0.58	50%		-24.2	6.44%	0	-1.3	33	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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