Trading Signals: ERX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ ERX: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Tue. Apr. 14, 2009

Trading Signals: ERX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Nov. 6, 2008 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily Energy Bull 3X ETF)
ERX latest price $260.9000 (-0.91%) ($251.0000 - $271.3000) on Tue. Apr. 14, 2009.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   8.44% (three month average)
RSI   48
Latest Price   $260.9000(-0.91%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ERX declines -0.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ERX declines -1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ERX advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
OIH(90%)    XOP(89%)    SPY(72%)    IWM(71%)    EEM(66%)
Factors Impacting ERX price   ERX will decline at least -4.22% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-33%)    SHY(-10%)    TIP(-1%)    LQD(6%)    IGOV(7%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -4.22% (StdDev 8.44%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $258.94(0.76%)
10 Day Moving Average   $258.65(0.87%)
20 Day Moving Average   $259.82(0.42%)
To recent high   -35%
To recent low   49.3%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.07%

$. ERX is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.07% a day on average for holding it.$. ERX price fluctuates within 6.45% (three month std-dev: 8.44%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20090514

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_14_2009	319.63	259.82	258.65	258.94	260.28	260.54	260.9(-0.91%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-19	20	-20	-15	0.42	49%	-0.53	61.4	8.44%	0	0.1	48	NAN
2	Apr_13_2009	321.33	258.12	256.26	260.38	256.99	265.66	263.3(-3.2%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	15	200	23	-9	0.41	49%	-0.16	68.9	8.59%	0	0.3	45	NAN
3	Apr_9_2009	321.84	256.03	255.87	264.02	258.83	260.01	272(7.51%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	55	-30	66	20	0.37	49%	-0.45	75.8	8.63%	0	0.8	60	NAN
4	Apr_8_2009	323.28	253.64	256.53	263.08	259.45	248.33	253(3.05%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-61	-340	-70	-32	0.38	49%	-0.75	79.3	8.66%	0	-0	51	NAN
5	Apr_7_2009	325.73	251.49	258.58	260.96	264.76	257.64	245.5(-8.43%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-48	-140	-56	-24	0.41	49%	-0.64	72.6	8.66%	0	-0.2	52	NAN

6	Apr_6_2009	327.82	249.92	261.27	257.58	260.27	270.58	268.1(-4.76%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	21	310	25	10	0.39	49%	-0.63	65.7	8.73%	0	0.6	57	NAN
7	Apr_3_2009	329.9	245.94	263.01	250.96	252.44	271.89	281.5(5.31%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	140	560	163	71	0.47	49%	-0.79	54.7	8.67%	0	1.1	64	NAN
8	Apr_2_2009	332.54	240.98	258.4	246.84	242.96	249.96	267.3(10.27%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	87	150	101	44	0.6	52%	-0.46	41.7	8.71%	0	0.8	64	NAN
9	Apr_1_2009	334.06	236.53	258.02	250.06	241.08	233	242.4(6.04%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-53	-340	-68	-8	0.45	50%	-0.84	35.1	8.82%	0	0.2	59	NAN
10	Mar_31_2009	336.9	234.69	259.24	256.54	254.5	235.96	228.6(-2.72%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-85	-530	-112	-3	0.43	50%	-1.01	33.3	8.85%	0	-0.2	61	NAN

11	Mar_30_2009	340.33	232.57	261.43	265.24	263.43	249.15	235(-9.93%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-135	-400	-178	-4	0.43	50%	-0.93	30	8.86%	0	0.1	61	NAN
12	Mar_27_2009	343.51	229.99	260.96	276.06	273.57	273.04	260.9(-7.94%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	1	-40	-29	90	0.49	52%	-0.64	33.8	8.77%	0	0.8	72	NAN
13	Mar_26_2009	345.72	227.98	257.07	270.82	275.46	277.71	283.4(3.13%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	70	110	50	128	0.58	52%	-0.19	26.4	8.78%	0	1.5	78	NAN
14	Mar_25_2009	346.38	225.53	250.98	267.17	267.66	274.1	274.8(0.99%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	38	170	9	126	0.69	52%	-0.22	20.9	8.79%	0	1.5	78	NAN
15	Mar_24_2009	347.14	223.66	244.14	262.61	267.68	273.21	272.1(-5.88%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	116	200	101	159	0.66	52%	-0.23	14.3	8.87%	0	1.5	66	NAN

16	Mar_23_2009	347.95	222.12	237.81	257.27	259.28	261.21	289.1(23.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	65	80	39	141	0.84	52%	-0.18	6.9	8.83%	0	2.2	73	NAN
17	Mar_20_2009	348.59	218.3	227.17	244.11	249.83	262.14	234.7(-11.48%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	80	420	60	138	0.61	47%	-0.36	-23.3	8.29%	0	0.6	68	NAN
18	Mar_19_2009	349.84	218.91	222.03	240.77	242.29	257.34	265.14(5.21%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	173	450	176	165	0.75	49%	-0.27	-36.6	8.24%	0	1.6	59	NAN
19	Mar_18_2009	350.78	218.67	212.89	232.24	229.36	237.53	252(2.69%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	98	210	99	96	0.81	45%	-0.32	-51.8	8.21%	0	1.1	52	NAN
20	Mar_17_2009	351.89	219.1	207.59	222.84	222.31	227.24	245.4(9.9%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	60	150	64	48	0.59	45%	-0.34	-66.6	8.51%	0	0.8	50	NAN

21	Mar_16_2009	353.1	220.03	200.86	215.56	216.41	221.19	223.3(2.43%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	38	170	49	6	0.75	42%	-0.42	-86.3	8.4%	0	0.1	45	NAN
22	Mar_13_2009	354.59	224.92	196.3	207.68	211.7	217.38	218(-2.02%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	55	250	77	-11	0.55	42%	-0.45	-79	8.41%	0	-0.2	52	NAN
23	Mar_12_2009	356.18	230.28	196.38	200.04	202.27	211.64	222.5(8.54%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.5	48	360	75	-33	0.75	42%	-0.44	-75.4	8.48%	0	-0.2	46	NAN
24	Mar_11_2009	357.75	235.34	197.62	190.48	193.63	206.03	205(-1.91%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	65	500	102	-47	0.79	39%	-0.51	-74.1	8.4%	0	-0.6	39	NAN
25	Mar_10_2009	359.57	242.06	201.11	190.1	187.1	192.91	209(13.65%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.3	44	170	79	-63	0.95	39%		-69	8.4%	0	-0.6	40	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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