Trading Signals: ERX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ ERX: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Fri. Mar. 6, 2009

Trading Signals: ERX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Nov. 6, 2008 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily Energy Bull 3X ETF)
ERX latest price $179.8000 (2.92%) ($162.3000 - $194.5000) on Fri. Mar. 6, 2009.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   8.56% (three month average)
RSI   26
Latest Price   $179.8000(2.92%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ERX declines -4.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ERX declines -18.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ERX advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
OIH(90%)    XOP(89%)    SPY(73%)    IWM(72%)    EEM(67%)
Factors Impacting ERX price   ERX will decline at least -4.28% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-33%)    SHY(-11%)    TIP(-1%)    LQD(7%)    IGOV(8%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -4.28% (StdDev 8.56%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1.9%

Resistance Level   $261.49
5 Day Moving Average   $183.24(-1.88%)
10 Day Moving Average   $208.46(-13.75%)
20 Day Moving Average   $261.49(-31.24%)
To recent high   -62.5%
To recent low   2.9%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.07%

$. ERX is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.07% a day on average for holding it.$. ERX price fluctuates within 26.56% (three month std-dev: 8.56%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

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> 20090406

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_6_2009	363.55	261.49	208.46	183.24	187.34	181.29	179.8(2.92%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-107	-160	-87	-166	0.85	35%	-0.62	-53	8.56%	0	-1.2	26	0
2	Mar_5_2009	365.82	271.37	215.65	192.14	191	192.1	174.7(-13.98%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-88	20	-64	-160	0.74	35%	-0.65	-49	8.62%	0	-1.4	24	0
3	Mar_4_2009	368.2	280.41	225.29	205.74	202.82	193.39	203.1(12.77%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-62	-370	-34	-144	0.67	33%	-0.56	-49.1	8.47%	0	-1.1	27	0
4	Mar_3_2009	370.29	287.7	231.82	214.22	215.72	189.9	180.1(0.9%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-201	-820	-198	-211	0.6	28%	-0.65	-49.3	8.64%	0	-1.6	17	0
5	Mar_2_2009	372.73	295.62	241.31	228.2	231.43	212.25	178.5(-20.42%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.8	-217	-540	-215	-223	0.76	28%	-0.67	-50.9	8.65%	0	-1.9	14	0

6	Feb_27_2009	375.26	304.35	256.65	236.62	242.3	241.54	224.3(-7.58%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-88	50	-65	-155	0.58	27%	-0.52	-54.1	9.05%	0	-1.4	17	0
7	Feb_26_2009	377.24	311.06	267.43	242.22	245.39	250.6	242.7(-1.14%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-1	190	37	-113	0.33	27%	-0.47	-53.3	9.09%	0	-1.3	25	0
8	Feb_25_2009	379.04	318.73	276.15	247.94	245.11	243.06	245.5(-1.8%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0	-39	-90	-11	-124	0.47	27%	-0.47	-48.4	9.39%	0	-1.3	33	0
9	Feb_24_2009	380.84	325.07	286.03	252.8	252.19	240.18	250(13.33%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-87	-340	-69	-142	0.41	27%	-0.47	-43.9	9.41%	0	-1.4	35	0
10	Feb_23_2009	382.63	331.25	300.49	257.28	261.14	247.16	220.6(-12.56%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-149	-330	-147	-156	0.4	20%	-0.58	-43.1	9.5%	0	-2.2	31	0

11	Feb_20_2009	384.88	338.39	318.42	279.76	273.86	264.2	252.3(-7%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-121	-310	-124	-112	0.4	31%	-0.48	-36.7	10.31%	0	-2	33	0
12	Feb_19_2009	386.75	342.84	331.4	296.43	294.58	275.11	271.3(0.56%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-77	-480	-78	-72	0.33	29%	-0.42	-30.6	11.15%	0	-1.9	35	0
13	Feb_18_2009	388.4	347.43	340.04	308.77	306.77	283.51	269.8(-0.95%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-169	-550	-188	-112	0.24	29%	-0.44	-27.7	11.34%	0	-2.3	29	0
14	Feb_17_2009	390.12	349.8	348.47	324.23	323.83	314.04	272.4(-18.2%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-124	-220	-138	-82	0.42	29%	-0.44	-25.2	11.41%	0	-2.5	37	0
15	Feb_13_2009	391.85	354.2	355.32	349.97	344.94	330.02	333(-0.79%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-64	-350	-71	-41	0.2	40%	-0.22	-10.8	11.21%	0	-0.9	45	0

16	Feb_12_2009	392.73	354.8	356.8	363.23	362.88	333.62	335.66(0.8%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-131	-570	-153	-64	0.33	37%	-0.22	-13.7	11.82%	0	-0.8	50	0
17	Feb_11_2009	393.59	354.78	358.88	372	377.93	359.85	333(-4.06%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-124	-290	-148	-52	0.3	37%	-0.24	-20.3	12.09%	0	-0.9	55	0
18	Feb_10_2009	394.52	357.06	365.16	375.76	382.99	392.14	347.1(-13.46%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.2	2	220	-2	14	0.46	37%	-0.19	-34.1	12.12%	0	-0.4	51	0
19	Feb_9_2009	395.27	357.65	367.48	375.48	377.29	396.01	401.1(0.45%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	125	360	140	80	0.25	39%	0.03	-53.8	12.01%	0	1.8	69	0
20	Feb_6_2009	395.17	356.92	363.83	361.18	360.87	373.84	399.3(5.22%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	91	250	103	56	0.29	42%	0.02	-79	12.13%	0	1.7	58	0

21	Feb_5_2009	395.11	358.21	358.79	350.1	346.85	358.57	379.5(7.87%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	44	210	49	28	0.32	42%	-0.06	-70.2	12.21%	0	0.7	58	0
22	Feb_4_2009	395.36	359.88	353.88	344.92	345.73	347.9	351.8(1.76%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	37	50	42	21	0.28	42%	-0.18	-63.1	12.28%	0	-0.3	56	0
23	Feb_3_2009	396.09	365.71	354.31	353.86	348.09	335.14	345.7(4.88%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-53	-310	-65	-18	0.2	42%	-0.21	-31.6	12.38%	0	-0.5	48	0
24	Feb_2_2009	396.94	371.46	350.67	358.42	360.05	343.56	329.6(-4.16%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-81	-310	-97	-34	0.23	42%	-0.29	-13.7	12.47%	0	-0.9	49	0
25	Jan_30_2009	398.1	377.21	353.12	366.28	369.62	361.04	343.9(-2.74%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-56	-140	-68	-21	0.25	42%		2.8	12.57%	0	-0.7	45	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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