Trading Signals: EQR Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Jun. 17, 2015

Trading Signals: EQR Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Dec. 1, 2014 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(Equity Residential)
EQR latest price $73.6700 (1.4%) ($72.0200 - $73.7600) on Wed. Jun. 17, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.2% (three month average)
RSI   40
Latest Price   $73.6700(1.4%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   EQR advances 0.8% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EQR declines -1.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EQR advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IVE(61%)    XLU(59%)    VYM(58%)    SPY(57%)    IWM(54%)
Factors Impacting EQR price   EQR will decline at least -0.6% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-15%)    UUP(-9%)    TLT(-9%)    GDXJ(-7%)    IGOV(-3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.6% (StdDev 1.2%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $72.2(2.04%)
10 Day Moving Average   $71.75(2.68%)
20 Day Moving Average   $72.93(1.01%)
To recent high   -9.9%
To recent low   4.1%
Market Cap   $27.421b

Equity Residential operates as a real estate investment trust, which engages in the acquisition, development, and management of rental apartment properties. The company was founded by Robert H. Lurie and Sam Zell in March 1993 and is headquartered in Chicago, IL.

$. EQR price fluctuates within 2.13% (three month std-dev: 1.2%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 5 Average positive next day return: 0.24%(40%) Average negative next day return: -1.21%(60%) Sample size 5 Average positive next three day return: 0.22%(40%) Average negative next three day return: -1.93%(60%) Sample size 5 Average positive next weekly return: 0.27%(60%) Average negative next weekly return: -0.96%(40%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150717

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_17_2015	76.26	72.93	71.75	72.2	72.03	72.57	73.67(1.4%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.9	35	50	57	-30	1.88	41%	-0.09	-37.6	1.2%	0	0.5	40	0
2	Jun_16_2015	76.33	72.97	71.54	71.64	71.66	71.73	72.65(1.58%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	-0	10	28	-85	2.02	43%	-0.09	-44.5	1.18%	0	-0.2	32	0
3	Jun_15_2015	76.4	73.07	71.62	71.26	71.31	71.5	71.52(-0.04%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-27	20	1	-112	1.66	40%	-0.12	-46.6	1.2%	0	-1	35	0
4	Jun_12_2015	76.49	73.25	71.94	71.18	71.18	71.6	71.55(-0.06%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-10	40	22	-106	1.13	43%	-0.1	-47.3	1.2%	0	-1	32	0
5	Jun_11_2015	76.57	73.42	72.2	71.17	71.11	71.12	71.59(0.99%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-17	-0	14	-110	1.72	43%	-0.08	-46.2	1.23%	0	-1.1	33	0

6	Jun_10_2015	76.63	73.52	72.51	71.23	71.08	70.77	70.89(0.21%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-50	-40	-25	-126	1.9	43%	-0.09	-44.8	1.22%	0	-1.7	27	0
7	Jun_9_2015	76.7	73.69	72.93	71.43	71.37	71.1	70.74(-0.56%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-59	-30	-38	-123	1.43	43%	-0.08	-43.3	1.22%	0	-2.1	28	0
8	Jun_8_2015	76.76	73.84	73.27	72.04	71.87	71.39	71.14(-0.49%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-62	-50	-46	-110	2.79	43%	-0.12	-42.7	1.23%	0	-2.1	28	0
9	Jun_5_2015	76.85	74.03	73.63	72.82	72.59	71.65	71.49(-0.56%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-67	-100	-59	-89	2.03	40%	-0.09	-29.5	1.28%	0	-2.3	28	0
10	Jun_4_2015	76.92	74.18	73.95	73.39	73.4	72.35	71.89(-0.03%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-76	-100	-75	-79	1.45	40%	-0.08	-16.8	1.28%	0	-2.5	32	0

11	Jun_3_2015	76.98	74.23	74.26	73.99	74.11	73.53	71.91(-2.55%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.4	-57	-50	-61	-45	2.3	40%	-0.08	-14.5	1.28%	0	-2.7	45	0
12	Jun_2_2015	77.04	74.31	74.56	74.62	74.63	74.45	73.79(-1.64%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.1	-10	-20	-13	0	1.14	43%	-0.05	-14	1.24%	0	-0.7	52	0
13	Jun_1_2015	77.08	74.38	74.67	74.65	74.72	74.7	75.02(0.94%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	5	0	1	16	1.31	45%	-0.03	-21.6	1.23%	0	0.8	63	0
14	May_29_2015	77.1	74.36	74.68	74.57	74.58	74.81	74.32(-0.76%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	5	20	2	15	2.99	45%	-0.03	-35.6	1.24%	0	-0.1	47	0
15	May_28_2015	77.12	74.34	74.74	74.62	74.54	74.75	74.89(-0.25%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	21	20	18	28	1.16	45%	-0.01	-49	1.24%	0	0.7	55	0

16	May_27_2015	77.13	74.35	74.6	74.61	74.47	74.35	75.08(1.53%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	8	-20	2	27	1.62	45%	0.01	-52.8	1.25%	0	0.9	65	0
17	May_26_2015	77.12	74.41	74.48	74.51	74.52	74.32	73.95(-0.9%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-8	-20	-18	21	1	42%	0.05	-45.9	1.24%	0	-0.5	57	0
18	May_22_2015	77.08	74.54	74.44	74.68	74.65	74.6	74.62(0.11%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-3	-10	-10	20	0.92	42%	-0.04	-28.8	1.26%	0	0.1	47	0
19	May_21_2015	77.11	74.63	74.45	74.8	74.75	74.73	74.54(-0.4%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	4	-0	-4	28	0.98	42%	0.04	-20	1.27%	0	-0.1	49	0
20	May_20_2015	77.08	74.71	74.42	74.88	74.88	74.7	74.84(0.29%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0	14	-20	6	37	1.39	44%	0.03	-14.9	1.28%	0	0.1	54	0

21	May_19_2015	77.06	74.78	74.19	74.59	74.76	74.78	74.62(-0.24%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	-1	10	-3	6	1.07	41%	0.01	-17.8	1.3%	0	-0.1	46	0
22	May_18_2015	77.05	74.83	74.04	74.43	74.58	75.06	74.8(-0.51%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	17	50	25	-7	1.13	43%	0.01	-22.7	1.35%	0	-0	43	0
23	May_15_2015	77.04	74.83	74.06	74.14	74.22	74.75	75.18(0.32%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	19	50	32	-22	1.97	43%	-0.03	-30.1	1.35%	0	0.3	43	0
24	May_14_2015	77.06	74.85	74	74.07	73.93	74.1	74.94(2.1%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-1	10	13	-42	0.99	43%	0.03	-32.3	1.36%	0	0.1	43	0
25	May_13_2015	77.04	74.89	73.88	73.92	74.17	73.68	73.4(-0.56%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.4	-15	-40	3	-67	1.57	38%		-36.1	1.34%	0	-1.2	37	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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