Trading Signals: EMHY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ EMHY: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Fri. Mar. 18, 2016

Trading Signals: EMHY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 3, 2012 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares Emerging Markets High Yield Bond ETF)
EMHY latest price $46.8600 (0.75%) ($46.6100 - $46.8600) on Fri. Mar. 18, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.54% (three month average)
RSI   80
Latest Price   $46.8600(0.75%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EMHY advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EMHY advances 0.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EMHY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
PCY(88%)    HYG(73%)    JNK(73%)    VT(66%)    EWG(65%)
Factors Impacting EMHY price   EMHY will decline at least -0.27% in a week (0% probabilities).
UUP(-28%)    VIXM(-21%)    DIA(-12%)    XHB(-7%)    TBT(-6%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.27% (StdDev 0.54%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.5%

5 Day Moving Average   $46.39(1.01%)
10 Day Moving Average   $46.24(1.34%)
20 Day Moving Average   $45.82(2.27%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   7.4%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EMHY price fluctuates within 1.24% (three month std-dev: 0.54%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 20 Average positive next day return: 0.89%(50%) Average negative next day return: -0.74%(50%) Sample size 20 Average positive next three day return: 2.01%(40%) Average negative next three day return: -1.62%(60%) Sample size 20 Average positive next weekly return: 2.51%(40%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.25%(60%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160418

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_18_2016	45.44	45.82	46.24	46.39	46.38	46.61	46.86(0.75%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	59	30	42	109	0.01	58%	0.02	90.3	0.54%	0	1.8	80	0
2	Mar_17_2016	45.43	45.71	46.15	46.3	46.27	46.3	46.51(0.67%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	49	0	27	113	0.01	56%	-0.02	92.8	0.53%	0	1.4	78	0
3	Mar_16_2016	45.44	45.62	46.08	46.18	46.23	46.14	46.2(0.17%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	24	-10	-3	104	0	54%	0	89	0.52%	0	1	76	0
4	Mar_15_2016	45.44	45.54	46.03	46.13	46.2	46.23	46.12(-0.32%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	29	10	-0	115	0	56%	-0.02	79.3	0.52%	0	0.9	78	0
5	Mar_14_2016	45.45	45.43	45.96	46.08	46.13	46.32	46.27(-0.28%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	46	30	20	123	0	56%	-0.02	75.2	0.53%	0	1.3	78	0

6	Mar_11_2016	45.46	45.32	45.86	46.06	46.05	46.17	46.4(1.05%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	57	20	31	134	0.01	50%	0	66.2	0.53%	0	1.5	83	0
7	Mar_10_2016	45.46	45.19	45.74	45.99	45.99	45.94	45.92(-0.04%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	32	-10	2	120	0.02	46%	-0.02	58.6	0.56%	0	1	82	0
8	Mar_9_2016	45.47	45.11	45.67	45.97	46	45.93	45.94(0.11%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	31	-10	-2	131	0	46%	-0.02	57.3	0.56%	0	1.2	84	0
9	Mar_8_2016	45.48	45.02	45.57	45.9	45.96	46.04	45.89(-0.54%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	43	20	11	139	0.05	46%	-0.02	56.1	0.56%	0	1.2	84	0
10	Mar_7_2016	45.49	44.94	45.49	45.8	45.85	46.07	46.14(0.17%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	72	40	41	166	0.01	46%	-0.02	53.6	0.56%	0	1.8	96	0

11	Mar_4_2016	45.5	44.86	45.37	45.63	45.64	45.88	46.06(0.52%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	78	40	46	173	0.02	46%	0	48.6	0.56%	0	1.9	91	0
12	Mar_3_2016	45.5	44.78	45.24	45.45	45.47	45.63	45.82(0.46%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	72	30	39	172	0.02	45%	-0.02	45.6	0.55%	0	1.9	91	0
13	Mar_2_2016	45.51	44.7	45.11	45.32	45.34	45.4	45.61(0.57%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	57	10	23	158	0.02	43%	-0.02	45.5	0.55%	0	1.8	73	0
14	Mar_1_2016	45.52	44.63	45.01	45.19	45.25	45.32	45.35(0.11%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	47	10	13	147	0.03	41%	-0.02	43.7	0.55%	0	1.6	72	0
15	Feb_29_2016	45.53	44.58	44.86	45.14	45.14	45.29	45.3(0.24%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	48	20	19	134	0	40%	-0.02	46.9	0.55%	0	1.7	68	0

16	Feb_26_2016	45.54	44.55	44.73	45.08	45.07	45.17	45.19(0.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	51	10	28	119	0	40%	-0.02	53.3	0.55%	0	1.6	59	0
17	Feb_25_2016	45.55	44.52	44.6	44.99	44.97	45	45.17(0.47%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	39	0	22	88	0.05	40%	-0.02	61.2	0.56%	0	1.7	59	0
18	Feb_24_2016	45.56	44.48	44.51	44.87	44.79	44.97	44.96(-0.22%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	28	20	14	69	0.01	39%	-0.02	64.6	0.55%	0	1.4	58	0
19	Feb_23_2016	45.57	44.43	44.43	44.79	44.71	44.94	45.06(0.11%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	64	30	60	75	0.01	39%	0	63.6	0.56%	0	1.9	64	0
20	Feb_22_2016	45.57	44.38	44.35	44.54	44.51	44.61	45.01(0.63%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	40	10	42	34	0.04	39%	-0.02	52.8	0.56%	0	2	59	0

21	Feb_19_2016	45.58	44.34	44.29	44.33	44.26	44.48	44.73(0.31%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.4	19	30	27	-7	0.01	41%	0	36.5	0.56%	0	1.4	45	0
22	Feb_18_2016	45.58	44.29	44.27	44.15	44.15	44.41	44.59(0.11%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.5	29	40	46	-24	0	41%	-0.02	9.2	0.56%	0	1	49	0
23	Feb_17_2016	45.59	44.25	44.25	44.1	44.15	44.04	44.54(1.62%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.5	3	0	18	-41	0.04	41%	0	-7.4	0.56%	0	1	53	0
24	Feb_16_2016	45.59	44.22	44.22	44.03	43.98	43.9	43.83(-0.25%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-28	-20	-15	-66	0.01	35%	-0.02	-25.7	0.52%	0	-1.3	48	0
25	Feb_12_2016	45.6	44.21	44.28	44.12	44.07	43.92	43.94(0.16%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-35	-30	-30	-51	0.02	35%		-33.3	0.52%	0	-0.8	50	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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