Trading Signals: EMHY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ EMHY: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Tue. Jul. 23, 2013

Trading Signals: EMHY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 3, 2012 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares Emerging Markets High Yield Bond ETF)
EMHY latest price $51.1700 (0.47%) ($51.0600 - $51.2500) on Tue. Jul. 23, 2013.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.95% (three month average)
RSI   61
Latest Price   $51.1700(0.47%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EMHY advances 0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EMHY advances 1.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EMHY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
PCY(86%)    JNK(70%)    EWG(60%)    EEM(59%)    SPY(59%)
Factors Impacting EMHY price   EMHY will decline at least -0.475% in a week (0% probabilities).
IGOV(-1%)    TLT(3%)    SHY(8%)    GLD(16%)    TIP(26%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.475% (StdDev 0.95%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $50.79(0.75%)
10 Day Moving Average   $50.24(1.85%)
20 Day Moving Average   $49.9(2.55%)
To recent high   -7.8%
To recent low   7.7%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EMHY price fluctuates within 1.3% (three month std-dev: 0.95%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 9 Average positive next day return: 0.85%(33%) Average negative next day return: -0.69%(67%) Sample size 9 Average positive next three day return: 0.53%(22%) Average negative next three day return: -1.96%(78%) Sample size 9 Average positive next weekly return: 0.77%(33%) Average negative next weekly return: -3.41%(67%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20130823

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_23_2013	53.19	49.9	50.24	50.79	50.91	51.08	51.17(0.47%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	44	30	28	90	0.01	37%	-0.08	47.7	0.95%	0	2	61	0
2	Jul_22_2013	53.23	49.72	50.07	50.55	50.68	50.87	50.93(0.37%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	37	30	25	72	0.02	37%	-0.09	7.1	0.95%	0	1.6	64	0
3	Jul_19_2013	53.28	49.63	49.92	50.31	50.42	50.74	50.74(-0.1%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	35	50	29	51	0.02	38%	-0.08	-18.6	0.95%	0	1.5	56	0
4	Jul_18_2013	53.32	49.57	49.78	50.14	50.16	50.48	50.79(0.93%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	39	50	39	38	0.02	39%	-0.09	-37	0.95%	0	1.8	59	0
5	Jul_17_2013	53.37	49.56	49.66	49.85	49.93	50.1	50.32(0.68%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	27	30	29	20	0.02	38%	-0.09	-47.4	0.94%	0	1.1	62	0

6	Jul_16_2013	53.42	49.59	49.63	49.61	49.77	49.84	49.98(0.5%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	14	20	13	15	0.02	37%	-0.09	-46.4	0.94%	0	0.5	66	0
7	Jul_15_2013	53.47	49.67	49.59	49.53	49.6	49.76	49.73(-0.34%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	13	30	7	32	0.02	37%	-0.11	-41.9	0.94%	0	0.1	72	0
8	Jul_12_2013	53.53	49.76	49.61	49.46	49.56	49.7	49.9(1.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	27	30	22	43	0.04	37%	-0.09	-37.9	0.94%	0	0.1	54	0
9	Jul_11_2013	53.58	49.82	49.6	49.36	49.56	49.45	49.34(0.47%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	6	10	-2	29	0.03	35%	-0.11	-41.8	0.92%	0	-0.5	48	0
10	Jul_10_2013	53.64	49.88	49.59	49.44	49.41	49.42	49.11(-0.89%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-2	-0	-7	15	0.04	35%	-0.13	-46.5	0.92%	0	-0.7	40	0

11	Jul_9_2013	53.71	49.94	49.55	49.64	49.43	49.37	49.55(0.26%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-5	-20	-6	-2	0.06	35%	-0.07	-50	0.92%	0	-0.4	39	0
12	Jul_8_2013	53.75	50.04	49.36	49.66	49.52	49.41	49.42(0.1%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-23	-20	-12	-54	0.13	35%	-0.11	-49.5	0.92%	0	-0.6	35	0
13	Jul_5_2013	53.81	50.15	49.35	49.77	49.59	49.5	49.37(-0.74%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-31	-20	-15	-79	0.02	37%	-0.13	-52.9	0.92%	0	-0.7	35	0
14	Jul_3_2013	53.88	50.27	49.37	49.86	49.71	49.63	49.74(-0.74%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-25	-20	-4	-88	0.03	38%	-0.11	-54.4	0.92%	0	-0.4	41	0
15	Jul_2_2013	53.94	50.38	49.46	49.77	49.85	49.69	50.11(0.95%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-11	-20	14	-86	0.02	38%	-0.09	-61	0.92%	0	-0.2	48	0

16	Jul_1_2013	53.99	50.47	49.55	49.44	49.69	49.79	49.64(-0.72%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-13	30	16	-100	0.02	36%	-0.11	-73.3	0.91%	0	-0.6	47	0
17	Jun_28_2013	54.05	50.6	49.74	49.01	49.43	50.01	50(0.34%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	8	110	50	-120	0.02	37%	-0.09	-82.6	0.9%	0	-0.4	41	0
18	Jun_27_2013	54.1	50.76	49.9	48.86	48.83	49.6	49.83(1.18%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	3	110	48	-132	0.01	36%	-0.11	-84.3	0.9%	0	-0.6	40	0
19	Jun_26_2013	54.16	50.94	50.03	48.83	48.66	48.86	49.25(1.55%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-17	20	29	-154	0.02	34%	-0.09	-85.9	0.89%	0	-1.1	36	0
20	Jun_25_2013	54.21	51.15	50.16	49.14	48.72	48.06	48.5(2.13%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-104	-120	-72	-198	0.03	30%	-0.13	-82.5	0.86%	0	-1.6	31	0

21	Jun_24_2013	54.28	51.44	50.36	49.69	49.38	48.46	47.49(-3.53%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.4	-151	-150	-131	-211	0.05	25%	-0.15	-81.3	0.82%	0	-2.5	22	0
22	Jun_21_2013	54.36	51.8	50.81	50.55	50.29	49.39	49.23(-0.95%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-133	-140	-122	-167	0.04	28%	-0.13	-77.2	0.7%	0	-1.8	26	0
23	Jun_20_2013	54.43	52.07	51.06	51.08	50.92	50.31	49.7(-2.11%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1	-112	-90	-102	-142	0.05	29%	-0.11	-69.5	0.69%	0	-1.7	23	0
24	Jun_19_2013	54.49	52.34	51.29	51.39	51.41	51.19	50.77(-0.92%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-44	-30	-21	-114	0.06	32%	-0.09	-63.1	0.65%	0	-1.1	26	0
25	Jun_18_2013	54.54	52.55	51.41	51.32	51.39	51.53	51.24(-1.14%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-25	20	12	-135	0.02	32%		-61.7	0.64%	0	-0.9	29	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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