Trading Signals: EMHY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Dec. 21, 2012

Trading Signals: EMHY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 3, 2012 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares Emerging Markets High Yield Bond ETF)
EMHY latest price $55.5300 (0.05%) ($55.4800 - $55.6000) on Fri. Dec. 21, 2012.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.32% (three month average)
RSI   72
Latest Price   $55.5300(0.05%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EMHY advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EMHY advances 0.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EMHY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
PCY(85%)    JNK(69%)    EEM(58%)    EWG(58%)    SPY(58%)
Factors Impacting EMHY price   EMHY will decline at least -0.16% in a week (0% probabilities).
IGOV(0%)    TLT(3%)    SHY(8%)    GLD(15%)    TIP(26%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.16% (StdDev 0.32%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $55.4(0.23%)
10 Day Moving Average   $55.37(0.29%)
20 Day Moving Average   $55.11(0.76%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   4.4%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EMHY price fluctuates within 0.73% (three month std-dev: 0.32%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 1.15%(100%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 2.35%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 3.18%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20130121

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_21_2012	53.83	55.11	55.37	55.4	55.45	55.53	55.53(0.05%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	33	10	21	70	0.02	49%	0.07	82.2	0.32%	0	1.1	72	0
2	Dec_20_2012	53.79	55.04	55.33	55.37	55.41	55.44	55.5(0.14%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	33	10	20	70	0.02	49%	0.06	82.2	0.33%	0	1.2	65	0
3	Dec_19_2012	53.76	54.98	55.3	55.32	55.37	55.37	55.42(0.27%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	14	0	-3	66	0.03	49%	0.07	77.6	0.33%	0	1	67	0
4	Dec_18_2012	53.72	54.91	55.26	55.31	55.38	55.39	55.27(0.02%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	22	10	2	81	0.02	49%	0.07	75.6	0.33%	0	0.8	68	0
5	Dec_17_2012	53.68	54.85	55.23	55.32	55.39	55.39	55.26(-0.23%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	23	0	-1	96	0.03	49%	0.07	69.3	0.33%	0	0.9	70	0

6	Dec_14_2012	53.64	54.78	55.19	55.34	55.37	55.36	55.39(0.27%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	28	0	-1	116	0.01	49%	0.07	65.6	0.34%	0	1.2	78	0
7	Dec_13_2012	53.6	54.71	55.14	55.34	55.35	55.42	55.24(-0.27%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	43	10	12	137	0.02	49%	0.07	61.3	0.34%	0	1	78	0
8	Dec_12_2012	53.56	54.65	55.1	55.28	55.28	55.38	55.39(0.13%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	63	10	29	165	0.02	49%	0.09	59.1	0.34%	0	1.5	81	0
9	Dec_11_2012	53.51	54.57	55.02	55.21	55.21	55.28	55.32(-0.11%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	63	10	27	170	0.02	49%	0.07	51.6	0.34%	0	1.5	81	0
10	Dec_10_2012	53.47	54.52	54.94	55.13	55.17	55.18	55.38(0.56%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	62	0	24	174	0.02	49%	0.07	51.1	0.34%	0	1.8	84	0

11	Dec_7_2012	53.43	54.45	54.83	55.01	55.1	55.15	55.07(-0.29%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	48	10	9	164	0.02	49%	0.07	50.6	0.33%	0	1.4	83	0
12	Dec_6_2012	53.39	54.4	54.73	54.98	55.02	55.16	55.23(0.36%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	65	20	30	171	0.02	49%	0.06	53.2	0.34%	0	2	84	0
13	Dec_5_2012	53.36	54.36	54.62	54.89	54.97	55.05	55.03(0.13%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	74	10	43	165	0.07	47%	0.08	55.9	0.34%	0	1.8	79	0
14	Dec_4_2012	53.32	54.31	54.53	54.8	54.86	55.05	54.96(0.35%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	50	10	17	150	0.01	47%	0.06	52.5	0.34%	0	2	81	0
15	Dec_3_2012	53.29	54.27	54.44	54.72	54.77	54.89	54.77(-0.27%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	56	20	29	137	0.02	45%	0.08	41.8	0.34%	0	1.7	62	0

16	Nov_30_2012	53.25	54.23	54.35	54.61	54.68	54.83	54.92(0.27%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	76	20	61	121	0.01	45%	0.06	25	0.34%	0	2.5	66	0
17	Nov_29_2012	53.22	54.18	54.25	54.44	54.49	54.65	54.77(0.31%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	54	20	44	83	0.08	45%	0.08	2.4	0.34%	0	2.6	66	0
18	Nov_28_2012	53.18	54.15	54.17	54.32	54.35	54.52	54.6(0.15%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	52	20	51	54	0.01	45%	0.08	-31.4	0.34%	0	2.4	53	0
19	Nov_27_2012	53.14	54.15	54.09	54.22	54.19	54.34	54.52(0.55%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.9	36	20	41	20	0.02	45%	0.08	-63.3	0.34%	0	2.4	54	0
20	Nov_26_2012	53.1	54.14	54.09	54.12	54.1	54.19	54.22(0.2%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	27	10	35	1	0.02	41%	0.06	-104.2	0.33%	0	0.6	51	0

21	Nov_23_2012	53.07	54.16	54.09	54.05	54.04	54.05	54.11(-0.06%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	7	0	14	-16	0.03	41%	0.06	-107.1	0.33%	0	-0.3	52	0
22	Nov_21_2012	53.04	54.18	54.05	54.02	53.98	54.02	54.14(0.09%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-8	0	-2	-26	0.01	41%	0.06	-78.6	0.33%	0	-0.2	55	0
23	Nov_20_2012	53.01	54.21	54.06	54	53.98	54.04	54.09(0.11%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.4	11	10	19	-15	0.02	41%	0.06	-70.5	0.34%	0	-0.5	47	0
24	Nov_19_2012	52.98	54.24	54.08	53.95	53.98	54.04	54.03(0.32%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-13	-0	-4	-39	0.01	41%	0.08	-56	0.34%	0	-0.8	39	0
25	Nov_16_2012	52.94	54.28	54.09	53.98	53.99	53.95	53.86(-0.2%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-36	-0	-28	-61	0.01	41%		-35.8	0.34%	0	-1.4	29	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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