Trading Signals: EL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ EL: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Tue. Feb. 21, 2023

Trading Signals: EL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Dec. 1, 2014 - Fri. Oct. 27, 2023)

(Estee Lauder Companies Inc. Class A)
EL latest price $249.9900 (-1.14%) ($247.5000 - $252.4200) on Tue. Feb. 21, 2023.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.18% (three month average)
RSI   25
Latest Price   $249.9900(-1.14%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   EL declines -0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EL declines -3.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EL advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IVE(55%)    VT(55%)    SPY(54%)    IVW(53%)    IWD(51%)
Factors Impacting EL price   EL will decline at least -1.09% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-36%)    UUP(-14%)    VXX(-13%)    SHY(-11%)    EDOC(-10%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.09% (StdDev 2.18%)
Hourly BBV -0.8 ()
Intraday Trend 0.8%

Resistance Level   $262.62
5 Day Moving Average   $252.51(-1%)
10 Day Moving Average   $253.92(-1.55%)
20 Day Moving Average   $262.62(-4.81%)
To recent high   -11%
To recent low   16.3%
Market Cap   $89.993b

The EstÃ©e Lauder Companies, Inc. engages in the manufacturing of skin care, makeup, fragrance and hair care products. It sells products under the following brand names: EstÃ©e Lauder, Clinique, Origins, MÅ¾AÅ¾C, Bobbi Brown, La Mer, Jo Malone London, Aveda, and Too Faced. Its channels primarily consist of department stores, specialty multi-brand retailers, upscale perfumeries and pharmacies, and prestige salons and spas. The company was founded by EstÃ©e Lauder and Joseph Lauder in 1946 and is headquartered in New York, NY.

$. EL price fluctuates within 3.88% (three month std-dev: 2.18%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 9 Average positive next day return: 1.57%(67%) Average negative next day return: -0.88%(33%) Sample size 9 Average positive next three day return: 1.64%(67%) Average negative next three day return: -4.27%(33%) Sample size 9 Average positive next weekly return: 1.29%(56%) Average negative next weekly return: -3.17%(44%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_21_2023	237.57	262.62	253.92	252.51	250.91	250.05	249.99(-1.14%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-53	-40	-35	-108	1.3	47%	0.23	-36.6	2.18%	-0.8	-1.2	25	0.7
2	Feb_17_2023	237.03	263.86	255.02	253.57	252.65	250.38	252.88(1.34%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-57	-70	-40	-109	1.2	47%	0.15	-32.4	2.32%	1.1	-1.1	34	0.2
3	Feb_16_2023	236.68	264.64	256.57	253.05	253.53	251.77	249.53(-2.01%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-82	-40	-67	-125	1.19	47%	0.09	-32.6	2.33%	-1.3	-1.6	32	-0.3
4	Feb_15_2023	236.46	265.26	258.43	253.64	253.31	254.93	254.65(-0.34%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-46	40	-24	-110	1.18	50%	0.12	-35.6	2.33%	0.3	-1.2	33	0.1
5	Feb_14_2023	236.17	265.77	260.88	254.55	254.34	255.29	255.52(0.09%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.1	34	20	67	-64	1.6	47%	0.1	-34	2.35%	0	-1.2	33	-0.2

6	Feb_13_2023	235.93	266.4	262.95	255.65	254.77	251.69	255.29(2.02%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-69	-90	-56	-107	1.92	47%	0.11	-28.6	2.39%	0.7	-1.3	30	0.1
7	Feb_10_2023	235.66	267.06	264.57	256.82	256.06	253.4	250.24(-0.9%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-147	-80	-149	-141	3.1	57%	0.07	-24.5	2.44%	-1.1	-2.1	28	0.2
8	Feb_9_2023	235.5	267.79	266.75	260.68	259.74	257.85	252.51(-2.58%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-64	-60	-58	-81	1.97	57%	0.06	-11.7	2.57%	-2.3	-2.2	40	-0.9
9	Feb_8_2023	235.35	268.45	268.93	263.86	262.46	258.72	259.19(-0.7%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-105	-120	-113	-79	1.4	59%	0.09	1.7	2.55%	-0.1	-1.5	54	-0.8
10	Feb_7_2023	235.15	268.7	270.48	268.19	266.14	261.63	261.01(-0.06%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-131	-140	-153	-66	2.68	59%	0.09	28.6	2.55%	-0.6	-1.3	51	-0.9

11	Feb_6_2023	234.95	268.81	272.15	271.4	270.75	266.21	261.17(-3.11%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-98	-120	-121	-30	1.83	59%	0.1	54.5	2.57%	-1.5	-1.3	48	-1.1
12	Feb_3_2023	234.72	269.01	273.6	273.41	273.22	270.65	269.54(0.42%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-69	-70	-90	-4	1.91	68%	0.11	77.4	2.74%	-1	0.1	54	-0.9
13	Feb_2_2023	234.47	268.63	273.51	273.66	273.63	275.29	268.41(-4.41%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.9	-1	40	-12	33	3.69	60%	0.1	88.1	2.74%	-2.2	-0	58	-1.4
14	Feb_1_2023	234.24	268.34	272.82	274.62	273.68	275.79	280.8(1.34%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	77	40	79	70	1.73	65%	0.16	101.7	2.89%	2.7	2	67	-1.5
15	Jan_31_2023	233.87	267	271.06	273.25	272.78	271.98	277.08(2.16%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	16	-30	9	38	1.34	63%	0.09	106	2.9%	2.7	1.6	66	-1.8

16	Jan_30_2023	233.65	265.59	270.02	273.26	272.62	271.56	271.21(0.16%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-31	-30	-48	19	1.15	63%	0.08	118.6	2.93%	-0.1	1	63	-1.8
17	Jan_27_2023	233.46	264.57	269.63	273.92	273.79	273.59	270.79(-0.89%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	14	-10	3	46	1.81	63%	0.1	107.6	2.93%	-0.3	0.9	59	-1.7
18	Jan_26_2023	233.22	263.39	268.83	273.27	273.51	273.68	273.22(-0.26%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	35	10	28	55	1.95	63%	0.11	103.1	2.93%	-0.4	1.3	65	-1.6
19	Jan_25_2023	232.96	262.17	267.86	270.53	270.94	273.99	273.94(-1.16%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	51	80	50	54	1.3	65%	0.12	93.6	2.93%	-0.2	1.4	64	-1.6
20	Jan_24_2023	232.68	260.56	266.68	268.39	267.67	273.34	277.16(0.97%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	110	140	120	79	1.53	63%	0.2	86.2	2.96%	1.1	2	75	-1.5

21	Jan_23_2023	232.21	258.8	265.05	266.37	265.41	267.89	274.49(2.59%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.1	107	50	116	79	1.56	63%	0.12	88.4	2.98%	1.4	2.1	77	-1.6
22	Jan_20_2023	231.94	257.25	263.87	264.92	264.11	262	267.56(3.1%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	-5	-70	-16	30	1.25	61%	0.07	76.9	2.97%	1.7	1.3	71	-1.3
23	Jan_19_2023	231.77	255.8	263.22	263.85	264.39	262.92	259.51(-1.42%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-45	-30	-65	17	1.29	56%	0.02	64	2.98%	-1.1	0.4	70	-1.2
24	Jan_18_2023	231.72	254.71	263.51	264.67	265.1	266.22	263.25(-1.42%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	25	30	12	62	1.41	56%	0.03	59.8	3.02%	-2.1	1	70	-1.1
25	Jan_17_2023	231.65	253.61	262.69	264.51	264.52	265.85	267.04(-0.07%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	55	40	45	86	1.39	56%		55.4	3.01%	1	1.4	81	-1.6
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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