Trading Signals: EL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Sep. 12, 2022

Trading Signals: EL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Dec. 1, 2014 - Fri. Oct. 27, 2023)

(Estee Lauder Companies Inc. Class A)
EL latest price $255.4200 (1%) ($253.6400 - $260.2800) on Mon. Sep. 12, 2022.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.15% (three month average)
RSI   41
Latest Price   $255.4200(1%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   EL advances 0.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EL declines -3.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EL advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EEM(59%)    SPY(57%)    FIVG(56%)    IVW(56%)    IVE(55%)
Factors Impacting EL price   EL will decline at least -1.075% in a week (0% probabilities).
UUP(-24%)    TBT(-13%)    VIXM(-11%)    VXX(-4%)    UNG(4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.075% (StdDev 2.15%)
Hourly BBV 0.8 ()
Intraday Trend 0.6%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $245.91(-3.72%)
Resistance Level   $261.39
5 Day Moving Average   $250.08(2.14%)
10 Day Moving Average   $252(1.36%)
20 Day Moving Average   $261.39(-2.28%)
To recent high   -9.3%
To recent low   9.6%
Market Cap   $91.948b

The EstÃ©e Lauder Companies, Inc. engages in the manufacturing of skin care, makeup, fragrance and hair care products. It sells products under the following brand names: EstÃ©e Lauder, Clinique, Origins, MÅ¾AÅ¾C, Bobbi Brown, La Mer, Jo Malone London, Aveda, and Too Faced. Its channels primarily consist of department stores, specialty multi-brand retailers, upscale perfumeries and pharmacies, and prestige salons and spas. The company was founded by EstÃ©e Lauder and Joseph Lauder in 1946 and is headquartered in New York, NY.

$. EL price fluctuates within 4.33% (three month std-dev: 2.15%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 28 Average positive next day return: 2.54%(50%) Average negative next day return: -2.38%(50%) Sample size 28 Average positive next three day return: 4.7%(61%) Average negative next three day return: -3.5%(39%) Sample size 28 Average positive next weekly return: 6.24%(46%) Average negative next weekly return: -3.52%(54%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20221012

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_12_2022	255.21	261.39	252	250.08	250.34	253.79	255.42(1%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.5	98	100	141	-32	1.35	57%	-0.04	-46.9	2.15%	0.8	-0.5	41	0.9
2	Sep_9_2022	255.3	262.35	252.51	248.66	248.35	249.16	252.9(2%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	19	20	54	-85	1.58	51%	-0.07	-47.8	2.19%	1.6	-0.8	32	1
3	Sep_8_2022	255.49	263.25	254.71	248.32	248.31	246.9	247.94(-0.02%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0	-57	-40	-34	-126	1.54	51%	-0.13	-50.9	2.21%	0.4	-1.3	23	1.3
4	Sep_7_2022	255.81	264.52	256.44	249.6	249.37	247.54	247.99(0.75%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-104	-50	-88	-152	1.78	51%	-0.11	-49.3	2.22%	-0.2	-1.5	29	1.3
5	Sep_6_2022	256.08	265.5	258.22	251.43	251.71	249.73	246.15(-0.87%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-97	-50	-79	-149	1.44	51%	-0.07	-49.6	2.23%	-1.3	-1.9	28	1.4

6	Sep_2_2022	256.27	266.79	260.22	254.17	254.44	251.19	248.32(-1.14%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-110	-90	-96	-152	1.03	55%	-0.06	-50.4	2.22%	-1.3	-2.1	29	1.6
7	Sep_1_2022	256.43	268.01	262.74	256.88	256.67	253.69	251.18(-1.26%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-167	-80	-167	-165	1.83	55%	-0.06	-49.7	2.32%	-0.9	-2.1	32	1.5
8	Aug_31_2022	256.58	269.19	265.75	262.11	261.53	257.7	254.38(-1.06%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-101	-110	-100	-103	1.48	55%	-0.04	-35.5	2.32%	-1.1	-2.1	39	1.9
9	Aug_30_2022	256.67	270.03	268	264.32	265.41	259.65	257.11(-1.05%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-141	-140	-151	-110	0.98	55%	-0.02	-26.4	2.32%	-1.1	-2.1	39	2.1
10	Aug_29_2022	256.72	270.68	269.96	266.01	267.13	265.37	259.84(-0.78%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-129	-30	-142	-89	0.77	55%	-0.03	-8	2.34%	-1.2	-2	49	2.2

11	Aug_26_2022	256.79	271.41	271.68	267.09	268.3	271.17	261.88(-5.57%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.1	37	90	50	-1	1.14	60%	-0.02	10.7	2.41%	-1.4	-2	46	2
12	Aug_25_2022	256.85	272.02	273.12	269.37	267.49	268.89	277.32(4.48%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	47	20	57	17	1.17	65%	0.05	40.9	2.33%	1.8	1.2	56	1.2
13	Aug_24_2022	256.72	271.69	272.4	270.23	268.59	265.43	265.43(-0.05%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-50	-100	-57	-27	1.17	62%	-0.03	53.6	2.27%	-0.1	-1.4	43	1.8
14	Aug_23_2022	256.79	271.67	273.2	272.45	271.23	266.09	265.56(0.11%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-135	-150	-162	-55	0.92	62%	-0.05	55.4	2.29%	-0.8	-1	48	2.1
15	Aug_22_2022	256.93	271.12	273.37	274.56	273.66	271.74	265.27(-2.93%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-111	-60	-136	-35	1.23	62%	-0.04	59	2.29%	-1.5	-0.9	49	1

16	Aug_19_2022	257.02	270.89	273.99	276.78	275.8	276.38	273.28(-2.96%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.5	26	0	22	38	1.45	65%	0	75.5	2.25%	-1.1	0.4	50	-0
17	Aug_18_2022	257.01	270.27	273.77	277.2	275.38	275.58	281.62(1.84%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	27	-10	23	40	2.45	63%	0.01	86.7	2.24%	1.5	1.6	59	-0.7
18	Aug_17_2022	256.99	269.29	272.85	274.95	274.78	275.22	276.52(0.15%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	14	10	10	24	1.2	64%	-0.03	92.1	2.35%	1.3	1.1	57	-0.7
19	Aug_16_2022	257.07	268.37	272.13	274.14	274.25	275.18	276.11(-0.09%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	34	20	34	34	1.08	64%	-0.01	94.3	2.37%	1	1.1	66	-1.2
20	Aug_15_2022	257.09	267.35	271.35	272.05	273.45	274.34	276.37(0.36%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	48	40	49	44	1.03	64%	0.01	81.6	2.39%	1.9	1.1	75	-1.5

21	Aug_12_2022	257.07	265.88	270.98	270.81	271.53	273.32	275.38(1.86%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	33	50	30	42	1.08	66%	-0.01	71.6	2.44%	1.8	1.1	64	-2.2
22	Aug_11_2022	257.09	264.44	270.68	269.88	270.65	272.55	270.36(-0.79%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	66	60	66	64	1.02	66%	-0.01	61.6	2.43%	-0.1	0.6	60	-1.8
23	Aug_10_2022	257.12	263.19	270.77	270.47	269.83	269.73	272.5(2.59%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	34	-10	25	59	0.79	66%	-0.03	53.5	2.43%	1	0.9	59	-1.6
24	Aug_9_2022	257.21	261.87	269.91	269.88	269.58	268.75	265.63(-1.68%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-13	-20	-30	40	1.04	63%	-0.03	45.5	2.42%	-1.4	0.4	59	-1.2
25	Aug_8_2022	257.3	260.86	268.76	270.43	269.94	269.92	270.16(-0.21%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	5	-10	-10	49	1.1	63%		39.6	2.44%	-0.4	0.9	65	-1.8
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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