Trading Signals: EL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ EL: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Mon. Oct. 26, 2020

Trading Signals: EL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Dec. 1, 2014 - Fri. Oct. 27, 2023)

(Estee Lauder Companies Inc. Class A)
EL latest price $232.1700 (-1.3%) ($227.2900 - $233.0200) on Mon. Oct. 26, 2020.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.58% (three month average)
RSI   72
Latest Price   $232.1700(-1.3%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   EL advances 0.9% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EL advances 2.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EL advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(66%)    IVW(64%)    IWF(63%)    DIA(62%)    FIVG(61%)
Factors Impacting EL price   EL will decline at least -0.79% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-38%)    UUP(-27%)    VXX(-14%)    TBT(-5%)    EDOC(-5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.79% (StdDev 1.58%)
Hourly BBV -0.4 ()
Intraday Trend -0%

Inflection Point   Yes
5 Day Moving Average   $231.68(0.21%)
10 Day Moving Average   $227.54(2.03%)
20 Day Moving Average   $224.34(3.49%)
To recent high   -1.3%
To recent low   21.6%
Market Cap   $83.578b

The EstÃ©e Lauder Companies, Inc. engages in the manufacturing of skin care, makeup, fragrance and hair care products. It sells products under the following brand names: EstÃ©e Lauder, Clinique, Origins, MÅ¾AÅ¾C, Bobbi Brown, La Mer, Jo Malone London, Aveda, and Too Faced. Its channels primarily consist of department stores, specialty multi-brand retailers, upscale perfumeries and pharmacies, and prestige salons and spas. The company was founded by EstÃ©e Lauder and Joseph Lauder in 1946 and is headquartered in New York, NY.

$. EL price fluctuates within 2.47% (three month std-dev: 1.58%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 18 Average positive next day return: 0.66%(33%) Average negative next day return: -1.5%(67%) Sample size 18 Average positive next three day return: 1.54%(44%) Average negative next three day return: -2.15%(56%) Sample size 18 Average positive next weekly return: 1.32%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.34%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20201126

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_26_2020	206.99	224.34	227.54	231.68	231.96	232.78	232.17(-1.3%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	35	30	18	85	1.18	64%	0.13	91.9	1.58%	-0.4	1.4	72	-0.4
2	Oct_23_2020	206.72	223.52	226.96	229.71	230.42	233.48	235.23(1.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	134	100	137	123	0.69	64%	0.17	90.6	1.58%	1.4	2.1	67	1.1
3	Oct_22_2020	206.37	222.49	225.82	227.49	227.74	231.14	232.62(-0.01%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1	162	110	173	127	0.88	64%	0.14	84.2	1.58%	0.8	1.9	68	1.2
4	Oct_21_2020	206.08	221.38	224.91	225.34	225.58	227.36	232.65(3.07%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	134	60	144	103	1.23	64%	0.15	66.1	1.58%	1.9	2	67	0.9
5	Oct_20_2020	205.77	220.14	223.73	223.38	223.61	224.33	225.72(1.52%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	30	30	25	44	0.59	61%	0.12	51.3	1.55%	0.9	1.1	62	0.6

6	Oct_19_2020	205.52	219.36	222.96	222.84	223.36	223.8	222.34(-0.8%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	29	20	24	43	0.73	61%	0.12	39.7	1.55%	-0.8	0.5	64	0.7
7	Oct_16_2020	205.27	218.68	222.95	223.78	223.34	222.89	224.13(1.01%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	2	-20	-14	49	0.94	61%	0.16	36.4	1.54%	1.6	1	65	1.4
8	Oct_15_2020	204.95	218.09	222.44	223.87	224.02	222.91	221.88(-0.43%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-22	-30	-44	45	0.89	61%	0.14	36.5	1.54%	-0.3	0.7	63	1.6
9	Oct_14_2020	204.66	217.76	222.24	224.34	224.68	223.79	222.84(-0.08%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-12	-20	-38	68	0.86	64%	0.18	40.5	1.55%	-0.8	0.9	71	2
10	Oct_13_2020	204.29	217.46	221.81	224.07	224.47	225.13	223.02(-1.76%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	29	30	6	99	0.85	64%	0.09	39.4	1.6%	-1	1	74	2.1

11	Oct_12_2020	204.1	217.16	221.03	222.99	223.71	225.58	227.02(1.08%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	104	70	94	135	0.82	67%	0.25	36.8	1.58%	1.3	1.9	75	2.7
12	Oct_9_2020	203.6	216.61	219.88	222	222.01	223.82	224.6(0.17%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	96	60	82	136	0.74	67%	0.23	36.4	1.58%	1.1	1.7	76	2.6
13	Oct_8_2020	203.13	216.08	218.93	220.83	221.32	221.84	224.21(1.23%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	94	20	81	131	0.78	67%	0.23	28.5	1.58%	1.7	1.9	65	1.7
14	Oct_7_2020	202.67	215.56	217.57	219.9	220.06	220.2	221.48(1.76%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.4	13	10	-9	80	0.73	67%	0.24	16.3	1.58%	0.4	1.5	56	1
15	Oct_6_2020	202.19	215.36	216.23	219.25	219.75	220.8	217.66(-1.98%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	53	40	43	81	0.89	65%	0.2	9.8	1.58%	-1.8	0.6	50	0.3

16	Oct_5_2020	201.79	215.26	215.49	218.67	219.11	219.92	222.05(1.5%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	76	30	75	77	0.82	69%	0.26	-1.1	1.56%	1.3	1.8	54	0.6
17	Oct_2_2020	201.26	214.92	214.06	217.41	217.63	218.7	218.76(-0.35%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	26	40	25	29	0.72	69%	0.28	-20.5	1.56%	0.8	1.1	50	0.4
18	Oct_1_2020	200.7	214.85	213.37	216.7	217.21	218.3	219.53(0.59%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	87	40	100	48	0.9	69%	0.29	-24.4	1.56%	0.9	1.4	56	0.8
19	Sep_30_2020	200.12	214.91	212.89	214.89	215.44	216.57	218.25(1.62%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	56	40	68	19	1.04	69%	0.26	-30.8	1.56%	1.1	0.9	55	0.8
20	Sep_29_2020	199.61	214.99	212.68	212.76	213.31	216.12	214.78(-0.45%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	73	100	95	6	0.96	68%	0.23	-38.6	1.56%	0.1	-0.1	43	0.9

21	Sep_28_2020	199.15	215.31	212.9	211.77	211.71	214.31	215.75(0.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	131	90	165	27	0.87	68%	0.22	-33.5	1.56%	0.9	0.1	49	0.7
22	Sep_25_2020	198.72	215.63	212.99	210.19	209.98	210.51	215.2(2.25%)	RB	SmallLong	20	1.1	44	10	67	-26	1.01	68%	0.22	-25.2	1.58%	1.8	-0.1	48	0.6
23	Sep_24_2020	198.28	215.69	212.9	209.63	208.99	209.11	210.46(1.36%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-51	-10	-40	-82	1.02	59%	0.21	-10.4	1.56%	0.2	-1.2	37	0.3
24	Sep_23_2020	197.86	216.03	213.33	210.68	210.15	209.45	207.63(-1.05%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-37	-30	-24	-76	0.71	59%	0.19	0.5	1.61%	-0.2	-2	26	0.1
25	Sep_22_2020	197.48	216.47	214.44	212.6	211.78	208.87	209.83(0.96%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-107	-110	-110	-97	0.77	59%		17.5	1.61%	-0.1	-1.8	31	0.7
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.