Trading Signals: EL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Jan. 23, 2018

Trading Signals: EL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Dec. 1, 2014 - Fri. Oct. 27, 2023)

(Estee Lauder Companies Inc. Class A)
EL latest price $136.7200 (1.37%) ($134.7600 - $137.1600) on Tue. Jan. 23, 2018.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.44% (three month average)
RSI   75
Latest Price   $136.7200(1.37%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   EL advances 1.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EL advances 1.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Growth stock rally for large cap. Growth stock rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EL advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(67%)    IVW(66%)    IWF(65%)    IVE(63%)    IWD(63%)
Factors Impacting EL price   EL will decline at least -0.72% in a week (0% probabilities).
UUP(-16%)    TLT(-12%)    VIXM(-10%)    VXX(-2%)    GDXJ(-2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.72% (StdDev 1.44%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.5%

5 Day Moving Average   $133.82(2.17%)
10 Day Moving Average   $131.86(3.69%)
20 Day Moving Average   $130.39(4.85%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   25.4%
Market Cap   $49.217b

The EstÃ©e Lauder Companies, Inc. engages in the manufacturing of skin care, makeup, fragrance and hair care products. It sells products under the following brand names: EstÃ©e Lauder, Clinique, Origins, MÅ¾AÅ¾C, Bobbi Brown, La Mer, Jo Malone London, Aveda, and Too Faced. Its channels primarily consist of department stores, specialty multi-brand retailers, upscale perfumeries and pharmacies, and prestige salons and spas. The company was founded by EstÃ©e Lauder and Joseph Lauder in 1946 and is headquartered in New York, NY.

$. EL price fluctuates within 1.96% (three month std-dev: 1.44%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 48 Average positive next day return: 0.66%(56%) Average negative next day return: -0.93%(44%) Sample size 48 Average positive next three day return: 1.24%(67%) Average negative next three day return: -1.44%(33%) Sample size 48 Average positive next weekly return: 1.67%(60%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.68%(40%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20180223

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_23_2018	119.58	130.39	131.86	133.82	133.72	135.16	136.72(1.37%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	98	70	94	108	1.32	100%	0.14	57.1	1.44%	0	2.5	75	0.1
2	Jan_22_2018	119.41	129.91	131.24	132.2	132.44	133.71	134.87(0.31%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	90	70	90	90	1.39	100%	0.24	47	1.44%	0	2.3	73	0.9
3	Jan_19_2018	119.12	129.53	130.72	130.94	131.12	132.28	134.45(2.65%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.9	70	70	71	67	1.38	100%	0.24	35.2	1.44%	0	2.7	69	1
4	Jan_18_2018	118.84	129.18	130.25	129.86	130.1	131.17	130.98(-0.82%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	53	60	54	49	1.15	100%	0.22	32.2	1.41%	0	1.2	63	-INF
5	Jan_17_2018	118.58	129.09	130.11	129.73	129.66	129.96	132.06(2.64%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	38	10	36	42	1.61	100%	0.24	43.4	1.41%	0	2	61	INF

6	Jan_16_2018	118.3	128.95	129.67	129.66	129.55	129.04	128.66(0.1%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-19	-30	-30	16	1.62	100%	0.31	61.4	1.38%	0	-0.2	56	INF
7	Jan_12_2018	117.94	128.91	129.56	130.12	130.16	129.36	128.53(-0.43%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-1.2	-23	-40	-37	21	1.47	100%	0.2	82.8	1.38%	0	-0.3	56	INF
8	Jan_11_2018	117.71	128.89	129.53	130.41	130.54	130.06	129.09(-0.94%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-1	-21	-20	-37	28	1.25	100%	0.21	100	1.38%	0	0.2	58	INF
9	Jan_10_2018	117.46	128.7	129.41	130.64	130.61	130.96	130.32(-1.05%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	11	20	-1	48	1.6	100%	0.22	106.9	1.37%	0	1.2	63	INF
10	Jan_9_2018	117.2	128.47	129.26	130.5	130.65	131.01	131.7(0.56%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	57	20	54	67	1.25	100%	0.22	91.5	1.36%	0	2.1	59	INF

11	Jan_8_2018	116.94	128.16	128.85	129.68	129.87	130.27	130.97(0.75%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	26	30	23	34	0.97	100%	0.22	81.7	1.36%	0	1.9	54	INF
12	Jan_5_2018	116.68	127.87	128.49	128.93	129.16	130.29	129.99(-0.18%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	44	70	49	30	1.57	100%	0.28	70.8	1.36%	0	1.5	60	INF
13	Jan_4_2018	116.36	127.6	128.25	128.51	128.52	129.48	130.23(0.47%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	63	50	74	31	1.9	100%	0.27	63.8	1.36%	0	1.8	60	INF
14	Jan_3_2018	116.05	127.31	127.99	128.02	127.85	128.02	129.62(1.59%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	17	10	20	9	2.12	100%	0.25	51.3	1.37%	0	1.5	70	INF
15	Jan_2_2018	115.76	127.09	127.94	127.86	127.78	127.56	127.59(0.28%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-5	-10	-9	7	1.29	100%	0.37	48.4	1.36%	0	0.3	61	INF

16	Dec_29_2017	115.33	126.96	128.13	127.9	127.98	127.68	127.24(-0.51%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-6	-10	-14	18	0.81	100%	0.23	43.8	1.36%	0	0.2	59	INF
17	Dec_28_2017	115.06	126.85	128.2	127.96	128.03	128.01	127.89(0.11%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0	0	0	-10	30	0.79	90%	0.21	40.9	1.36%	0	0.6	64	INF
18	Dec_27_2017	114.82	126.66	128.21	127.92	128.09	128.27	127.75(-0.85%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	20	10	10	48	0.61	90%	0.24	34.3	1.39%	0	0.6	67	INF
19	Dec_26_2017	114.55	126.54	127.97	127.94	127.99	128.05	128.85(0.86%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	14	0	2	48	0.49	90%	0.39	35.7	1.38%	0	1.3	72	INF
20	Dec_22_2017	114.1	126.34	127.65	128.05	128.06	127.91	127.75(0.13%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	0	-10	-15	45	0.75	90%	0.26	41.2	1.37%	0	0.8	63	INF

21	Dec_21_2017	113.8	126.26	127.45	128.42	128.53	127.93	127.58(-0.09%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	2	-30	-16	55	0.83	82%	0.26	49.6	1.38%	0	0.8	65	INF
22	Dec_20_2017	113.51	126.16	127.23	128.47	128.8	128.2	127.69(-0.12%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-12	-20	-33	51	1.14	82%	0.26	55.8	1.4%	0	0.9	65	INF
23	Dec_19_2017	113.21	126.05	126.93	128.52	128.78	129.13	127.84(-1.2%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	24	30	8	72	1.98	82%	0.26	56.7	1.4%	0	1.1	69	INF
24	Dec_18_2017	112.92	125.91	126.61	127.94	128.28	129.39	129.39(-0.18%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.9	72	70	68	84	1.69	82%	0.28	44.7	1.39%	0	2.2	67	INF
25	Dec_15_2017	112.61	125.66	126.18	127.16	127.12	128.43	129.62(1.42%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	74	70	74	73	2.78	82%		36.8	1.39%	0	3	69	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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