Trading Signals: EL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Sat. Jan. 6, 2018

Trading Signals: EL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Dec. 1, 2014 - Fri. Oct. 27, 2023)

(Estee Lauder Companies Inc. Class A)
EL latest price $129.9900 (-0.18%) ($129.7100 - $130.6300) on Sat. Jan. 6, 2018.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.36% (three month average)
RSI   60
Latest Price   $129.9900(-0.18%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   EL advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EL advances 0.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EL advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
(0%)    (0%)    (0%)    (0%)    (0%)
Factors Impacting EL price   EL will decline at least -0.68% in a week (0% probabilities).
(0%)    (0%)    (0%)    (0%)    (0%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.68% (StdDev 1.36%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $128.93(0.82%)
10 Day Moving Average   $128.49(1.17%)
20 Day Moving Average   $127.87(1.66%)
To recent high   -0.2%
To recent low   19.5%
Market Cap   $N/A

The EstÃ©e Lauder Companies, Inc. engages in the manufacturing of skin care, makeup, fragrance and hair care products. It sells products under the following brand names: EstÃ©e Lauder, Clinique, Origins, MÅ¾AÅ¾C, Bobbi Brown, La Mer, Jo Malone London, Aveda, and Too Faced. Its channels primarily consist of department stores, specialty multi-brand retailers, upscale perfumeries and pharmacies, and prestige salons and spas. The company was founded by EstÃ©e Lauder and Joseph Lauder in 1946 and is headquartered in New York, NY.

$. EL price fluctuates within 1.13% (three month std-dev: 1.36%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 20 Average positive next day return: 0.71%(55%) Average negative next day return: -0.85%(45%) Sample size 20 Average positive next three day return: 1.7%(65%) Average negative next three day return: -1.16%(35%) Sample size 20 Average positive next weekly return: 1.88%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.68%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20180206

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_5_2018	116.68	127.87	128.49	128.93	129.16	130.29	129.99(-0.18%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	44	70	49	30	1.57	100%	0.28	70.8	1.36%	0	1.5	60	0
2	Jan_4_2018	116.36	127.6	128.25	128.51	128.52	129.48	130.23(0.47%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	63	50	74	31	1.9	100%	0.27	63.8	1.36%	0	1.8	60	0
3	Jan_3_2018	116.05	127.31	127.99	128.02	127.85	128.02	129.62(1.59%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	17	10	20	9	2.12	100%	0.25	51.3	1.37%	0	1.5	70	0
4	Jan_2_2018	115.76	127.09	127.94	127.86	127.78	127.56	127.59(0.28%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-5	-10	-9	7	1.29	100%	0.37	48.4	1.36%	0	0.3	61	0
5	Dec_29_2017	115.33	126.96	128.13	127.9	127.98	127.68	127.24(-0.51%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-6	-10	-14	18	0.81	100%	0.23	43.8	1.36%	0	0.2	59	0

6	Dec_28_2017	115.06	126.85	128.2	127.96	128.03	128.01	127.89(0.11%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0	0	0	-10	30	0.79	90%	0.21	40.9	1.36%	0	0.6	64	0
7	Dec_27_2017	114.82	126.66	128.21	127.92	128.09	128.27	127.75(-0.85%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	20	10	10	48	0.61	90%	0.24	34.3	1.39%	0	0.6	67	0
8	Dec_26_2017	114.55	126.54	127.97	127.94	127.99	128.05	128.85(0.86%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	14	0	2	48	0.49	90%	0.39	35.7	1.38%	0	1.3	72	0
9	Dec_22_2017	114.1	126.34	127.65	128.05	128.06	127.91	127.75(0.13%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	0	-10	-15	45	0.75	90%	0.26	41.2	1.37%	0	0.8	63	0
10	Dec_21_2017	113.8	126.26	127.45	128.42	128.53	127.93	127.58(-0.09%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	2	-30	-16	55	0.83	82%	0.26	49.6	1.38%	0	0.8	65	0

11	Dec_20_2017	113.51	126.16	127.23	128.47	128.8	128.2	127.69(-0.12%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-12	-20	-33	51	1.14	82%	0.26	55.8	1.4%	0	0.9	65	0
12	Dec_19_2017	113.21	126.05	126.93	128.52	128.78	129.13	127.84(-1.2%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	24	30	8	72	1.98	82%	0.26	56.7	1.4%	0	1.1	69	0
13	Dec_18_2017	112.92	125.91	126.61	127.94	128.28	129.39	129.39(-0.18%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.9	72	70	68	84	1.69	82%	0.28	44.7	1.39%	0	2.2	67	0
14	Dec_15_2017	112.61	125.66	126.18	127.16	127.12	128.43	129.62(1.42%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	74	70	74	73	2.78	82%	0.27	36.8	1.39%	0	3	69	0
15	Dec_14_2017	112.31	125.44	125.66	126.36	126.19	127.18	127.81(-0.11%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.5	65	50	69	52	1.59	81%	0.26	36.4	1.38%	0	2.4	56	0

16	Dec_13_2017	112.02	125.27	125.35	125.84	125.58	125.81	127.95(2.4%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.6	36	10	39	27	2.38	81%	0.27	33.8	1.38%	0	3.3	58	0
17	Dec_12_2017	111.72	125.15	124.93	125.14	125.14	125.21	124.95(-0.41%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.3	-1	0	1	-6	1.61	78%	0.24	44.4	1.35%	0	-0.4	47	0
18	Dec_11_2017	111.45	125.22	124.96	125.05	124.91	125.36	125.47(-0.13%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	13	20	17	-1	1.32	78%	0.25	75.5	1.35%	0	0.4	52	0
19	Dec_8_2017	111.17	125.17	124.92	125.02	124.62	125.07	125.63(0.36%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	20	20	26	3	1.79	78%	0.26	96	1.35%	0	0.7	56	0
20	Dec_7_2017	110.88	125.09	124.95	124.85	124.56	124.47	125.18(0.57%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	10	-10	14	-4	1.64	78%	0.25	107.4	1.35%	0	0.1	47	0

21	Dec_6_2017	110.6	124.99	125.01	124.78	124.49	124.17	124.47(-0.02%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-16	-20	-17	-14	1.9	78%	0.26	92.3	1.35%	0	-0.6	51	0
22	Dec_5_2017	110.31	124.9	125.11	124.67	124.53	124.65	124.5(-0.67%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-10	0	-8	-14	2.49	78%	0.25	118.5	1.35%	0	-0.4	43	0
23	Dec_4_2017	110.03	124.75	125.19	124.84	124.52	124.81	125.34(0.46%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	8	10	13	-6	1.54	78%	0.28	133.7	1.35%	0	0.5	44	0
24	Dec_1_2017	109.72	124.58	125.13	124.8	124.63	124.41	124.77(-0.05%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0	-5	-20	-2	-13	1.7	78%	0.27	152.6	1.36%	0	0.1	52	0
25	Nov_30_2017	109.42	124.37	125.21	125.08	124.89	124.23	124.83(0.73%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-31	-40	-36	-15	2.86	78%		156.1	1.35%	0	0.3	56	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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