Trading Signals: EL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Dec. 8, 2017

Trading Signals: EL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Dec. 1, 2014 - Fri. Oct. 27, 2023)

(Estee Lauder Companies Inc. Class A)
EL latest price $125.6300 (0.36%) ($124.5700 - $125.9000) on Fri. Dec. 8, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.35% (three month average)
RSI   56
Latest Price   $125.6300(0.36%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   EL advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EL declines -0.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EL advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IVW(66%)    SPY(66%)    IWF(65%)    IWD(63%)    IVE(62%)
Factors Impacting EL price   EL will decline at least -0.675% in a week (0% probabilities).
UUP(-16%)    TLT(-12%)    VIXM(-11%)    SHY(-1%)    GDXJ(-1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.675% (StdDev 1.35%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.4%

5 Day Moving Average   $125.02(0.49%)
10 Day Moving Average   $124.92(0.57%)
20 Day Moving Average   $125.17(0.37%)
To recent high   -0.5%
To recent low   18.1%
Market Cap   $45.225b

The EstÃ©e Lauder Companies, Inc. engages in the manufacturing of skin care, makeup, fragrance and hair care products. It sells products under the following brand names: EstÃ©e Lauder, Clinique, Origins, MÅ¾AÅ¾C, Bobbi Brown, La Mer, Jo Malone London, Aveda, and Too Faced. Its channels primarily consist of department stores, specialty multi-brand retailers, upscale perfumeries and pharmacies, and prestige salons and spas. The company was founded by EstÃ©e Lauder and Joseph Lauder in 1946 and is headquartered in New York, NY.

$. EL price fluctuates within 0.5% (three month std-dev: 1.35%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20180108

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_8_2017	111.17	125.17	124.92	125.02	124.62	125.07	125.63(0.36%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	20	20	26	3	1.79	78%	0.26	96	1.35%	0	0.7	56	0
2	Dec_7_2017	110.88	125.09	124.95	124.85	124.56	124.47	125.18(0.57%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	10	-10	14	-4	1.64	78%	0.25	107.4	1.35%	0	0.1	47	0
3	Dec_6_2017	110.6	124.99	125.01	124.78	124.49	124.17	124.47(-0.02%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-16	-20	-17	-14	1.9	78%	0.26	92.3	1.35%	0	-0.6	51	0
4	Dec_5_2017	110.31	124.9	125.11	124.67	124.53	124.65	124.5(-0.67%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-10	0	-8	-14	2.49	78%	0.25	118.5	1.35%	0	-0.4	43	0
5	Dec_4_2017	110.03	124.75	125.19	124.84	124.52	124.81	125.34(0.46%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	8	10	13	-6	1.54	78%	0.28	133.7	1.35%	0	0.5	44	0

6	Dec_1_2017	109.72	124.58	125.13	124.8	124.63	124.41	124.77(-0.05%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0	-5	-20	-2	-13	1.7	78%	0.27	152.6	1.36%	0	0.1	52	0
7	Nov_30_2017	109.42	124.37	125.21	125.08	124.89	124.23	124.83(0.73%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-31	-40	-36	-15	2.86	78%	0.28	156.1	1.35%	0	0.3	56	0
8	Nov_29_2017	109.11	124.24	125.2	125.28	125.37	124.84	123.93(-1.1%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-31	-30	-39	-8	2.58	78%	0.28	186	1.35%	0	-0.2	57	0
9	Nov_28_2017	108.81	123.7	125.42	125.6	125.79	125.54	125.31(0.13%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-4	-10	-12	22	2.02	78%	0.29	108.8	1.34%	0	0.5	67	0
10	Nov_27_2017	108.5	123.04	125.51	125.57	125.76	125.9	125.15(-0.82%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	8	10	-3	42	1.59	78%	0.3	86	1.35%	0	0.5	70	0

11	Nov_24_2017	108.18	122.42	125.47	125.48	125.72	126.04	126.19(0.28%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	32	20	22	62	0.87	80%	0.4	78.9	1.34%	0	0.8	71	0
12	Nov_22_2017	107.75	121.73	125.24	125.37	125.48	125.62	125.84(0.27%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	27	10	13	69	1.56	80%	0.18	70.5	1.34%	0	0.7	75	0
13	Nov_21_2017	107.56	121.02	124.97	125.12	125.39	125.4	125.5(0.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	17	10	2	63	1.89	80%	0.28	67	1.36%	0	0.8	62	0
14	Nov_20_2017	107.26	120.29	124.67	125.23	125.34	125.34	125.18(0.39%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	19	0	-7	98	1.67	80%	0.27	64.7	1.36%	0	0.8	80	0
15	Nov_17_2017	106.97	119.51	124.29	125.46	125.44	125.39	124.69(-0.76%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	30	-0	-0	119	2.22	78%	0.27	62.2	1.64%	0	0.8	81	0

16	Nov_16_2017	106.68	118.73	124.01	125.44	125.55	125.34	125.64(0.83%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0	40	-10	4	148	1.44	78%	0.28	60.2	1.68%	0	1.1	79	0
17	Nov_15_2017	106.38	117.94	123.48	125.07	125.26	125.5	124.61(-1.12%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	45	20	4	169	1.39	78%	0.26	59.5	1.68%	0	1	79	0
18	Nov_14_2017	106.1	117.21	123.22	124.76	124.76	125.75	126.02(-0.24%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	86	60	42	216	1.43	79%	0.28	59.6	1.67%	0	1.4	83	0
19	Nov_13_2017	105.8	116.41	121.88	124	124.05	125.02	126.32(1.37%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	106	60	67	224	2.03	79%	0.28	59.8	1.67%	0	1.6	85	0
20	Nov_10_2017	105.5	115.63	120.38	122.96	122.99	123.76	124.61(0.67%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	81	40	40	204	1.86	70%	0.26	60.8	1.69%	0	1.5	85	0

21	Nov_9_2017	105.23	114.91	119.14	122.38	122.19	123.09	123.78(0.57%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	83	50	42	206	1.86	72%	0.26	62.7	1.72%	0	1.6	85	0
22	Nov_8_2017	104.96	114.17	117.95	121.66	121.65	122.21	123.08(0.7%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	79	30	38	202	2.23	72%	0.25	62.9	1.74%	0	1.7	80	0
23	Nov_7_2017	104.7	113.47	116.75	121.46	121.09	121.3	122.22(0.91%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	72	0	28	204	1.3	73%	0.23	67.3	1.74%	0	1.8	78	0
24	Nov_6_2017	104.46	112.81	115.55	119.38	121	121.09	121.12(-0.48%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	97	50	67	186	1.33	73%	0.23	61.6	1.75%	0	1.9	75	0
25	Nov_3_2017	104.22	112.2	114.33	117.33	118.57	120.89	121.71(1.3%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	83	170	62	145	2.22	73%		55.7	1.75%	0	2.4	73	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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